FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
FC Porto Rest
6 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
3 days
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: result, form and history
PSV Eindhoven beat FC Porto 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 20 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: FC Porto had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for PSV Eindhoven.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.53
X21%4.60
217%5.72
Double Chance
1X83%1.15
X238%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.65
No45%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.29 = 2.80
Over 1.580%1.14
Over 2.559%1.54
Over 3.537%2.40
Under 1.520%4.92
Under 2.541%2.38
Under 3.563%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.3 = 8.3
Over 8.545%1.47
Over 9.534%1.85
Over 10.524%2.37
Under 8.555%2.40
Under 9.566%1.92
Under 10.576%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.566%1.44
Over 4.547%1.91
Under 3.534%2.67
Under 4.553%1.83
Match Events
39'Lutsharel GeertruidaFoul
57'Guus TilAssist: Sven Mijnans
58'Oskar Pietuszewski INBorja Sainz out
58'Samuel Aghehowa INAndré Silva out
58'Gabri Veiga INHwang In-Beom out
69'Zaidu Sanusi INJoão Victor de Souza Menezes out
74'Yarek Gasiorowski INArmando Obispo out
75'Mauro JúniorTime wasting
76'Victor Froholdt INSeko Fofana out
81'Mauro Júnior INNoah Fernandez out
81'Esmir Bajraktarević INDennis Man out
88'Ivan Perišić INAmir Bouhamdi out
88'Filip Kostić INRyan Flamingo out
Lineups
FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: P. BoszAvg ratingAvg rating
99D. Costa
20A. Baio
5J. Bednarek
4J. Kiwior
12Z. Sanusi
8V. Mow Froholdt
13P. Rosario
10G. Veiga
11P. Aquino
9Samu
77O. Pietuszewski
32M. Kovář
8S. Dest
2L. Geertruida
3Y. Gasiorowski
18F. Kostić
24K. Sano
17M. Júnior
19E. Bajraktarevic
21S. Mijnans
5I. Perišić
20G. TilFC Porto Substitutes
16Hwang In-Beom58'for Gabri Veiga
29S. Giménez
52Martim Fernandes
14Cláudio Ramos
18N. Pérez
17Borja Sainz58'for Oskar Pietuszewski
74Francisco Moura
24Andorinha
19André Silva58'for Samuel Aghehowa
22A. Varela
33Souza69'for Zaidu Sanusi
42S. Fofana76'for Victor Froholdt
PSV Eindhoven Substitutes
51T. Smolenaars
35A. Santos
1N. Olij
4A. Obispo74'for Yarek Gasiorowski
27D. Man81'for Esmir Bajraktarević
6R. Flamingo88'for Filip Kostić
31N. Fernandez81'for Mauro Júnior
42S. Cornecion
23M. Hansen
37A. Bouhamdi88'for Ivan Perišić
Match Stats
FC PortoPSV Eindhoven 40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal11
8Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
7Fouls9
5Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes610
339Passes Accurate526
9Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
FC PortoPSV Eindhoven1879Elo Rating 1903
1.41Attack 1.11
1.88Defense 1.92
58%Hit Rate 44%
14.5Shots per Game 14.6
5.4Shots on Target 3.6
4.2Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
FC Porto- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PSV Eindhoven- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
FC Porto8W0D2L
14/10/2026
Real BetisFC Porto
MaritimoFC Porto
Casa PiaFC PortoFC Porto
Manchester City
Academico ViseuFC PortoFC Porto
Arouca
Rio AveFC Porto
Real BetisFC Porto32
L10/10/2026MaritimoFC Porto12
W02/10/2026
Deportivo La CorunaFC Porto
Deportivo La CorunaFC Porto13
W20/09/2026FC Porto
Benfica
12/09/2026FC PortoBenfica31
WCasa PiaFC Porto14
W08/09/2026FC PortoManchester City02
L04/09/2026FC Porto
Moreirense
29/08/2026FC PortoMoreirense21
WAcademico ViseuFC Porto03
W23/08/2026FC PortoArouca20
W15/08/2026Rio AveFC Porto02
WPSV Eindhoven6W1D3L
17/10/2026
ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
RB LeipzigPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
TwentePSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
UtrechtPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Groningen
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven21
L13/10/2026RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven10
L09/10/2026PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
W20/09/2026TwentePSV Eindhoven32
L13/09/2026PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam41
W10/09/2026PSV Eindhoven
Shakhtar Donetsk
05/09/2026PSV EindhovenShakhtar Donetsk11
DAjaxPSV Eindhoven13
W30/08/2026UtrechtPSV Eindhoven16
W23/08/2026PSV EindhovenGroningen51
W15/08/2026ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven12
WReferee Profile
4.50Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).
Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- FC Porto Predictions
- PSV Eindhoven Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Standings
- UEFA Champions League Stats 2026
- UEFA Champions League top scorers
- UEFA Champions League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Champions League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Champions League matches
- Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain 14/10/26
- Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart 14/10/26
- Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha 20/10/26
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund 20/10/26
- AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava 20/10/26
- Liverpool vs Villarreal 20/10/26
- Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC 20/10/26
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt 20/10/26
About the FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, PSV Eindhoven are 18th and FC Porto 34th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Porto 2-6, PSV Eindhoven 2-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.