Ceara vs Criciuma Prediction

Ceara
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Criciuma
Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza·Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho 09/10/2026
CearaCeara
1-0
Finished
CriciumaCriciuma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Ceara Rest
5 days
Criciuma Rest
5 days

Ceara vs Criciuma: the result in context

Ceara beat Criciuma 1-0 in the Serie B on 8 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.65
X
29%3.10
2
33%2.64
Double Chance
1X
67%1.42
X2
62%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.92
No
51%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.97 = 2.30
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.27
Over 3.5
21%4.33
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
58%1.58
Under 3.5
79%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5 = 10.3
Over 8.5
70%1.31
Over 9.5
58%1.58
Over 10.5
47%1.98
Under 8.5
30%2.97
Under 9.5
42%2.21
Under 10.5
53%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%1.75
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%2.02

Match Events

44'Marcelo HermesFoul
48'Rodrigo FagundesFoul
54'Rómulo Otero INRomarinho out
63'Enzo Lodovico INRian Santana out
63'Renzo López INLenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli out
67'RonaldFoul
68'Yuri Jonathan INCaue out
69'Fellipe Mateus INWillean Bernardo out
75'Ronald INEduardo Biasi out
75'Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva INJoão Carlos Barros Lopes out
78'ViníciusPersistent infringement
78'Vinícius INLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares out
78'Julio Cesar INRafael Ramos out
84'Matheus Araujo INLucas Mugni out
88'Lenny Ivo Lobato RomanelliAssist: Vinicius Zanocelo

Lineups

Ceara
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Paulista
Criciuma
4-3-3Coach: Umberto Louzer
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.62
Richard7.11Richard
Júlio7.618Júlio
Luiz Otávio7.24L. Otávio
Luiz Otávio7.513L. Otávio
Sanchez7.412Sanchez
Vinicius Zanocelo7.725V. Zanocelo
Joao Gabriel7.281J. Gabriel
6060E. Lodovico
Vina6.929Vina
Matheus Araújo6.58M. Araújo
R. López6.494R. López
Airton7.032Airton
Marcinho7.66Marcinho
Rodrigo6.63Rodrigo
Luciano Castán6.94L. Castán
Marcelo Hermes6.922M. Hermes
Ronald5.914Ronald
Jean Irmer6.841J. Irmer
Fellipe Mateus6.77F. Mateus
Jhonata Robert6.210J. Robert
Yuri6.033Yuri
R. Otero7.191R. Otero

Ceara Substitutes

26Richardson
23Caíque França
33Éder
11N. Ferreira
7Giovanni Pavani
77Lenny Lobato63'for Renzo López88'7.8
10L. Mugni84'for Matheus Araujo6.8
99Lucca78'for Vinícius6.7
22Matheus Nogueira
78Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
16Rian Santana63'replaced by Enzo Lodovico
2Rafael Ramos78'for Julio Cesar7.0

Criciuma Substitutes

5Eduardo75'for Ronald6.5
37César Martins
88Cauê68'for Yuri Jonathan6.3
34Bruno Alves
1Alisson
21João Carlos75'for Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva6.3
11Romarinho54'for Rómulo Otero6.4
50Thiaguinho
97Willean Lepo69'for Fellipe Mateus6.6
70Pedro
31Hiago Accinelli da Roza

Match Stats

CearaCriciuma
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box12
4Blocked Shots8
16Fouls17
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
443Total Passes445
383Passes Accurate386
16Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

CearaCeara
CriciumaCriciuma
1611Elo Rating 1633
1.18Attack 0.98
1.95Defense 2.30
36%Hit Rate 56%
13.1Shots per Game 16.5
3.9Shots on Target 2.7
5.2Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CearaCeara2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
CriciumaCriciuma0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
Serie B02/09/2023
CearaCriciuma
10
Serie B21/05/2023
CriciumaCeara
12
5.19Cards per match
4.94Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho5.19
Other referees5.07

5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Ceara vs Criciuma forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ceara and Criciuma in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 5th and Ceara 16th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Ceara 37-44, Criciuma 36-30. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.