Barnet vs York Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
The Hive Stadium, London 27/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Barnet Rest
3 days
York Rest
3 days
Barnet vs York: the result in context
Barnet beat York 3-1 in the League Two on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Barnet tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.0 for York.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.05
X26%3.77
229%3.20
Double Chance
1X71%1.31
X255%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.44
No37%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.19 = 2.84
Over 1.581%1.14
Over 2.560%1.50
Over 3.538%2.25
Under 1.519%5.25
Under 2.540%2.43
Under 3.562%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.4 = 10.2
Over 8.567%1.37
Over 9.555%1.65
Over 10.544%2.05
Under 8.533%2.70
Under 9.545%2.08
Under 10.556%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.556%-
Over 4.537%-
Under 3.544%-
Under 4.563%-
Match Events
11'Dean BrennanDissent
14'Ollie Banks INArthur Read out
29'Alex Hunt
37'Arthur ReadAssist: Joseph Rabole Felix
39'Kabongo Tshimanga
45+4'Hiram BoatengFoul
46'J MaskellNot retreating
49'Idris KanuArgument
52'Hiram Boateng
56'J Maskell INTom Knowles out
56'Idris Kanu INNnamdi Ofoborh out
57'Ryan Fallowfield INMorgan·Williams out
57'Joey Grey INJ. Stones out
62'Ollie PearceNot retreating
63'Brandon Comley INJake Reeves out
64'Adam Senior INKane Smith out
68'Scott LindseyDissent
71'Ollie Pearce INFrankie Maguire out
71'Joseph Rabole Felix INJeff King out
77'Jeff KingDissent
80'Jake Reeves
83'Jake ReevesFoul
83'Kabongo Tshimanga INDamola Ajayi out
87'Damola Ajayi
87'A. McNallyOG
90+2'Morgan·WilliamsFoul
90+2'Mark KitchingArgument
Lineups
BarnetYork
3-4-2-1Coach: S. LindseyAvg ratingAvg rating
13M. Cox
5A. Senior
4D. Collinge
25N. Tavares
3R. Crichlow-Noble
11I. Kanu
22O. Gallagher
14B. Comley
8C. Lakin
9J. Maskell
20K. Tshimanga
1A. Shane McNally
2R. Fallowfield
5Z. Johnson
3M. Kitching
23J. Felix
21H. Boateng
8A. Hunt
12H. Boyes
28O. Banks
7J. Grey
10O. PearceBarnet Substitutes
17D. Ajayi83'for Kabongo Tshimanga87'
36Anthony Haralambous
7T. Knowles56'for J Maskell
10N. Ofoborh56'for Idris Kanu
23J. Reeves63'for Brandon Comley80'83'
18K. Smith64'for Adam Senior
6Z. Williams
York Substitutes
16A. Read14'for Ollie Banks37'
24M. Williams57'for Ryan Fallowfield90+2'
11F. Maguire71'for Ollie Pearce
15J. King71'for Joseph Rabole Felix77'
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
9J. Stones57'replaced by Joey Grey
30A. Newby
Match Stats
BarnetYork 60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots2
17Fouls11
5Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
399Total Passes262
293Passes Accurate148
10Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
BarnetYork1636Elo Rating 1621
1.39Attack 1.55
1.68Defense 2.41
36%Hit Rate 41%
15.5Shots per Game 13.9
4.8Shots on Target 4.1
8.1Corners per Game 4.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Barnet- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
York- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Barnet3Wins · 50%Draws00%
York3Wins · 50%
3Wins · 50%3.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6
Previous meetings
18/02/2025BarnetYork31
22/10/2024YorkBarnet31
24/02/2024BarnetYork20
26/09/2023YorkBarnet24
03/04/2023YorkBarnet10
01/10/2022BarnetYork05
Recent Form
Barnet5W4D1L
24/10/2026Barnet
OldhamBarnet
Swindon Town
TranmereBarnet
Bristol RoversBarnetBarnet
Accrington STBarnet
Cheltenham
BarnetOldham11
D20/10/2026BarnetSwindon Town13
L17/10/2026TranmereBarnet12
W10/10/2026Bristol RoversBarnet13
W06/10/2026
AFC WimbledonBarnet
AFC WimbledonBarnet7080
W19/09/2026Barnet
Fleetwood Town
12/09/2026BarnetFleetwood Town31
WBarnetAccrington ST21
W05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
ChesterfieldBarnet33
D01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
29/08/2026Exeter CityBarnet11
DBarnetCheltenham22
DYork3W4D3L
24/10/2026York
Port ValeYorkAccrington ST
Newport CountyYorkYork
NorthamptonYork
GillinghamChesterfieldYork
YorkPort Vale20
W20/10/2026YorkAccrington ST11
D17/10/2026Newport CountyYork11
D10/10/2026YorkNorthampton11
D26/09/2026YorkGillingham30
W22/09/2026York
Rotherham
19/09/2026YorkRotherham4151
LChesterfieldYork20
L15/09/2026York
Newcastle United U21
YorkNewcastle United U2113
L12/09/2026YorkSwindon Town
YorkSwindon Town40
W05/09/2026
CreweYork
CreweYork11
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 | York | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 20 | LWDDD |
| 6 |  Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 13 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the Barnet vs York forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Barnet and York in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Barnet are 2nd and York 5th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Barnet 27-17, York 22-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.