ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

ADO Den Haag
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
PSV Eindhoven
Bingoal Stadion, The Hague·Martin Van den Kerkhof 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
ADO Den Haag Rest
6 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
3 days

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: the result in context

ADO Den Haag beat PSV Eindhoven 2-1 in the Eredivisie on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: PSV Eindhoven had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for ADO Den Haag.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%8.80
X
16%6.45
2
72%1.26
Double Chance
1X
28%3.63
X2
88%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.52
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 2.49 = 3.52
Over 1.5
90%1.05
Over 2.5
76%1.25
Over 3.5
54%1.68
Under 1.5
10%8.80
Under 2.5
24%3.60
Under 3.5
46%2.11
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 6.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.22
Over 9.5
59%1.48
Over 10.5
48%1.74
Under 8.5
30%3.35
Under 9.5
41%2.48
Under 10.5
52%1.95
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

21'Sven MijnansAssist: Guus Til
38'Sven MijnansFoul
40'Guus Til INMikkel Bro Hansen out
42'Sekou SyllaFoul
43'Sven Mijnans
45'Jan Zamburek INMatěj Šín out
45'Sekou Sylla INOthniël Raterink out
45'Dennis Man INRyan Flamingo out
45'Lasse Wilhelm INJalen Hawkins out
55'Juho KiloAssist: Yannick Fereira Eduardo
58'Ayoni Santos INAmir Bouhamdi out
66'Jesse Bal INDaryl van Mieghem out
69'Othniël RaterinkFoul
69'Mauro Júnior INShuryjano Cornecion out
70'Jonas Jensen-Abbew INAlejandro Pozo out
73'Pascal MulderFoul
90+3'Matěj ŠínAssist: Evan Rottier

Lineups

ADO Den Haag
5-3-2Coach: R. Peter
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Bosz
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.57
K. Nikiéma6.81K. Nikiéma
J. Jensen-Abbew6.25J. Jensen-Abbew
L. Wilhelm6.722L. Wilhelm
P. Mulder6.83P. Mulder
M. Waem6.94M. Waem
S. Sylla6.018S. Sylla
J. Žambůrek6.78J. Žambůrek
J. Kilo8.225J. Kilo
E. Rottier7.311E. Rottier
Y. Eduardo6.446Y. Eduardo
J. Bal6.39J. Bal
M. Kovář5.832M. Kovář
S. Dest6.78S. Dest
L. Geertruida6.82L. Geertruida
A. Obispo7.14A. Obispo
F. Kostić6.718F. Kostić
K. Sano6.324K. Sano
Mauro Júnior6.417M. Júnior
D. Man6.127D. Man
G. Til7.620G. Til
A. Santos6.435A. Santos
S. Mijnans7.121S. Mijnans

ADO Den Haag Substitutes

16Finn de Bruin
7D. van Mieghem66'for Jesse Bal7.2
10Illaijh de Ruijter
17J. Hawkins45'for Lasse Wilhelm6.3
14M. Jiménez
20Caleb Kramer
21C. Peupion
24Alejandro Pozo70'replaced by Jonas Jensen-Abbew
2O. Raterink45'for Sekou Sylla69'5.9
33M. Šín45'for Jan Zamburek90+3'7.5
23N. Thiede
27N. Thomas

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

51T. Smolenaars
5I. Perišić
1N. Olij
3Yarek Gasiorowski
6R. Flamingo45'for Dennis Man6.5
31N. Fernandez
42S. Cornecion69'for Mauro Júnior6.1
23M. Hansen40'for Guus Til6.6
37A. Bouhamdi58'for Ayoni Santos6.3
19E. Bajraktarevic

Match Stats

ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
20Fouls9
1Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves1
476Total Passes424
401Passes Accurate358
9Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1615Elo Rating 1903
1.55Attack 1.11
1.13Defense 1.92
23%Hit Rate 44%
14.6Shots per Game 14.6
4.7Shots on Target 3.6
4.1Corners per Game 5.0
2.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.52 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven2Wins · 67%
4.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

KNVB Beker02/03/2023
PSV EindhovenADO Den Haag
31
Eredivisie13/02/2021
ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
22
Eredivisie01/11/2020
PSV EindhovenADO Den Haag
40

Referee Profile

Martin Van den Kerkhof170 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.52Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
19.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Van den Kerkhof2.65
Other referees3.22

2.65 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.22).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
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About the ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie table

The table shows a wide gap: PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the Eredivisie, while ADO Den Haag sit 17th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: ADO Den Haag 13-23, PSV Eindhoven 28-13. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.