Necaxa vs Club America Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.58
SignalNEUTRALModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Necaxa Rest
8 days
Club America Rest
7 days
Necaxa vs Club America: result, form and history
Club America beat Necaxa 4-2 in the Liga MX on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
125%3.60
X26%3.54
249%1.94
Double Chance
1X52%1.80
X275%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.58
No41%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.68 = 2.90
Over 1.578%1.20
Over 2.555%1.68
Over 3.535%2.62
Under 1.522%4.20
Under 2.545%2.13
Under 3.565%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.1 = 9.9
Over 8.565%1.32
Over 9.551%1.59
Over 10.539%1.99
Under 8.535%2.90
Under 9.549%2.21
Under 10.561%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.568%1.45
Over 4.549%1.83
Under 3.532%2.60
Under 4.551%1.83
Match Events
33'Erick SánchezFoul
37'Owen GonzálezAssist: Julián Carranza
39'Henry Martin
43'Julián Carranza(Penalty)
45+7'Penalty cancelledHenry Martin
45+10'Henry Martin(Penalty)
56'Miguel Borja
62'Raúl MartínezFoul
63'Carlos Vargas INMauro Zaleta out
63'Owen González INJavier Ruiz out
72'Matias Espindola INJuan Torres out
72'Raúl Martínez INKevin Ante out
75'Henry Martin(Penalty)
75'Carlos Álvarez INAlexis Gutierrez out
75'Miguel Borja INalejandro cardenas out
75'Edwin Cerrillo INÍcaro Da Conceição out
82'Miguel Rodriguez INJuan Valencia out
82'Álex Zendejas INDerek Ramses Jimenez out
82'Dagoberto Espinoza INKevin Alvarez out
87'Diego OchoaFoul
90'Javier RuizFoul
90+5'Cristian BorjaDissent
Lineups
NecaxaClub America
4-4-2Coach: G. AlmadaAvg ratingAvg rating
12L. Jiménez
33R. Martínez
5K. Naves
15D. Ochoa
88C. Vargas
6D. Leyva
16P. Pedraza
13O. de Jesús González Ojeda
99M. Rodríguez
9J. Carranza
21M. Espíndola
30R. Cota
34D. Espinoza
2E. Lara
32M. Vázquez
26C. Borja
10A. Zendejas
28É. Sánchez
6E. Cerrillo
8C. Álvarez
9H. Martín
93M. BorjaNecaxa Substitutes
14M. Zaleta63'for Carlos Vargas
17R. Cortéz
7K. Rosero72'for Raúl Martínez
1C. Andrade
8L. Faravelli
2E. Martínez
20F. Méndez
10J. Ruiz63'for Owen González90'
11J. Torres72'for Matias Espindola
90J. Valencia82'for Miguel Rodriguez
Club America Substitutes
189A. Cardenas75'for Miguel Borja
20A. Gutiérrez75'for Carlos Álvarez
206Derek Ramses Jimenez82'replaced by Álex Zendejas
29R. Juárez
1L. Malagón
15S. Ramos
24F. Rossano
217Icaro75'for Edwin Cerrillo
5K. Álvarez82'for Dagoberto Espinoza
14S. Bueno
Match Stats
NecaxaClub America 53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal10
4Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots6
16Fouls6
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
464Total Passes398
367Passes Accurate308
4Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
NecaxaClub America1482Elo Rating 1744
1.05Attack 2.44
1.05Defense 1.24
0%Hit Rate 36%
15.5Shots per Game 19.5
5.4Shots on Target 7.9
5.9Corners per Game 6.0
2.0Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Club America- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Necaxa1Wins · 10%Draws440%
Club America5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
31/01/2026Club AmericaNecaxa20
27/07/2025NecaxaClub America11
15/02/2025Club AmericaNecaxa23
22/09/2024NecaxaClub America11
28/01/2024NecaxaClub America00
24/08/2023Club AmericaNecaxa32
12/02/2023Club AmericaNecaxa21
16/12/2022Club AmericaNecaxa33
11/09/2022NecaxaClub America12
03/04/2022NecaxaClub America01
Recent Form
Necaxa1W2D7L
20/09/2026
Atletico San LuisNecaxaNecaxa
PueblaNecaxa
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
TolucaNecaxa
Atletico San LuisNecaxa31
L12/09/2026NecaxaPuebla01
L06/09/2026
Tigres UANLNecaxa
29/08/2026Tigres UANLNecaxa11
DNecaxaCruz Azul13
L24/08/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa11
D18/08/2026Necaxa
Leon
NecaxaLeon12
L14/08/2026
New York City FCNecaxa
New York City FCNecaxa12
W10/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa31
L07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
03/08/2026Chicago FireNecaxa20
LTolucaNecaxa31
LClub America5W1D4L
20/09/2026Club America
Guadalajara ChivasCruz AzulClub AmericaClub America
MonterreyClub AmericaPuebla
FC JuarezClub AmericaClub AmericaAtletico San LuisClub America
Portland Timbers
Club AmericaGuadalajara Chivas22
D13/09/2026Cruz AzulClub America43
L07/09/2026LeonClub America
03/09/2026LeonClub America10
LClub AmericaMonterrey4252
L30/08/2026Club AmericaPuebla20
W27/08/2026Club America
Columbus Crew
22/08/2026Club AmericaColumbus Crew20
WFC JuarezClub America12
W17/08/2026Club AmericaAtletico San Luis30
W14/08/2026Club America
Austin
10/08/2026Club AmericaAustin5161
LClub AmericaPortland Timbers31
WReferee Profile
4.77Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
20.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.77 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.75).
Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36:21 | +15 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:14 | +11 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34:24 | +10 | 29 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31:21 | +10 | 24 | DDDDL |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 7 | Leon | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Santos Laguna | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 9 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | +5 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 | WDLWD |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 | LLLLW |
| 12 |  CF Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 19 | WWLLD |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | LWWDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 14 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12:34 | -22 | 8 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 36:21 | 29 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 25:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 34:24 | 29 |
| 4 | Atlas | 15 | 26:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 31:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 25:21 | 22 |
| 7 | Leon | 15 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 14 | 26:21 | 21 |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 18:21 | 20 |
| 12 | CF Pachuca | 15 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 15 | 16:24 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 15 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 15 | 12:34 | 8 |
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About the Necaxa vs Club America forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Necaxa and Club America in the Liga MX table
The table shows a wide gap: Club America are 1st in the Liga MX, while Necaxa sit 17th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Necaxa 16-28, Club America 36-21. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.