Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Estadio Libertad Financiera·J. Camacho Peregrina 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Atletico San Luis Rest
5 days
Guadalajara Chivas Rest
7 days

Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas: the result in context

Guadalajara Chivas beat Atletico San Luis 3-0 in the Liga MX on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Guadalajara Chivas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Atletico San Luis.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Guadalajara Chivas tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 3.4 for Atletico San Luis.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.19
X
28%3.70
2
47%1.79
Double Chance
1X
53%1.95
X2
75%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.62
No
37%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.46 = 2.56
Over 1.5
73%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.70
Over 3.5
31%2.63
Under 1.5
27%4.25
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
69%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.55
Over 9.5
52%2.01
Over 10.5
39%2.46
Under 8.5
34%2.23
Under 9.5
48%1.73
Under 10.5
61%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.32
Over 4.5
45%1.80
Under 3.5
35%2.77
Under 4.5
55%1.91

Match Events

6'Andrés SánchezOG
10'Ricardo MarínAssist: Ángel Sepúlveda
30'Anderson Duarte INLucas Esteves out
33'Andrés Sánchez INManuel Lajud out
45'Johan Caicedo INLeonardo Flores out
45+3'Johan CaicedoFoul
61'Hugo Camberos INRichard Ledezma out
61'Ángel Sepúlveda INEfrain Alvarez out
71'Miguel García INSebastián Pérez Bouquet out
71'David Rodriguez INLuis Ronaldo Najera Reyna out
71'Santiago Sandoval INLuis Rey out
71'Daniel Aguirre INKevin Castañeda out
79'Fernando González INBrian Gutierrez out
80'Richard LedezmaAssist: Ricardo Marín

Lineups

Atletico San Luis
5-4-1Coach: Diego Mejía
Guadalajara Chivas
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Milito
Avg rating5.87
Avg rating7.09
A. Sánchez4.31A. Sánchez
R. Torres5.82R. Torres
Robson Bambu6.43R. Bambu
M. García6.514M. García
E.  Águila6.431E. Águila
A. Duarte5.417A. Duarte
D. Rodríguez5.711D. Rodríguez
J. Caicedo6.013J. Caicedo
Ó. Macías5.421Ó. Macías
S. Salles-Lamonge6.310S. Salles-Lamonge
Rafa Llorente6.522R. Llorente
J. Rangel8.21J. Rangel
D. Aguirre7.523D. Aguirre
D. Campillo7.53D. Campillo
L. Romo7.27L. Romo
R. Alvarado7.225R. Alvarado
O. Govea6.36O. Govea
R. González6.728R. González
H. Camberos6.214H. Camberos
Santiago Sandoval6.630S. Sandoval
R. Marín8.117R. Marín
Á. Sepúlveda6.79Á. Sepúlveda

Atletico San Luis Substitutes

26S. Pérez Bouquet71'for Miguel García6.2
7B. Galdames
20L. Flores45'for Johan Caicedo6.7
16Lucas Esteves30'for Anderson Duarte6.3
18A. Cruz
30B. Galindo
25G. Lajud33'for Andrés Sánchez4.3
5R. Meraz
19S. Muñóz
8L. Nájera71'for David Rodriguez5.8

Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes

19K. Castañeda71'for Daniel Aguirre6.9
56Á. Chávez
11B. Gutiérrez79'for Fernando González7.0
57J. Hernández
37R. Ledezma61'for Hugo Camberos80'7.8
18J. Pérez
16L. Rey71'for Santiago Sandoval7.0
13Óscar Whalley
10E. Álvarez61'for Ángel Sepúlveda6.6
33J. Carrillo

Match Stats

Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
50%Ball Possession50%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
8Fouls8
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
557Total Passes564
458Passes Accurate469
82%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
1605Elo Rating 1713
1.51Attack 0.98
1.96Defense 1.96
64%Hit Rate 27%
11.8Shots per Game 17.6
4.5Shots on Target 4.8
3.4Corners per Game 9.1
0.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX01/02/2026
Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
23
Liga MX27/07/2025
Guadalajara ChivasAtletico San Luis
43
Liga MX27/02/2025
Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
31
Liga MX10/11/2024
Guadalajara ChivasAtletico San Luis
01
Liga MX05/02/2024
Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
02
Liga MX09/07/2023
Guadalajara ChivasAtletico San Luis
31
Liga MX14/01/2023
Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
00
Liga MX10/07/2022
Guadalajara ChivasAtletico San Luis
01
Liga MX03/03/2022
Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
22
Liga MX25/07/2021
Guadalajara ChivasAtletico San Luis
12

Recent Form

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
2W3D5L
31/08/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
13
W
24/08/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
17/08/2026
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
30
L
13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
5232
L
10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
41
L
06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
42
L
01/08/2026
Atletico San LuisClub Tijuana
00
D
26/07/2026
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
22
D
18/07/2026
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
23
L
10/07/2026
Atletico San LuisMineros de Zacatecas
40
W
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
4W3D3L
30/08/2026
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
11
D
23/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
52
W
17/08/2026
Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas
01
W
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
W
09/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas
01
L
06/08/2026
Los Angeles FCGuadalajara Chivas
5141
L
01/08/2026
PueblaGuadalajara Chivas
11
D
26/07/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
10
W
19/07/2026
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
02
L
04/07/2026
Correcaminos UatGuadalajara Chivas
00
D

Referee Profile

J. Camacho Peregrina97 matches

4.63Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Camacho Peregrina4.63
Other referees4.67

4.63 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd and Atletico San Luis 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico San Luis 19-22, Guadalajara Chivas 21-12. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.