Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Cruz Azul
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City·M. Quintero 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalHIGHModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Cruz Azul Rest
8 days
Santos Laguna Rest
7 days

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna: the result in context

Cruz Azul beat Santos Laguna 1-0 in the Liga MX on 7 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.38
X
14%5.00
2
13%6.80
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
27%2.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.60
No
45%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 0.81 = 2.89
Over 1.5
87%1.11
Over 2.5
64%1.41
Over 3.5
42%2.07
Under 1.5
13%6.00
Under 2.5
36%2.77
Under 3.5
58%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.3 = 10
Over 8.5
68%1.34
Over 9.5
54%1.61
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
32%2.83
Under 9.5
46%2.16
Under 10.5
59%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 0.9 + 1.8 = 2.7
Over 3.5
28%-
Over 4.5
14%1.78
Under 3.5
72%-
Under 4.5
86%1.92

Match Events

50'Aldo LopezFoul
61'Luka Romero INJosé Paradela out
61'Rogelio Andrés González Román INAlan Mozo out
61'L. Gómez INEsteban Lozano out
79'Nicolás Ibañez INGabriel Fernández out
79'Ángel Márquez INErik Lira out
84'Diego González INEmmanuel Echeverria out
84'Ezequiel Bullaude INEduardo Aguirre out
84'Aldo Lopez INFrancisco Villalba out
87'Kevin Palacios INRamiro Sordo out
87'Carlos Rodriguez INAndrés Montaño out
89'José ParadelaAssist: Andrés Montaño

Lineups

Cruz Azul
4-1-4-1Coach: Joel Huiqui
Santos Laguna
3-4-3Coach: Renato Paiva
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.70
K. Mier7.423K. Mier
R. Gonzalez6.755R. Gonzalez
W. Ditta7.74W. Ditta
J. Orozco8.05J. Orozco
O. Campos7.63O. Campos
A. García7.017A. García
C. Rodríguez7.219C. Rodríguez
J. Márquez7.216J. Márquez
A. Palavecino7.08A. Palavecino
L. Romero7.318L. Romero
N. Ibáñez6.57N. Ibáñez
C. Acevedo8.61C. Acevedo
Jonathan Pérez6.828J. Pérez
Felipe Sánchez7.425F. Sánchez
E. Orona7.214E. Orona
M. Cuevas6.33M. Cuevas
S. Mariscal6.58S. Mariscal
A. López6.25A. López
Luis Gómez6.1193L. Gómez
K. Palacios6.577K. Palacios
E. Bullaude6.410E. Bullaude
D. González6.27D. González

Cruz Azul Substitutes

20J. Paradela61'for Luka Romero89'8.2
22J. Rodarte
2A. Mozo61'for Rogelio Andrés González Román7.1
33G. Piovi
11C. Ebere
21G. Fernández79'for Nicolás Ibañez6.6
1A. Gudiño
6É. Lira79'for Ángel Márquez6.9
10A. Montaño87'for Carlos Rodriguez6.9
12A. Montes

Santos Laguna Substitutes

4J. Abella
17E. Echeverría84'for Diego González6.6
6J. Güémez
33H. Holguín
20E. Lozano61'for L. Gómez6.7
24D. Medina
18F. Pardo
26R. Sordo87'for Kevin Palacios6.4
21Fran Villalba84'for Aldo Lopez6.9
19E. Aguirre84'for Ezequiel Bullaude6.3

Match Stats

Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
62%Ball Possession38%
8Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots3
8Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
578Total Passes364
511Passes Accurate302
88%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1763Elo Rating 1614
2.77Attack 2.66
1.51Defense 2.52
50%Hit Rate 100%
16.6Shots per Game 14.9
6.3Shots on Target 5.6
5.0Corners per Game 6.1
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+149 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Cruz AzulCruz Azul5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX04/03/2026
Santos LagunaCruz Azul
12
Liga MX17/08/2025
Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
32
Liga MX20/02/2025
Santos LagunaCruz Azul
01
Liga MX03/11/2024
Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
20
Liga MX10/03/2024
Santos LagunaCruz Azul
30
Liga MX21/08/2023
Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
22
Liga MX30/04/2023
Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
32
Liga MX07/08/2022
Santos LagunaCruz Azul
40
Liga MX28/02/2022
Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
12
Liga MX02/08/2021
Santos LagunaCruz Azul
11

Recent Form

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1W1D8L
30/08/2026
Santos LagunaTigres UANL
00
D
23/08/2026
PueblaSantos Laguna
32
L
17/08/2026
Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas
01
L
14/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna
02
W
10/08/2026
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
31
L
07/08/2026
New York City FCSantos Laguna
20
L
03/08/2026
Club AmericaSantos Laguna
30
L
26/07/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
L
10/07/2026
Santos LagunaAmerica de Cali
01
L

Referee Profile

M. Quintero109 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Quintero4.53
Other referees4.65

4.53 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1484234:19+1528DLWWD
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1456322:18+421DWDDD
8MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1434:1928
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1422:1821
8MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul are 2nd and Santos Laguna 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Cruz Azul 32-23, Santos Laguna 20-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Santos Laguna have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.