Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction

Rennes
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Strasbourg
Roazhon Park, Rennes·Ruddy Buquet 25/10/2026
RennesRennes
3-0
Finished
StrasbourgStrasbourg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Rennes Rest
2 days
Strasbourg Rest
8 days

Rennes vs Strasbourg: the result in context

Rennes beat Strasbourg 3-0 in the Ligue 1 on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Rennes have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Rennes tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 2.9 for Strasbourg.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.76
X
22%4.25
2
24%4.00
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
46%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.42
No
34%2.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 1.39 = 3.25
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
67%1.43
Over 3.5
47%2.10
Under 1.5
16%5.91
Under 2.5
33%2.78
Under 3.5
53%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.43
Over 9.5
43%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.17
Under 8.5
45%2.60
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.73
Over 4.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
41%2.02
Under 4.5
60%1.50

Match Events

33'Gessime YassineDissent
34'Boulaye DiaAssist: Przemysław Frankowski
34'Goal confirmedBoulaye Dia
41'Sebastian SzymańskiAssist: Mahamadou Nagida
45'Dario Essugo INYaya Dieme out
56'Boulaye DiaFoul
61'Sebastian SzymańskiAssist: Mousa Al-Tamari
64'Mousa Al-Tamari INAdrien Thomasson out
64'Boulaye Dia INEliezer Mayenda out
65'Giovanni ReynaFoul
70'Conrad Harder INJacobo Ortega out
70'Diogo Sousa INSamir El-Mourabet out
70'Gessime Yassine INMartial Godo out
71'Mahamadou Nagida INQuentin Merlin out
78'Mahdi Camara INDjaoui Cissé out
78'Sebastian Szymański INLudovic Blas out
84'Giovanni Reyna INOmari Kellyman out
87'Pape Demba DiopDissent

Lineups

Rennes
5-3-2Coach: F. Haise
Strasbourg
4-2-3-1Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Avg rating7.07
Avg rating6.00
B. Samba7.230B. Samba
P. Frankowski7.195P. Frankowski
A. Ait Boudlal7.048A. Ait Boudlal
C. Cresswell7.04C. Cresswell
A. Rouault7.624A. Rouault
M. Nagida6.918M. Nagida
S. Szymański8.917S. Szymański
V. Rongier7.221V. Rongier
M. Camara6.745M. Camara
B. Dia7.722B. Dia
Mousa Tamari6.611M. Tamari
F. Jörgensen5.31F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi5.916G. Antwi
J. Mitchell6.04J. Mitchell
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly6.631A. Karim Coulibaly
Oso5.736Oso
P. Diop6.421P. Diop
Dário Essugo5.714D. Essugo
Gessime Yassine5.480G. Yassine
Diogo Sousa5.223D. Sousa
G. Reyna6.110G. Reyna
C. Harder6.440C. Harder

Rennes Substitutes

60Kilian Belazzoug
26Q. Merlin71'for Mahamadou Nagida6.7
5Gonçalo Oliveira
14B. Reynolds
28A. Thomasson64'for Mousa Al-Tamari6.5
10L. Blas78'for Sebastian Szymański6.9
6D. Cissé78'for Mahdi Camara6.6
90I. Soumaré
12Eliezer Mayenda64'for Boulaye Dia6.5

Strasbourg Substitutes

12M. Piekutowski
43Y. Becker
24L. Høgsberg
29S. El Mourabet70'for Diogo Sousa6.0
28Tyrese Noubissie
20M. Godo70'for Gessime Yassine6.4
26O. Kellyman84'for Giovanni Reyna5.8
30J. Ortega70'for Conrad Harder6.3
35Yaya Dieme45'replaced by Dario Essugo

Match Stats

RennesStrasbourg
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots4
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
476Total Passes539
398Passes Accurate437
14Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

RennesRennes
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1813Elo Rating 1744
2.39Attack 0.73
0.46Defense 0.64
37%Hit Rate 0%
16.9Shots per Game 11.9
7.0Shots on Target 3.9
5.8Corners per Game 2.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RennesRennes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RennesRennes6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
StrasbourgStrasbourg3Wins · 30%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 119/04/2026
StrasbourgRennes
03
Ligue 102/11/2025
RennesStrasbourg
41
Ligue 102/02/2025
RennesStrasbourg
10
Ligue 125/08/2024
StrasbourgRennes
31
Ligue 131/03/2024
StrasbourgRennes
20
Ligue 129/10/2023
RennesStrasbourg
11
Ligue 101/02/2023
RennesStrasbourg
30
Ligue 101/10/2022
StrasbourgRennes
13
Ligue 120/04/2022
StrasbourgRennes
21
Ligue 124/10/2021
RennesStrasbourg
10

Referee Profile

Ruddy Buquet186 matches

4.11Cards per match
3.87Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ruddy Buquet4.11
Other referees3.97

4.11 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 172 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon952215:7+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC952216:10+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
6MonacoMonaco943212:10+215LDLDW
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12StrasbourgStrasbourg931517:19-210WLLLL
13AuxerreAuxerre931513:23-1010LDWLW
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
15AngersAngers92259:17-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes92257:16-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans914411:18-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3LyonLyon915:717
4Paris FCParis FC916:1017
5RennesRennes920:1916
6MonacoMonaco912:1015
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens916:1313
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12StrasbourgStrasbourg917:1910
13AuxerreAuxerre913:2310
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
15AngersAngers99:178
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes97:168
17Le MansLe Mans911:187
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Rennes vs Strasbourg forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rennes and Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Rennes are 5th and Strasbourg 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rennes 20-19, Strasbourg 17-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.