Tigres UANL vs Puebla Prediction

Tigres UANL
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Puebla
Estadio Universitario, Monterey·Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Tigres UANL Rest
8 days
Puebla Rest
8 days

Tigres UANL vs Puebla: result, form and history

Tigres UANL beat Puebla 1-0 in the Liga MX on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tigres UANL have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce averages 3.50 cards a game, 1.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.57
X
23%4.10
2
16%5.10
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
40%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 0.91 = 2.94
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
23%3.95
Under 2.5
45%2.06
Under 3.5
66%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
65%1.29
Over 9.5
54%1.53
Over 10.5
44%1.90
Under 8.5
35%3.05
Under 9.5
46%2.27
Under 10.5
56%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.67
Over 4.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
39%2.10
Under 4.5
58%1.67

Match Events

18'Alejandro OrganistaFoul
45'Juan Vigón INCesar Araujo out
45'Carlos Baltazar INOscar Villa out
49'Penalty confirmedFacundo Almada
54'Juan Brunetta(Penalty)
68'Brayan Garnica INOmar Moreno out
69'Ignacio Maestro INL. Hernández out
74'Jonathan Herrera INDiego Lainez out
83'José Pachuca INIker Moreno out
87'Guillermo Martinez INRicardo Monreal out
87'Diego Sánchez INAntonio de María y Campos Moreno out
90'Fernando Monarrez INHeriberto Jurado out
90+3'Mauro Laínez INVladimir Loroña out

Lineups

Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Vucetich
Puebla
4-2-3-1Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.50
N. Guzmán6.71N. Guzmán
D. Sánchez6.230D. Sánchez
Joaquim6.328Joaquim
R. Guerrero6.833R. Guerrero
M. Laínez7.019M. Laínez
A. Franco6.915A. Franco
F. Gorriarán7.08F. Gorriarán
O. Herrera6.077O. Herrera
J. Vigón6.66J. Vigón
J. Brunetta7.811J. Brunetta
G. Martínez6.422G. Martínez
R. Gutiérrez6.928R. Gutiérrez
J. Pachuca6.720J. Pachuca
F. Almada6.85F. Almada
J. Vargas7.04J. Vargas
F. Monárrez6.67F. Monárrez
A. Organista6.724A. Organista
S. Sanabria6.521S. Sanabria
B. Garnica6.027B. Garnica
M. Tomás6.610M. Tomás
C. Baltazar6.422C. Baltazar
I. Maestro Puch6.219I. Maestro Puch

Tigres UANL Substitutes

25F. Rodríguez
32V. Loroña90+3'for Mauro Laínez6.6
184I. Aceves
26F. Ordóñez
5C. Araújo45'for Juan Vigón6.1
16D. Lainez74'for Jonathan Herrera6.4
29J. Contreras
21R. Monreal87'for Guillermo Martinez6.5
205A. de María y Campos87'for Diego Sánchez6.5
192E. J. Villavicencio Avila

Puebla Substitutes

15Ó. Villa45'for Carlos Baltazar5.8
2Á. Leyva
25H. Jurado90'for Fernando Monarrez6.3
16A. Ramírez
8O. Moreno68'for Brayan Garnica6.5
3A. Herrera
12I. Moreno83'for José Pachuca6.2
33J. Rodríguez
34Lucas Camilo
9L. Hernández69'for Ignacio Maestro6.7

Match Stats

Tigres UANLPuebla
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
7Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
495Total Passes392
424Passes Accurate311
6Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
PueblaPuebla
1636Elo Rating 1483
1.10Attack 1.20
1.75Defense 0.70
31%Hit Rate 0%
14.7Shots per Game 11.7
6.6Shots on Target 3.7
6.9Corners per Game 2.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+153 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PueblaPuebla
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tigres UANLTigres UANL6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
PueblaPuebla1Wins · 10%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX05/03/2026
PueblaTigres UANL
31
Liga MX09/08/2025
Tigres UANLPuebla
70
Liga MX05/04/2025
PueblaTigres UANL
00
Liga MX06/10/2024
Tigres UANLPuebla
10
Liga MX30/03/2024
PueblaTigres UANL
23
Liga MX04/12/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
30
Liga MX01/12/2023
PueblaTigres UANL
22
Liga MX02/07/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
11
Liga MX08/05/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
10
Liga MX21/04/2023
Tigres UANLPuebla
10

Recent Form

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
4W3D3L
19/09/2026
FC JuarezTigres UANL
20
L
13/09/2026
MonterreyTigres UANL
00
D
06/09/2026
Tigres UANLNecaxa
11
D
30/08/2026
Santos LagunaTigres UANL
00
D
22/08/2026
Tigres UANLAtlante FC
20
W
16/08/2026
AtlasTigres UANL
21
L
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
W
08/08/2026
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FC
4020
W
05/08/2026
Tigres UANLReal Salt Lake
6151
W
02/08/2026
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
32
L

Referee Profile

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce82 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce3.50
Other referees4.77

3.50 cards a match, 1.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1464421:18+322DWLDW
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3AtlasAtlas1526:2627
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1421:1822
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
Promotion

About the Tigres UANL vs Puebla forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tigres UANL and Puebla in the Liga MX table

Puebla and Tigres UANL are close in the Liga MX table, 14th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Tigres UANL 15-22, Puebla 17-23. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.