Paris FC vs Rennes Prediction

Paris FC
4-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Rennes
Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino·Bastein Dechepy 18/10/2026
Paris FCParis FC
4-3
Finished
RennesRennes

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Paris FC Rest
7 days
Rennes Rest
2 days

Paris FC vs Rennes: result, form and history

Paris FC beat Rennes 4-3 in the Ligue 1 on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Rennes tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.8 for Paris FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.23
X
28%3.52
2
31%3.25
Double Chance
1X
69%1.33
X2
59%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.22 = 2.52
Over 1.5
75%1.19
Over 2.5
53%1.66
Over 3.5
32%2.62
Under 1.5
25%4.35
Under 2.5
47%2.23
Under 3.5
68%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.5 = 8.5
Over 8.5
47%1.47
Over 9.5
36%1.88
Over 10.5
26%2.27
Under 8.5
53%2.50
Under 9.5
64%1.94
Under 10.5
74%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.64
Over 4.5
40%2.15
Under 3.5
41%2.23
Under 4.5
60%1.65

Match Events

14'Maxime LópezAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
23'Przemysław FrankowskiHandball
29'Esteban Lepaul(Penalty)
32'Djaoui CisséFoul
36'Adrien ThomassonFoul
36'Anthony RouaultFoul
42'Samir CherguiDissent
45'Adrien Thomasson INValentin Rongier out
45'Ludovic Blas INMousa Al-Tamari out
45'Przemysław Frankowski INMahamadou Nagida out
45+4'Maxime LópezAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
51'Goal cancelledSebastian Szymański
62'Djaoui Cissé INMahdi Camara out
67'Ilan KebbalFoul
70'Pablo Pagis INRudy Matondo out
74'Esteban Lepaul(Penalty)
76'Lassine Sinayoko
79'Hamari Traore INOtavio out
79'Issa Soumaré INBoulaye Dia out
79'Ilan Kebbal INMoses Simon out
86'Luca Koleosho INMoustapha Mbow out
86'Samir Chergui INEmmanuel Mbemba out
88'Esteban Lepaul(Penalty)
90+3'Penalty confirmedLassine Sinayoko
90+5'Hamari TraoreDissent
90+7'Lassine Sinayoko(Penalty)

Lineups

Paris FC
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Rosenior
Rennes
4-3-3Coach: F. Haise
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.25
K. Trapp6.71K. Trapp
A. Camara6.617A. Camara
S. Chergui6.231S. Chergui
D. Coppola6.342D. Coppola
H. Traoré6.114H. Traoré
M. Lopez8.720M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou6.533P. Lees-Melou
I. Kebbal6.410I. Kebbal
P. Pagis6.27P. Pagis
L. Koleosho6.115L. Koleosho
L. Sinayoko9.59L. Sinayoko
B. Samba6.430B. Samba
B. Reynolds6.014B. Reynolds
C. Cresswell5.84C. Cresswell
A. Rouault5.824A. Rouault
P. Frankowski5.995P. Frankowski
S. Szymański6.017S. Szymański
D. Cissé5.76D. Cissé
A. Thomasson5.728A. Thomasson
L. Blas6.710L. Blas
E. Lepaul8.39E. Lepaul
I. Soumaré6.290I. Soumaré

Paris FC Substitutes

11J. Krasso
23R. Matondo70'for Pablo Pagis5.8
3E. Mbemba86'for Samir Chergui5.9
5M. Mbow86'for Luca Koleosho6.0
16O. Nkambadio
6Otávio79'for Hamari Traore5.9
27M. Simon79'for Ilan Kebbal6.5
18O. Sissoko
8E. Zabi

Rennes Substitutes

12Eliezer Mayenda
18M. Nagida45'for Przemysław Frankowski5.5
70A. Nordin
21V. Rongier45'for Adrien Thomasson6.9
11Mousa Tamari45'for Ludovic Blas6.4
22B. Dia79'for Issa Soumaré6.3
45M. Camara62'for Djaoui Cissé6.5
60Kilian Belazzoug
48A. Ait Boudlal

Match Stats

Paris FCRennes
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots4
13Fouls16
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
521Total Passes464
445Passes Accurate385
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Paris FCParis FC
RennesRennes
1792Elo Rating 1813
1.52Attack 2.39
1.41Defense 0.46
39%Hit Rate 37%
12.4Shots per Game 16.9
4.6Shots on Target 7.0
3.8Corners per Game 5.8
3.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Paris FCParis FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RennesRennes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Paris FCParis FC0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
RennesRennes2Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 110/05/2026
RennesParis FC
21
Ligue 107/11/2025
Paris FCRennes
01

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon952215:7+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC952216:10+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
6MonacoMonaco943212:10+215LDLDW
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12StrasbourgStrasbourg931517:19-210WLLLL
13AuxerreAuxerre931513:23-1010LDWLW
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
15AngersAngers92259:17-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes92257:16-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans914411:18-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3LyonLyon915:717
4Paris FCParis FC916:1017
5RennesRennes920:1916
6MonacoMonaco912:1015
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens916:1313
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12StrasbourgStrasbourg917:1910
13AuxerreAuxerre913:2310
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
15AngersAngers99:178
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes97:168
17Le MansLe Mans911:187
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Paris FC vs Rennes forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paris FC and Rennes in the Ligue 1 table

Paris FC and Rennes are close in the Ligue 1 table, 4th and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Paris FC 16-10, Rennes 20-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Paris FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Paris FC and Rennes have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.