Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL: the result in context
Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Fernando Hernandez Gomez averages 5.25 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1J. Rangel
23D. Aguirre
16L. Rey
3D. Campillo
25R. Alvarado
28R. González
11B. Gutiérrez
182L. Calderon
30S. Sandoval
10E. Álvarez
9Á. Sepúlveda
1N. Guzmán
15A. Franco
28Joaquim
33R. Guerrero
19M. Laínez
5C. Araújo
8F. Gorriarán
30D. Sánchez
16D. Lainez
17R. Aguirre
11J. BrunettaGuadalajara Chivas Substitutes
Tigres UANL Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.25 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).
Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36:21 | +15 | 29 | DDLWW | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:14 | +11 | 29 | WWWDD | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34:24 | +10 | 29 | WWWWD | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 | WWLWD | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31:21 | +10 | 24 | DDDDL | |
| 6 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 22 | DDWDD | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 | LDWLD | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | +5 | 21 | DLWWD | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 | WDLWD | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 | LLLLW | |
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 19 | WWLLD | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | LWWDL | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LLLDD | |
| 15 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 14 | LLWLL | |
| 17 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 | LDLLD | |
| 18 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12:34 | -22 | 8 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 36:21 | 29 | |
| 2 | 15 | 25:14 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 34:24 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 26:26 | 27 | |
| 5 | 15 | 31:21 | 24 | |
| 6 | 15 | 25:21 | 22 | |
| 7 | 15 | 22:20 | 22 | |
| 8 | 15 | 21:20 | 22 | |
| 9 | 14 | 26:21 | 21 | |
| 10 | 15 | 22:24 | 20 | |
| 11 | 14 | 18:21 | 20 | |
| 12 | 15 | 25:19 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 19:23 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 17:23 | 16 | |
| 15 | 15 | 15:22 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 16:24 | 14 | |
| 17 | 15 | 16:28 | 10 | |
| 18 | 15 | 12:34 | 8 |
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This match
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About the Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL in the Liga MX table
The table shows a wide gap: Guadalajara Chivas are 2nd in the Liga MX, while Tigres UANL sit 15th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Guadalajara Chivas 25-14, Tigres UANL 15-22. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


