Manchester City vs Ipswich Prediction

Manchester City
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Ipswich
Etihad Stadium, Manchester·Farai Hallam 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
Manchester City Rest
2 days
Ipswich Rest
7 days

Manchester City vs Ipswich: result, form and history

Manchester City beat Ipswich 3-2 in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Manchester City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Ipswich.

Referee Farai Hallam averages 3.47 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
83%1.25
X
10%6.65
2
7%10.13
Double Chance
1X
93%1.06
X2
18%4.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.62
No
45%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.41 + 0.82 = 3.23
Over 1.5
85%1.07
Over 2.5
70%1.30
Over 3.5
50%1.83
Under 1.5
15%6.95
Under 2.5
30%3.36
Under 3.5
50%1.97
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.9 + 3.3 = 11.2
Over 8.5
74%1.30
Over 9.5
65%1.53
Over 10.5
54%1.91
Under 8.5
26%3.07
Under 9.5
35%2.32
Under 10.5
46%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%2.25
Over 4.5
30%3.40
Under 3.5
51%1.59
Under 4.5
70%1.29

Match Events

19'Phil FodenAssist: Jeremy Doku
21'Daizen MaedaAssist: Abdoul Ouattara
34'Erling HaalandAssist: Mateo Kovačić
50'Mateo Kovačić INEnzo Fernández out
61'Nico O'Reilly INJosko Gvardiol out
69'Erling HaalandAssist: Iliman Ndiaye
71'Florentino Luís INAzor Matusiwa out
71'Daizen Maeda INAbdul Fatawu Issahaku out
73'Abdoul OuattaraFoul
76'Matheus Nunes INAbdukodir Khusanov out
77'Phil Foden INElliot Anderson out
77'Jeremy Doku INAntoine Semenyo out
78'Emersonn INZian Flemming out
78'Julio Enciso INChuba Akpom out
85'Goal cancelledErling Haaland
88'Penalty confirmedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku
90'Zian Flemming(Penalty)
90+1'Jacob Greaves INJack Clarke out
90+7'Josko GvardiolFoul
90+12'Leif DavisFoul

Lineups

Manchester City
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Maresca
Ipswich
3-4-2-1Coach: G. O'Neil
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.43
G. Donnarumma6.01G. Donnarumma
Matheus Nunes6.227M. Nunes
Rúben Dias7.03R. Dias
M. Guéhi6.96M. Guéhi
N. O'Reilly5.833N. O'Reilly
M. Kovačić7.78M. Kovačić
A. Bouaddi6.732A. Bouaddi
I. Ndiaye6.47I. Ndiaye
P. Foden8.247P. Foden
J. Doku7.311J. Doku
E. Haaland9.89E. Haaland
C. Walton6.728C. Walton
D. O'Shea6.126D. O'Shea
I. Diop6.46I. Diop
J. Greaves6.224J. Greaves
A. Ouattara6.842A. Ouattara
Florentino5.912Florentino
E. Palacios6.625E. Palacios
L. Davis6.33L. Davis
D. Maeda7.038D. Maeda
J. Enciso5.810J. Enciso
Emersonn6.319Emersonn

Manchester City Substitutes

17E. Fernández50'for Mateo Kovačić6.5
10R. Cherki
42A. Semenyo77'for Jeremy Doku6.5
37Allan
28G. Rulli
21R. Aït-Nouri
24J. Gvardiol61'for Nico O'Reilly90+7'5.5
45A. Khusanov76'for Matheus Nunes6.2
5E. Anderson77'for Phil Foden6.0

Ipswich Substitutes

2D. Furlong
4C. Kipré
5A. Matusiwa71'for Florentino Luís5.9
7A. Fatawu71'for Daizen Maeda6.5
11J. Philogene
47J. Clarke90+1'for Jacob Greaves
29C. Akpom78'for Julio Enciso6.5
37K. Scherpen
9Z. Flemming78'for Emersonn90'7.7

Match Stats

Manchester CityIpswich
70%Ball Possession30%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots0
8Fouls16
2Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves4
753Total Passes319
679Passes Accurate258
15Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Manchester CityManchester City
IpswichIpswich
2020Elo Rating 1714
2.75Attack 1.40
1.18Defense 1.12
56%Hit Rate 19%
18.2Shots per Game 9.1
6.7Shots on Target 3.6
6.8Corners per Game 2.2
1.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+305 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Manchester CityManchester City
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
IpswichIpswich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Manchester CityManchester City2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
IpswichIpswich0Wins · 0%
5.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League19/01/2025
IpswichManchester City
06
Premier League24/08/2024
Manchester CityIpswich
41

Referee Profile

Farai Hallam131 matches

3.47Cards per match
3.45Yellow cards per match
0.01Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Farai Hallam3.47
Other referees3.97

3.47 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7LeedsLeeds82519:6+311DDLDW
8NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
9Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland81256:14-85DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7LeedsLeeds89:611
8NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
9Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland86:145
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Manchester City vs Ipswich forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manchester City and Ipswich in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Manchester City are 1st and Ipswich 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester City 20-9, Ipswich 12-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Manchester City and Ipswich have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.