Lokomotiv vs Rubin Prediction

Lokomotiv
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Rubin
RZD Arena, Moscow·Inal Tanashev 06/11/2026
LokomotivLokomotiv
0-1
Finished
RubinRubin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Lokomotiv Rest
4 days
Rubin Rest
6 days

Lokomotiv vs Rubin: the result in context

Rubin beat Lokomotiv 1-0 in the Premier League on 6 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Lokomotiv have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game. Referee Inal Tanashev averages 5.21 cards a game, 0.58 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.15
X
28%3.54
2
28%3.48
Double Chance
1X
72%1.33
X2
56%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.76
No
50%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.82 = 2.41
Over 1.5
72%1.31
Over 2.5
47%2.01
Over 3.5
28%3.41
Under 1.5
28%3.32
Under 2.5
53%1.86
Under 3.5
72%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4 = 9
Over 8.5
54%1.59
Over 9.5
41%2.00
Over 10.5
30%2.57
Under 8.5
46%2.19
Under 9.5
59%1.73
Under 10.5
70%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
52%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
48%-

Match Events

45'Sergey Pinyaev INZelimkhan Bakaev out
45'Danila Godyaev INAleksandr Rudenko out
54'Ilya SamoshnikovFoul
61'Egor TeslenkoFoul
63'Veldin Hodza INBogdan Jočić out
71'Egor TeslenkoAssist: Ulvi Babaev
74'Ulvi Babaev INIlya Rozhkov out
78'Lucas Fasson INVadim Rakov out
78'Sergey Babkin INAleksandr Kovalenko out
90+1'Eddie Salcedo INJakhongir Urozov out
90+1'Ignacio Saavedra INJacques Siwe out
90+3'Nikolay KomlichenkoFoul

Lineups

Lokomotiv
5-4-1Coach: M. Galaktionov
Rubin
5-4-1Coach: Oleg Kuzmin
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.78
A. Mitryushkin7.71A. Mitryushkin
A. Siljanov6.745A. Siljanov
E. Morozov6.985E. Morozov
G. Dzhikiya6.814G. Dzhikiya
Lucas Fasson6.33L. Fasson
D. Godyaev6.247D. Godyaev
S. Pinyaev6.49S. Pinyaev
N. Titkov7.218N. Titkov
S. Babkin6.36S. Babkin
A. Mostovoy6.077A. Mostovoy
N. Komlichenko5.927N. Komlichenko
E. Staver7.238E. Staver
A. Arroyo7.712A. Arroyo
N. Lobov6.598N. Lobov
I. Vujačić7.15I. Vujačić
E. Teslenko7.22E. Teslenko
I. Samoshnikov5.871I. Samoshnikov
V. Hodža6.222V. Hodža
U. Iwu6.66U. Iwu
I. Saavedra6.714I. Saavedra
U. Babaev7.77U. Babaev
E. Salcedo6.410E. Salcedo

Lokomotiv Substitutes

74D. Chevardin
7Z. Bakaev45'for Sergey Pinyaev6.5
75I. Eremeev
8A. Kovalenko78'for Sergey Babkin6.8
22I. Lantratov
99R. Myalkovskiy
24M. Nenakhov
5G. Nyamsi
11V. Rakov78'for Lucas Fasson6.6
19A. Rudenko45'for Danila Godyaev6.1
88M. Shchetinin
16D. Veselov

Rubin Substitutes

13J. Urozov90+1'for Eddie Salcedo6.9
43J. Siwe90+1'for Ignacio Saavedra6.3
51I. Rozhkov74'for Ulvi Babaev6.8
25A. Nigmatullin
59D. N. Motorin
3D. Maldonado
44D. Kuznetsov
86N. Korets
70D. Kabutov
8B. Jočić63'for Veldin Hodza6.5
23R. Bezrukov
11N. Gripshi

Match Stats

LokomotivRubin
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots26
4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box20
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots11
13Fouls10
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
541Total Passes353
449Passes Accurate267
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

LokomotivLokomotiv
RubinRubin
1490Elo Rating 1508
0.62Attack 0.50
0.48Defense 1.91
0%Hit Rate 50%
10.1Shots per Game 14.9
3.4Shots on Target 4.1
4.8Corners per Game 3.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RubinRubin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LokomotivLokomotiv6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
RubinRubin2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs18/07/2026
LokomotivRubin
31
Premier League15/03/2026
RubinLokomotiv
30
Premier League27/09/2025
LokomotivRubin
10
Premier League12/04/2025
RubinLokomotiv
10
Premier League02/11/2024
LokomotivRubin
10
Premier League20/04/2024
RubinLokomotiv Moscow
11
Cup01/11/2023
Lokomotiv MoscowRubin
30
Cup08/08/2023
RubinLokomotiv Moscow
01
Premier League22/07/2023
Lokomotiv MoscowRubin
22
Premier League08/05/2022
Lokomotiv MoscowRubin
10

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Inal Tanashev54 matches

5.21Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
29.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Inal Tanashev5.21
Other referees4.63

5.21 cards a match, 0.58 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit14101332:15+1731DWWWW
2DynamoDynamo14101323:13+1031WWLWW
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1492327:11+1629WWLWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1475225:18+726WLDDL
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1475223:16+726LDWLW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1454518:19-119DWWDW
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1446419:20-118WLWLD
8RubinRubin1446414:18-418WWLLL
9BaltikaBaltika1445517:15+217LWDDD
10FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1438314:14017LDWDW
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1451817:26-916WLLDL
12AkhmatAkhmat1435616:19-314WLLLD
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1433815:29-1412LWWDL
14AkronAkron1426617:25-812LLWDL
15LokomotivLokomotiv1425716:21-511LLLDW
16FakelFakel1413109:23-146LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1432:1531
2DynamoDynamo1423:1331
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1427:1129
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1425:1826
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1423:1626
6FC RostovFC Rostov1418:1919
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1419:2018
8RubinRubin1414:1818
9BaltikaBaltika1417:1517
10FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1414:1417
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1417:2616
12AkhmatAkhmat1416:1914
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1415:2912
14AkronAkron1417:2512
15LokomotivLokomotiv1416:2111
16FakelFakel149:236
Relegation

About the Lokomotiv vs Rubin forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv and Rubin in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Rubin are 8th and Lokomotiv 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv 16-21, Rubin 14-18. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.