Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Palmeiras vs Corinthians: result, form and history
Palmeiras beat Corinthians 4-1 in the Serie A on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Palmeiras had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Corinthians.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Palmeiras
Avg ratingAvg rating
1C. Miguel
26Murilo
15G. Gómez
2A. Barboza
4A. Giay
8A. Pereira
30L. Evangelista
22J. Piquerez
42J. López
11J. Arias
9V. Roque
1H. Souza
2Matheuzinho
3G. Paulista
13G. Henrique
21M. Bidu
14Raniele
7Breno
19A. Carrillo
49Andre
9Y. Alberto
10M. DepayPalmeiras Substitutes
Corinthians Substitutes
Match Stats
PalmeirasCorinthians Team Comparison
PalmeirasCorinthiansAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Corinthians- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Palmeiras2Wins · 20%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
12/04/2026CorinthiansPalmeiras
09/02/2026CorinthiansPalmeiras31/08/2025CorinthiansPalmeiras
07/08/2025PalmeirasCorinthians31/07/2025CorinthiansPalmeiras12/04/2025PalmeirasCorinthians28/03/2025CorinthiansPalmeiras16/03/2025PalmeirasCorinthians07/02/2025PalmeirasCorinthians05/11/2024CorinthiansPalmeirasRecent Form
PalmeirasPalmeiras
Bahia
GremioPalmeiras
LDU de QuitoPalmeirasPalmeiras
Sao PauloPalmeirasLDU de Quito
BotafogoPalmeiras
SantosPalmeiras
MirassolPalmeirasPalmeirasSantosPalmeiras
Vasco DA GamaCorinthians
InternacionalCorinthiansCorinthians
FluminenseCorinthians
Estudiantes L.P.
FlamengoCorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.CorinthiansCorinthians
Chapecoense-scCorinthiansSantos
CoritibaCorinthiansCorinthians
Rosario CentralCorinthians
CruzeiroReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 238 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 42 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | -13 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 37 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 33 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Palmeiras vs Corinthians forecast
As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Palmeiras and Corinthians in the Serie A table
The table shows a wide gap: Palmeiras are 2nd in the Serie A, while Corinthians sit 17th, 34 points behind. League goal record so far: Palmeiras 56-22, Corinthians 36-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.