Toluca vs FC Juarez Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Toluca vs FC Juarez: the result in context
Toluca beat FC Juarez 4-0 in the Liga MX on 31 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Toluca have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Referee Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Toluca
1H. Gonzalez
184S. Aceves
13Luan
6F. Pereira
25E. López
5F. Romero
23O. Virgen
11Helinho
7V. Guzmán
9A. Vega
29J. Díaz
1S. Jurado
33F. Nevarez
3J. Murillo
2G. Sepúlveda
20J. Aquino
13R. Dourado
6Monchu
5D. Garcia
10J. Torres
11J. Luis Rodríguez
19Ó. EstupiñánToluca Substitutes
FC Juarez Substitutes
Match Stats
TolucaFC Juarez Team Comparison
TolucaFC JuarezAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toluca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC Juarez- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Toluca6Wins · 60%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
09/03/2026TolucaFC Juarez30/11/2025TolucaFC Juarez27/11/2025FC JuarezToluca12/08/2025FC JuarezToluca23/02/2025FC JuarezToluca14/07/2024TolucaFC Juarez09/03/2024FC JuarezToluca16/07/2023TolucaFC Juarez23/04/2023TolucaFC Juarez09/10/2022TolucaFC JuarezRecent Form
TolucaToluca
Austin
Club QueretaroToluca
Atlante FCTolucaToluca
FC DallasToluca
Los Angeles FCToluca
Seattle SoundersToluca
NecaxaToluca
Cruz AzulToluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara ChivasTolucaFC JuarezFC Juarez
Club America
MonterreyFC Juarez
Real Salt LakeFC Juarez
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Juarez
Minnesota United FCFC JuarezFC JuarezU.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasFC JuarezFC Juarez
Puebla
Colorado RapidsFC Juarez
Mineros de ZacatecasFC JuarezReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.65 cards a match, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).
Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36:21 | +15 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:14 | +11 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34:24 | +10 | 29 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31:21 | +10 | 24 | DDDDL |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 7 |  Leon | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Santos Laguna | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 9 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | +5 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 | WDLWD |
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 | LLLLW |
| 12 |  CF Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 19 | WWLLD |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | LWWDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LLLDD |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 14 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12:34 | -22 | 8 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 36:21 | 29 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 25:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 34:24 | 29 |
| 4 | Atlas | 15 | 26:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 31:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 25:21 | 22 |
| 7 | Leon | 15 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 14 | 26:21 | 21 |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 18:21 | 20 |
| 12 | CF Pachuca | 15 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 15 | 16:24 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 15 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 15 | 12:34 | 8 |
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About the Toluca vs FC Juarez forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Toluca and FC Juarez in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Toluca are 5th and FC Juarez 18th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Toluca 31-21, FC Juarez 12-34. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.