Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng Prediction
China · Regular Season - 25
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Shanghai Shenhua Rest
6 days
Shandong Luneng Rest
5 days
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng: the result in context
Shandong Luneng beat Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 in the Super League on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%1.60
X26%4.50
226%4.33
Double Chance
1X74%1.20
X252%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.30
No37%3.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.29 = 2.71
Over 1.576%1.06
Over 2.558%1.25
Over 3.536%1.65
Under 1.524%8.60
Under 2.542%3.65
Under 3.564%2.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.561%1.28
Over 9.550%1.55
Over 10.537%1.94
Under 8.539%3.12
Under 9.550%2.27
Under 10.563%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.540%-
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.560%-
Match Events
1'Mijit MewlanAssist: Cryzan
41'Rafael RataoAssist: Gao Tianyi
45+3'L. AsueAssist: Gao Tianyi
46'Memet Imran INHuang Zhengyu out
46'Liu Yang INGao Zhunyi out
46'Yin Jiaxi INY. Li out
50'ZecaUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'Saulo Mineiro INJ. Teixeira out
58'Yang RuiqiFoul
66'Mijit Mewlan INR. Merkies out
69'L. Asue INXu Haoyang out
69'Li Songyi INYang Shuai out
78'Gao Tianyi INWang Haijian out
78'Chan Shinichi INYang Zexiang out
79'Yang Ruiqi INPeng Xiao out
79'Cryzan(Penalty)
83'R. MerkiesAssist: Y. Li
89'Gao ZhunyiFoul
Lineups
Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng
3-4-3Coach: Tian TangAvg ratingAvg rating
1Q. Xue
13W. Manafá
6S. Li
5C. Zhu
27S. Chan
19L. Asué
17T. Gao
C15W. Xi
30X. Pengfei
9R. Ratão
11S. Mineiro
1Y. Jinyong
2Y. Ruiqi
23P. Álvaro
11Y. Liu
28M. Mijiti
34J. Yin
38M. Imran
29C. Pu
C9Cryzan
19Zeca
10V. QazaishviliShanghai Shenhua Substitutes
10João Carlos Teixeira57'for Saulo Mineiro
26Shuai Yang69'for Li Songyi
21Haoyang Xu69'for L. Asue
16Zexiang Yang78'for Chan Shinichi
33Haijian Wang78'for Gao Tianyi
24Zhen Ma
39Sun Dongyang
25Zhu Yue
2Shilong Wang
3Jin Shunkai
38Wu Qipeng
45Jiawen Han
Shandong Luneng Substitutes
33Zhunyi Gao46'for Liu Yang89'
35Zhengyu Huang46'for Memet Imran
22Yuanyi Li46'for Yin Jiaxi
17Raphaël Merkies66'replaced by Mijit Mewlan83'
3Peng Xiao79'for Yang Ruiqi
36Qiwei Liu
32Qihang Sun
15Songchen Shi
5Zheng Zheng
37Zeshi Chen
42Yixiang Peng
41Junwei Lu
Match Stats
Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng 59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box12
8Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls9
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
522Total Passes370
462Passes Accurate303
89%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng1637Elo Rating 1647
1.80Attack 2.85
1.94Defense 1.41
34%Hit Rate 50%
16.1Shots per Game 16.2
5.3Shots on Target 6.8
4.9Corners per Game 3.6
1.4Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Shanghai Shenhua- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shandong Luneng- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Shanghai Shenhua5Wins · 50%Draws110%
Shandong Luneng4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%3.0Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
05/05/2026Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua41
12/09/2025Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng33
26/04/2025Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua01
06/07/2024Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng60
31/03/2024Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua03
25/11/2023Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng10
11/07/2023Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua30
16/04/2023Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng10
11/01/2023Shanghai ShenhuaShandong Luneng02
07/11/2022Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua20
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua6W0D4L
22/08/2026
Chengdu Better CityShanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
Shenyang UrbanShanghai Shenhua
SHANGHAI SIPGShanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua
Tianjin TedaShanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
Dalian ZhixingShanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better CityShanghai Shenhua45
W18/08/2026Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
15/08/2026Shanghai ShenhuaBeijing Guoan03
LShanghai ShenhuaHenan Jianye41
W08/08/2026
Qingdao JonoonShanghai Shenhua
02/08/2026Qingdao JonoonShanghai Shenhua01
WShenyang UrbanShanghai Shenhua31
L25/07/2026SHANGHAI SIPGShanghai Shenhua20
L21/07/2026Shanghai ShenhuaQingdao Jonoon
18/07/2026Shanghai ShenhuaQingdao Jonoon41
WShanghai ShenhuaTianjin Teda02
L05/07/2026Shanghai ShenhuaHangzhou Greentown32
W28/06/2026Dalian ZhixingShanghai Shenhua14
WShandong Luneng6W0D4L
22/08/2026
Qingdao Youth IslandShandong LunengShandong LunengQingdao JonoonShandong LunengTianjin TedaSHANGHAI SIPGShandong LunengShandong LunengHenan JianyeDalian ZhixingShandong LunengShandong Luneng
Yunnan YukunBeijing GuoanShandong LunengShenyang UrbanShandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth IslandShandong Luneng20
L14/08/2026Shandong LunengQingdao Jonoon31
W09/08/2026Shandong LunengTianjin Teda21
W01/08/2026SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng01
W26/07/2026Shandong LunengHenan Jianye12
L21/07/2026
Wuhan Three TownsShandong Luneng
18/07/2026Wuhan Three TownsShandong Luneng3141
WDalian ZhixingShandong Luneng31
L10/07/2026Shandong LunengYunnan Yukun43
W04/07/2026Beijing GuoanShandong Luneng20
L27/06/2026Shenyang UrbanShandong Luneng15
WReferee Profile
4.01Cards per match
3.80Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 15% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51:35 | +16 | 52 | LLLDW |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46:43 | +3 | 49 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57:36 | +21 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57:47 | +10 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50:36 | +14 | 42 | WWWDW |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32:38 | -6 | 39 | DLLDD |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63:50 | +13 | 37 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 36 | WDDLD |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:54 | -3 | 34 | WLLWL |
| 11 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | +4 | 31 | LWWWW |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 29 | LWDLL |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 28 | LLDDD |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44:55 | -11 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34:62 | -28 | 14 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 29 | 51:35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 46:43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 57:36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 29 | 57:47 | 44 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 50:36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 32:38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 63:50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 31:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 51:54 | 34 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 39:51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 29 | 39:35 | 31 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 29 | 41:52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 29 | 38:42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 44:55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 34:62 | 14 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Super League matches
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng 22/08/26
- Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye 23/08/26
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon 23/08/26
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing 23/08/26
- Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan 28/08/26
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG 28/08/26
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns 29/08/26
- Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island 29/08/26
About the Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng forecast
The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng in the Super League table
In the Super League table, Shandong Luneng are 4th and Shanghai Shenhua 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Shanghai Shenhua 63-50, Shandong Luneng 57-47. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.