Alverca vs Arouca Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Alverca vs Arouca: the result in context
Arouca beat Alverca 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho averages 5.78 cards a game, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Alverca
Avg ratingAvg rating
31M. Mendes
14S. Baseya
21S. Gómez
12I. James
20D. Filipe Spencer Marques
35Rayan
6D. Gui
55F. Chissumba
10Chiquinho
19D. Camara
22Figueiredo
12I. de Arruabarrena
28T. Esgaio
15J. Sánchez
3J. Fontán
18O. Lebedenko
6E. van Ee
89P. Santos
19A. Trezza
8T. Fukui
7N. Djouahra
17BarberoAlverca Substitutes
Arouca Substitutes
Match Stats
AlvercaArouca Team Comparison
AlvercaAroucaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Alverca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Arouca- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Alverca1Wins · 50%1Wins · 50%Previous meetings
24/04/2026AlvercaArouca14/12/2025AroucaAlvercaRecent Form
Alverca
TondelaAlverca
FamalicaoAlvercaAlverca
Rio Ave
NacionalAlvercaAlverca
SC BragaAlverca
Santa Clara
Sporting CPAlvercaAlverca
Estrela
FC PortoAlvercaAlverca
Sporting CP BArouca
CF Os BelenensesAroucaAroucaEstrelaSporting CPAroucaAroucaSanta Clara
EstorilAroucaArouca
MaritimoFC PortoAroucaArouca
Moreirense
GuimaraesArouca
Lusitânia LourosaAroucaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.78 cards a match, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).
Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 5:15 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Alverca vs Arouca forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alverca and Arouca in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Arouca are 5th and Alverca 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Alverca 13-13, Arouca 12-7. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Arouca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Alverca and Arouca have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.