Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Estadio BBVA, Monterrey·Luis Santander, Mexico 31/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Monterrey Rest
5 days
Atletico San Luis Rest
7 days

Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis: result, form and history

Atletico San Luis beat Monterrey 3-1 in the Liga MX on 31 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Monterrey had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Atletico San Luis.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Luis Santander averages 4.12 cards a game, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.63
X
22%4.15
2
18%4.80
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
40%2.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.56
No
29%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 1.15 = 3.54
Over 1.5
89%1.14
Over 2.5
69%1.52
Over 3.5
46%2.33
Under 1.5
11%5.03
Under 2.5
31%2.42
Under 3.5
54%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.61
Over 9.5
53%2.04
Over 10.5
39%2.54
Under 8.5
36%2.15
Under 9.5
47%1.70
Under 10.5
61%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%1.36
Over 4.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
31%2.85
Under 4.5
49%1.89

Match Events

5'D. Rodriguez
22'Goal Disallowed - FoulO. Galvez
36'R. LlorenteAssist: O. Macias
45+3'E. AguilaUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'U. Djurdjevic INO. Pineda out
46'J. Rodriguez INO. Torres out
46'I. Fimbres INA. Aceves out
58'A. AcevesFoul
66'A. DuarteFoul
67'O. Galvez INH. Cuypers out
67'E. Aguirre IND. Rossi out
68'R. Llorente INL. Flores out
70'M. Garcia INB. Galindo out
73'H. CuypersAssist: F. Ambriz
74'A. Duarte INA. Cruz out
74'D. Rodriguez INR. Meraz out
79'O. MaciasAssist: L. Flores
84'O. Macias INS. Perez out

Match Stats

MonterreyAtletico San Luis
72%Ball Possession28%
14Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves7
666Total Passes265
601Passes Accurate194
90%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

MonterreyMonterrey
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1651Elo Rating 1605
2.20Attack 1.51
1.64Defense 1.96
64%Hit Rate 64%
12.6Shots per Game 11.8
4.8Shots on Target 4.5
5.7Corners per Game 3.4
1.9Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.53 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonterreyMonterrey
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonterreyMonterrey4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX05/04/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
12
Liga MX19/07/2025
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
01
Liga MX23/02/2025
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
31
Liga MX08/12/2024
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
51
Liga MX05/12/2024
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
21
Liga MX06/10/2024
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
10
Liga MX28/01/2024
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
31
Liga MX03/12/2023
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
11
Liga MX30/11/2023
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
10
Liga MX02/07/2023
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
11

Recent Form

MonterreyMonterrey
6W1D3L
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
W
22/08/2026
LeonMonterrey
20
L
16/08/2026
MonterreyFC Juarez
61
W
13/08/2026
MonterreyNashville SC
21
W
09/08/2026
Inter MiamiMonterrey
12
W
06/08/2026
MonterreyOrlando City SC
12
L
02/08/2026
AtlasMonterrey
02
W
27/07/2026
NecaxaMonterrey
21
L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
W
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
2W3D5L
24/08/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
17/08/2026
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
30
L
13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
5232
L
10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
41
L
06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
42
L
01/08/2026
Atletico San LuisClub Tijuana
00
D
26/07/2026
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
22
D
18/07/2026
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
23
L
10/07/2026
Atletico San LuisMineros de Zacatecas
40
W
07/07/2026
Atletico San LuisSporting San Jose
40
W

Referee Profile

Luis Santander155 matches

4.12Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Santander4.12
Other referees4.76

4.12 cards a match, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monterrey and Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Monterrey are 7th and Atletico San Luis 11th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Monterrey 23-18, Atletico San Luis 19-22. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monterrey have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.