Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Estrela vs Casa Pia: the result in context
Casa Pia beat Estrela 2-0 in the Primeira Liga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 4.59 cards a game, 0.92 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Estrela
Avg ratingAvg rating
24L. Linck
21M. Scholze
30P. Luan
5S. Leković
55R. Soares
99A. Marcus
14L. Zvonarek
78S. Serra
39E. Doue
10I. Stoica
37L. Antonetti
1P. Sequeira
18Geraldes
3Kaly
43D. Sousa
75P. Rosas
80L. Ofori
24S. Pérez
11M. El Boukammiri
70J. Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
77B. Pauwels
90CassianoEstrela Substitutes
Casa Pia Substitutes
Match Stats
EstrelaCasa Pia Team Comparison
EstrelaCasa PiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Estrela- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
Casa Pia- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Estrela5Wins · 56%4Wins · 44%Previous meetings
18/07/2026EstrelaCasa Pia
20/03/2026EstrelaCasa Pia01/11/2025Casa PiaEstrela09/02/2025Casa PiaEstrela31/08/2024EstrelaCasa Pia08/03/2024EstrelaCasa Pia08/10/2023Casa PiaEstrela
23/04/2022Casa PiaEstrela13/12/2021EstrelaCasa PiaRecent Form
Estrela
FazendenseEstrela
AroucaEstrelaEstrela
Academico Viseu
Rio AveEstrelaEstrela
SC BragaEstrela
Famalicao
NacionalEstrela
AlvercaEstrelaEstrela
Sporting CPEstrela
Al-NassrCasa Pia
AlpendoradaCasa PiaCasa Pia
Santa Clara
EstorilCasa PiaCasa Pia
FC Porto
Vitória SCCasa PiaCasa Pia
Moreirense
GIL VicenteCasa PiaCasa Pia
Benfica
MaritimoCasa Pia
LeixoesCasa PiaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.59 cards a match, 0.92 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.51).
Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 5:15 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Estrela vs Casa Pia forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estrela and Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Estrela are 12th and Casa Pia 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Estrela 14-17, Casa Pia 5-17. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.