Port Vale vs Rochdale Prediction

Port Vale
4-2
Finished
HT 3-0
Rochdale
Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent·E. Heaslip 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Port Vale Rest
3 days
Rochdale Rest
6 days

Port Vale vs Rochdale: the result in context

Port Vale beat Rochdale 4-2 in the League Two on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Port Vale had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Rochdale.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.63
X
26%3.77
2
19%5.13
Double Chance
1X
81%1.14
X2
45%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.90
No
48%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.1 = 2.61
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.93
Over 3.5
30%3.30
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.83
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.45
Over 9.5
54%1.79
Over 10.5
42%2.23
Under 8.5
35%2.54
Under 9.5
46%1.93
Under 10.5
58%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

2'Onel HernándezAssist: Kyle Dempsey
11'George Byers(Penalty)
15'Harvey GilmourFoul
22'Jordan Gabriel
33'Glenn MiddletonFoul
38'Cian HayesFoul
45'Zain Silcott-Duberry INEdward Francis out
45'Cian Hayes INLuke Hannant out
45'Glenn Middleton INIan Henderson out
48'Cameron HumphreysFoul
53'Max Watters INKeyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales out
54'Onel Hernández INOliver Lynch out
62'George ByersFoul
70'George Byers INRhys Walters out
72'Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko INJamie Paterson out
72'Kaiden Wilson INsam beckwith out
82'Ian HendersonAssist: Luke Hannant
86'Keyrol Alexis Figueroa NoralesAssist: George Cardinal Joseph·Hall
87'George Cardinal Joseph·Hall INMaleace asamoah out
88'Jordan Gabriel INKyle John out
90+5'Charlie Tasker

Lineups

Port Vale
3-5-2Coach: J. Brady
Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating5.94
M. Maroši6.620M. Maroši
C. Humphreys6.025C. Humphreys
J. Moon6.74J. Moon
C. Hall6.65C. Hall
J. Lawrence-Gabriel7.16J. Lawrence-Gabriel
K. Dempsey7.710K. Dempsey
G. Byers7.37G. Byers
G. Hall7.633G. Hall
J. Headley6.23J. Headley
M. Watters6.436M. Watters
O. Hernández7.911O. Hernández
Sam William John Waller5.420S. William John Waller
S. Sherring5.726S. Sherring
A. Flint5.644A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson6.13K. Wilson
C. Tasker5.92C. Tasker
B. Adeeko5.317B. Adeeko
H. Gilmour5.68H. Gilmour
C. Hayes5.57C. Hayes
Z. Silcott-Duberry5.711Z. Silcott-Duberry
G. Middleton5.545G. Middleton
D. Brown6.439D. Brown

Port Vale Substitutes

27M. Asamoah87'for George Cardinal Joseph·Hall6.5
2K. John88'for Jordan Gabriel6.6
12A. McGowan
1J. Smith
38R. Walters70'for George Byers6.4
24K. Figueroa53'for Max Watters 86'7.3
14O. Lynch54'for Onel Hernández6.5

Rochdale Substitutes

35J. Paterson72'for Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko6.3
40I. Henderson45'for Glenn Middleton82'7.2
19L. Hannant45'for Cian Hayes6.3
14E. Francis45'for Zain Silcott-Duberry6.9
33S. Beckwith72'for Kaiden Wilson5.8
12J. Spaven
56Reece Leonard

Match Stats

Port ValeRochdale
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
11Fouls17
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
416Total Passes429
320Passes Accurate324
17Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Port ValePort Vale
RochdaleRochdale
1542Elo Rating 1520
1.85Attack 1.01
2.35Defense 0.00
58%Hit Rate 0%
12.7Shots per Game 9.5
5.6Shots on Target 2.3
4.5Corners per Game 4.8
1.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Port ValePort Vale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Port ValePort Vale0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
RochdaleRochdale1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

League Two22/02/2022
RochdalePort Vale
11
League Two04/09/2021
Port ValeRochdale
23

Recent Form

Port ValePort Vale
5W1D4L
27/10/2026
Port ValeManchester City U21
50
W
24/10/2026
YorkPort Vale
20
L
20/10/2026
GillinghamPort Vale
11
D
17/10/2026
Port ValeChesterfield
10
W
10/10/2026
Port ValeGrimsby
10
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
W
22/09/2026
ChesterfieldPort Vale
4131
L
19/09/2026
WalsallPort Vale
20
L
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
W
05/09/2026
Salford CityPort Vale
10
L

Referee Profile

E. Heaslip4 matches analysed

4.19Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Port Vale vs Rochdale forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Port Vale and Rochdale in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Port Vale (17th) and Rochdale (18th) are level on 15 points. League goal record so far: Port Vale 10-14, Rochdale 17-26. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Port Vale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Port Vale and Rochdale have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.