Lorient vs Monaco Prediction

Lorient
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Monaco
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient·Marc Bollengier 18/10/2026
LorientLorient
1-0
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Lorient Rest
7 days
Monaco Rest
2 days

Lorient vs Monaco: result, form and history

Lorient beat Monaco 1-0 in the Ligue 1 on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.60
X
28%3.44
2
45%2.10
Double Chance
1X
55%1.75
X2
73%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.76
No
44%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.66 = 2.86
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
53%1.96
Over 3.5
31%3.34
Under 1.5
25%3.45
Under 2.5
47%1.90
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.60
Over 9.5
48%2.10
Over 10.5
37%2.55
Under 8.5
41%2.19
Under 9.5
52%1.72
Under 10.5
63%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
61%1.69
Over 4.5
42%2.29
Under 3.5
39%2.08
Under 4.5
58%1.58

Match Events

52'Takumi Minamino INEdan Diop out
57'Mohammed SalisuFoul
60'Denis ZakariaFoul
60'Flavio NazinhoDissent
61'Noah Cadiou(Penalty)
66'Ansu Fati INFolarin Balogun out
66'Denis Zakaria INMathys Detourbet out
66'Mohammed Salisu INChristian Mawissa out
66'Noah CadiouFoul
71'Ibrahima Balde INMamadou Kone out
75'Matthis Abline INMika Biereth out
76'Arsène KouassiDissent
79'Gabin Bernardeau INSouleymane Faye out
80'Christian MawissaFoul

Lineups

Lorient
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Dujeux
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Luís
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.65
Y. Mvogo7.538Y. Mvogo
N. Adjei7.132N. Adjei
M. Talbi7.43M. Talbi
S. Touré7.795S. Touré
D. Sylla6.320D. Sylla
N. Cadiou7.28N. Cadiou
A. Avom7.262A. Avom
K. Kouassi6.843K. Kouassi
J. Makengo6.917J. Makengo
G. Bernardeau6.333G. Bernardeau
I. Baldé6.718I. Baldé
L. Hrádecký6.71L. Hrádecký
Vanderson7.52Vanderson
Sadibou Sané6.972S. Sané
M. Salisu6.922M. Salisu
Flávio Nazinho6.220F. Nazinho
L. Camara7.28L. Camara
D. Zakaria6.86D. Zakaria
T. Minamino6.118T. Minamino
Ansu Fati6.631A. Fati
A. Golovin6.610A. Golovin
M. Abline6.311M. Abline

Lorient Substitutes

15A. Tosin
2A. Georgen
21B. Kamara
77P. Katseris
19S. Faye79'for Gabin Bernardeau6.4
42M. Kone71'for Ibrahima Balde6.6
30S. Kuzmić
11T. Le Bris
55N. Obaretin

Monaco Substitutes

4J. Teze
9F. Balogun66'for Ansu Fati6.5
14M. Biereth75'for Matthis Abline6.3
19Pape Cabral
28M. Coulibaly
7M. Detourbet66'for Denis Zakaria6.5
37E. Diop52'for Takumi Minamino7.1
16P. Köhn
13C. Mawissa Elebi66'for Mohammed Salisu80'6.4

Match Stats

LorientMonaco
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
9Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
477Total Passes661
400Passes Accurate596
84%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

LorientLorient
MonacoMonaco
1772Elo Rating 1883
0.87Attack 1.57
2.39Defense 2.09
42%Hit Rate 39%
8.9Shots per Game 15.0
2.7Shots on Target 5.4
4.2Corners per Game 4.5
1.6Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LorientLorient
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LorientLorient3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
MonacoMonaco2Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 116/01/2026
MonacoLorient
13
Ligue 127/09/2025
LorientMonaco
31
Ligue 117/03/2024
MonacoLorient
22
Ligue 117/09/2023
LorientMonaco
22
Ligue 116/04/2023
MonacoLorient
31
Ligue 111/01/2023
LorientMonaco
22
Ligue 113/02/2022
MonacoLorient
00
Ligue 113/08/2021
LorientMonaco
10
Ligue 114/02/2021
MonacoLorient
22
Ligue 106/01/2021
LorientMonaco
25

Referee Profile

Marc Bollengier133 matches

3.84Cards per match
3.63Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marc Bollengier3.84
Other referees3.89

3.84 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.89).

Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3RennesRennes920:1916
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens916:1313
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Lorient vs Monaco forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lorient and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco are 4th and Lorient 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Lorient 7-6, Monaco 11-7. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monaco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.