Fluminense vs Internacional Prediction

Fluminense
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Internacional
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Lucas Casagrande 28/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Fluminense Rest
4 days
Internacional Rest
4 days

Fluminense vs Internacional: result, form and history

Fluminense beat Internacional 2-1 in the Serie A on 28 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Internacional had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Fluminense.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.84
X
26%3.60
2
22%4.20
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
48%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.80
No
47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.09 = 2.82
Over 1.5
75%1.30
Over 2.5
51%1.96
Over 3.5
29%3.40
Under 1.5
25%3.40
Under 2.5
49%1.85
Under 3.5
71%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.46
Over 9.5
53%1.85
Over 10.5
42%2.31
Under 8.5
35%2.44
Under 9.5
47%1.89
Under 10.5
58%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.8 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.27
Over 4.5
44%1.62
Under 3.5
37%3.50
Under 4.5
56%2.20

Match Events

45'Alexandro Bernabéi INVitinho out
46'Alan PatrickAssist: Matheus Bahia
58'Thiago Maia INRodrigo Villagra out
58'Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima INLuciano Acosta out
58'Hulk INRodrigo Castillo out
60'AlerrandroFoul
63'Ignácio da Silva OliveiraFoul
70'Renê Rodrigues MartinsFoul
73'Jefferson David Savarino Quintero INWesley Natã de Freitas Prado out
73'Agustín Canobbio INKevin Serna out
78'Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
80'Renê Rodrigues Martins INGuilherme Arana out
89'Alan Patrick INPaulo Lucas Santos de Paula out
89'Ronaldo da Silva Souza INjoao victor out
90+4'Brian AguirreFoul
90+5'Matheus Bahia INVictor Gabriel Da Conceicao Ribeiro out
90+7'Luciano Acosta

Lineups

Fluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: Marcão
Internacional
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.27
Fábio7.61Fábio
Guga7.423Guga
Ignacio6.34Ignacio
Thiago Silva6.73T. Silva
Renê6.86Renê
Hércules8.235Hércules
Nonato7.216Nonato
J. Savarino6.411J. Savarino
PH Ganso6.110P. Ganso
A. Canobbio6.517A. Canobbio
Hulk6.97Hulk
Kauan7.122Kauan
Bruno Gomes5.915B. Gomes
G. Maripán6.13G. Maripán
Juninho5.218Juninho
B. Aguirre6.135B. Aguirre
Ronaldo6.016Ronaldo
Thiago Maia5.829T. Maia
Matheus Bahia6.96M. Bahia
Alan Patrick8.210A. Patrick
A. Bernabéi5.526A. Bernabéi
Alerrandro6.29Alerrandro

Fluminense Substitutes

13Guilherme Arana80'for Renê Rodrigues Martins6.3
32L. Acosta58'for Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima90+7'8.2
14G. Cano
19R. Castillo58'for Hulk6.7
22J. Freytes
94Otávio
21Igor Rabello
90K. Serna73'for Agustín Canobbio6.6
30Y. Soteldo
2Samuel Xavier
34Wesley Nata73'for Jefferson David Savarino Quintero6.4
98Vitor Eudes

Internacional Substitutes

49J. Bezerra
7J. Carbonero
8Bruno Henrique
17N. Eliasson
30Calebe
43Henrique Menke
25G. Mercado
28Vitinho45'for Alexandro Bernabéi6.7
27Paulinho89'for Alan Patrick6.0
5R. Villagra58'for Thiago Maia5.9
41Victor Gabriel90+5'for Matheus Bahia
44Victor Joao89'for Ronaldo da Silva Souza6.3

Match Stats

FluminenseInternacional
76%Ball Possession24%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots4
15Fouls21
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
767Total Passes233
696Passes Accurate161
21Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

FluminenseFluminense
InternacionalInternacional
1742Elo Rating 1643
1.26Attack 1.33
1.99Defense 2.04
41%Hit Rate 44%
10.0Shots per Game 14.9
3.5Shots on Target 4.7
3.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals

Game State Tendencies

FluminenseFluminense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
InternacionalInternacional
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FluminenseFluminense4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
InternacionalInternacional2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A03/05/2026
InternacionalFluminense
20
Serie A25/10/2025
FluminenseInternacional
10
Copa Do Brasil07/08/2025
FluminenseInternacional
11
Copa Do Brasil31/07/2025
InternacionalFluminense
12
Serie A02/06/2025
InternacionalFluminense
02
Serie A08/11/2024
InternacionalFluminense
20
Serie A05/07/2024
FluminenseInternacional
11
Serie A08/11/2023
InternacionalFluminense
00
CONMEBOL Libertadores05/10/2023
InternacionalFluminense
12
CONMEBOL Libertadores28/09/2023
FluminenseInternacional
22

Referee Profile

Lucas Casagrande70 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Casagrande4.59
Other referees5.07

4.59 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 54 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo32217464:27+3770WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWWLW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG321481044:38+650LWWDW
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
17GremioGremio328101435:44-934WLDDD
18CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3264:2770
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3244:3850
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
17GremioGremio3235:4434
18CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Fluminense vs Internacional forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fluminense and Internacional in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Fluminense are 5th and Internacional 16th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Fluminense 52-42, Internacional 37-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Internacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.