Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

Guzhenkou University Sports Center, Qingdao·Gao Peng, China 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.51
SignalHIGHModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+14.5%
Qingdao Youth Island Rest
8 days
Shandong Luneng Rest
8 days

Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng: result, form and history

Qingdao Youth Island beat Shandong Luneng 2-0 in the Super League on 22 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Shandong Luneng had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Qingdao Youth Island.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.52
X
29%3.50
2
30%2.51
Double Chance
1X
70%1.47
X2
59%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.49
No
51%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.21 = 2.53
Over 1.5
72%1.17
Over 2.5
48%1.58
Over 3.5
25%2.47
Under 1.5
28%4.50
Under 2.5
52%2.25
Under 3.5
75%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.41
Over 9.5
49%1.67
Over 10.5
36%2.13
Under 8.5
40%2.65
Under 9.5
51%2.05
Under 10.5
64%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

5'A. YakubuAssist: N. Da Luz
45'Xie WennengFoul
46'Huang Zhengyu INMemet Imran out
46'Chen Pu INMijit Mewlan out
60'Yang Ruiqi INR. Merkies out
69'Peng Xinli INMeng Jingchao out
73'Xie Wenneng INY. Peng out
73'Gao Zhunyi INPeng Xiao out
74'Guilherme MadrugaFoul
74'Zhang Chengdong INLohman Elnizar out
80'A. Yakubu INNan Song out
80'Wang Gengrui INHe Longhai out
82'Davidson
87'Peng XinliUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Guilherme MadrugaUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Guilherme MadrugaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Qingdao Youth Island
4-2-3-1Coach: Bowen Huang
Shandong Luneng
4-4-2Coach: Tian Tang
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.47
Hao Li7.216H. Li
Yu Dong7.319Y. Dong
Samir Memisevic7.55S. Memisevic
Bruno Viana7.32B. Viana
Gengrui Wang7.522G. Wang
Xiuwei Zhang6.98X. Zhang
Chengdong Zhang6.928C. Zhang
Nelson Luz8.010N. Luz
Xinli Peng6.925X. Peng
DavidsonC7.711Davidson
Aziz7.79Aziz
Yu Jinyong6.01Y. Jinyong
Zhunyi Gao6.333Z. Gao
Yang Ruiqi6.22Y. Ruiqi
Pedro Álvaro6.323P. Álvaro
Yang Liu7.011Y. Liu
Wenneng Xie6.27W. Xie
Guilherme Madruga6.28G. Madruga
Zhengyu Huang6.935Z. Huang
Chen Pu5.929C. Pu
CryzanC7.39Cryzan
Valeri Qazaishvili6.610V. Qazaishvili

Qingdao Youth Island Substitutes

21Jingchao Meng69'for Peng Xinli6.6
4Elnizar Lohman74'for Zhang Chengdong6.6
20Longhai He80'for Wang Gengrui6.7
35Song Nan80'for A. Yakubu6.3
26Shibo Liu
37Dong Hang
15Peng Wang
32Haifeng Ding
36Jie Sun
30Yang Zhanpeng
31Xie Chujun
18Barak Braunshtain

Shandong Luneng Substitutes

38Memet Imran46'for Huang Zhengyu6.3
28Maiwulang Mijiti6.6
17Raphaël Merkies60'for Yang Ruiqi6.7
3Peng Xiao73'for Gao Zhunyi6.7
42Yixiang Peng73'for Xie Wenneng6.3
36Qiwei Liu
32Qihang Sun
15Songchen Shi
5Zheng Zheng
34Jiaxi Yin
22Yuanyi Li

Match Stats

Qingdao Youth IslandShandong Luneng
37%Ball Possession63%
3Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
10Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots7
11Fouls14
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
300Total Passes517
227Passes Accurate432
76%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
1564Elo Rating 1647
0.74Attack 2.85
1.25Defense 1.41
0%Hit Rate 50%
12.6Shots per Game 16.2
4.0Shots on Target 6.8
4.9Corners per Game 3.6
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng4Wins · 57%
3.0Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Super League01/05/2026
Shandong LunengQingdao Youth Island
11
Super League24/08/2025
Shandong LunengQingdao Youth Island
32
Super League15/04/2025
Qingdao Youth IslandShandong Luneng
15
Super League13/09/2024
Shandong LunengQingdao Youth Island
01
FA Cup17/07/2024
Qingdao Youth IslandShandong Luneng
04
Super League04/05/2024
Qingdao Youth IslandShandong Luneng
00
FA Cup18/10/2021
Shandong LunengQingdao Youth Island
30

Referee Profile

Gao Peng52 matches

3.71Cards per match
3.43Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
29.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gao Peng3.71
Other referees4.01

3.71 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.01).

Cards come from 21 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Qingdao Youth Island and Shandong Luneng in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Shandong Luneng are 4th and Qingdao Youth Island 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Qingdao Youth Island 32-38, Shandong Luneng 57-47. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.