Atlas vs Atlante FC Prediction

Atlas
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Atlante FC
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara·I. Lopez 06/09/2026
AtlasAtlas
1-1
Finished
Atlante FCAtlante FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+8.8%
Atlas Rest
7 days
Atlante FC Rest
8 days

Atlas vs Atlante FC: the result in context

Atlas and Atlante FC drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 6 Sep 2026. Atlas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Atlante FC.

Referee I. Lopez averages 5.5 cards a game, stricter than 89% of the referees we track.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.93
X
28%3.40
2
21%3.75
Double Chance
1X
79%1.25
X2
49%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.70
No
37%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.14 = 2.61
Over 1.5
77%1.27
Over 2.5
55%1.85
Over 3.5
33%3.04
Under 1.5
23%3.65
Under 2.5
45%1.91
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Luís André Leite Esteves
14'Eugenio PizzutoFoul
32'Penalty confirmedLuis Puente
35'Jhojan Julio(Penalty missed)
45'Armando Escobar INMartín Fernández out
48'Martín Sarrafiore
51'Penalty cancelledJhojan Julio
57'Ryan Mmaee INSergio Hernández out
58'Jorge Rodríguez INMilton Valenzuela out
70'Aarón Quirós INDiogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar out
70'Luis Puente INJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa out
75'Eduardo TerceroFoul
77'Aldo RochaFoul
80'Joaquín Alejandro Moxica ChapaFoul
81'Arturo González INJ. Serrato out
86'Rodrigo SchlegelFoul
87'Aldo Rocha INPaulo Ramirez out
90'Walter Portales INJuan Carrera out
90+3'Cristóbal Alfaro INGilberto Adame out

Lineups

Atlas
5-3-2Coach: H. Crespo
Atlante FC
5-3-2Coach: Miguel Herrera
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.34
C. Vargas6.612C. Vargas
J. Sánchez6.53J. Sánchez
A. Frías6.919A. Frías
M. Capasso7.428M. Capasso
R. Schlegel6.821R. Schlegel
J. Rodríguez6.75J. Rodríguez
A. González6.558A. González
A. Rocha6.226A. Rocha
Luís Esteves8.210L. Esteves
F. Monzón6.19F. Monzón
R. Mmaee6.48R. Mmaee
Ó. Jiménez6.71Ó. Jiménez
Walter Portales6.329W. Portales
C. Alfaro6.214C. Alfaro
E. Tercero5.84E. Tercero
A. Quiroz6.744A. Quiroz
A. Escobar6.027A. Escobar
M. Sarrafiore7.230M. Sarrafiore
E. Pizzuto6.68E. Pizzuto
L. Calzadilla5.919L. Calzadilla
J. Julio6.17J. Julio
L. Puente6.59L. Puente

Atlas Substitutes

16M. Valenzuela58'for Jorge Rodríguez6.9
23S. Hernández57'for Ryan Mmaee6.4
11Duk
13G. Aguirre
27V. Ríos
203J. Martín
4A. Mora
15Paulo Ramírez87'for Aldo Rocha6.6
192Jesús Serrato81'for Arturo González6.3
22A. Sánchez

Atlante FC Substitutes

32D. Bagüí70'for Aarón Quirós6.5
18C. Bermúdez
6J. N. Carrera90'for Walter Portales
15Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
37W. Clar
25M. Fernández45'for Armando Escobar6.3
33Jordan García
16José González
11Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa70'for Luis Puente80'6.2
20G. Adame90+3'for Cristóbal Alfaro

Match Stats

AtlasAtlante FC
64%Ball Possession36%
3Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
19Fouls16
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
521Total Passes298
417Passes Accurate218
16Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
Atlante FCAtlante FC
1605Elo Rating 1540
1.83Attack 0.99
0.98Defense 1.73
39%Hit Rate 37%
17.3Shots per Game 15.9
4.8Shots on Target 6.6
8.1Corners per Game 7.5
1.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Atlante FCAtlante FC
2W4D4L
29/08/2026
Atlante FCLeon
11
D
22/08/2026
Tigres UANLAtlante FC
20
L
16/08/2026
Atlante FCToluca
00
D
12/08/2026
Minnesota United FCAtlante FC
31
L
09/08/2026
Real Salt LakeAtlante FC
40
L
05/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAtlante FC
01
W
02/08/2026
Cruz AzulAtlante FC
23
W
25/07/2026
Atlante FCClub America
11
D
17/07/2026
NecaxaAtlante FC
21
L
10/07/2026
Atlante FCToluca
33
D

Referee Profile

I. Lopez50 matches analysed

5.45Cards per match
5.06Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1484234:19+1528DLWWD
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1456322:18+421DWDDD
8MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1434:1928
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1422:1821
8MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
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About the Atlas vs Atlante FC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlas and Atlante FC in the Liga MX table

The table shows a wide gap: Atlas are 4th in the Liga MX, while Atlante FC sit 16th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Atlas 25-26, Atlante FC 14-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atlas and Atlante FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.