Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Lokomotiv
0-4
Finished
HT 0-3
Spartak Moscow
RZD Arena, Moscow·Artem Chistyakov 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Lokomotiv Rest
3 days
Spartak Moscow Rest
3 days

Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow: result, form and history

Spartak Moscow beat Lokomotiv 4-0 in the Premier League on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Spartak Moscow had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lokomotiv.

Spartak Moscow have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game. Referee Artem Chistyakov averages 3.72 cards a game, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.55
X
25%4.18
2
51%1.74
Double Chance
1X
49%2.20
X2
77%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.58
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.68 = 2.92
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.63
Over 3.5
35%2.46
Under 1.5
21%4.82
Under 2.5
43%2.39
Under 3.5
65%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.7 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.45
Over 9.5
58%1.79
Over 10.5
46%2.24
Under 8.5
31%2.49
Under 9.5
42%1.92
Under 10.5
54%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.2 = 4.7
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
51%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
49%-

Match Events

11'Aleksandr RudenkoOG
30'Igor Dmitriev INVictor Parada out
33'Victor ParadaAssist: Gedson Fernandes
45'Manfred UgaldeAssist: Ruslan Litvinov
45'Zelimkhan Bakaev INAleksandr Kovalenko out
55'Aleksandr Rudenko INSergey Pinyaev out
72'Roman Zobnin INDanil Prutsev out
72'Pablo Solari INMarquinhos out
73'Manfred Ugalde INMirlind Daku out
76'Esequiel Barco(Penalty)
77'Ruslan Litvinov INDaniil Denisov out
80'Andrey Mostovoy INVadim Rakov out
80'Sergey Babkin INMikhail Shchetinin out
84'Mikhail ShchetininFoul
86'Vadim RakovFoul
90'Nikolay KomlichenkoArgument
90'Nail UmyarovArgument

Lineups

Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Galaktionov
Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Carcedo
Avg rating6.07
Avg rating7.09
A. Mitryushkin6.61A. Mitryushkin
M. Nenakhov5.424M. Nenakhov
E. Morozov6.285E. Morozov
A. Siljanov6.245A. Siljanov
D. Godyaev5.847D. Godyaev
N. Titkov6.718N. Titkov
S. Babkin6.36S. Babkin
Z. Bakaev6.07Z. Bakaev
A. Mostovoy6.477A. Mostovoy
A. Rudenko4.619A. Rudenko
N. Komlichenko6.327N. Komlichenko
A. Maksimenko7.698A. Maksimenko
R. Zobnin7.047R. Zobnin
C. Wooh7.13C. Wooh
S. Babić6.96S. Babić
I. Dmitriev6.727I. Dmitriev
N. Umyarov7.118N. Umyarov
P. Solari6.87P. Solari
Gedson Fernandes6.683G. Fernandes
R. Litvinov7.768R. Litvinov
E. Barco7.75E. Barco
M. Ugalde8.29M. Ugalde

Lokomotiv Substitutes

14G. Dzhikiya
74D. Chevardin
75I. Eremeev
8A. Kovalenko45'for Zelimkhan Bakaev6.0
22I. Lantratov
3Lucas Fasson
99R. Myalkovskiy
5G. Nyamsi
9S. Pinyaev55'for Aleksandr Rudenko6.1
11V. Rakov80'for Andrey Mostovoy86'6.6
88M. Shchetinin80'for Sergey Babkin84'5.8
16D. Veselov

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

40I. Sorokin
17V. Saus
25D. Prutsev72'for Roman Zobnin6.5
1I. Pomazun
62P. Polekh
33Víctor Parada30'for Igor Dmitriev33'7.2
24Nikita Massalyga
10Marquinhos72'for Pablo Solari7.0
56A. Dovbnya
4A. Djiku
19M. Daku73'for Manfred Ugalde6.7
97D. Denisov77'for Ruslan Litvinov6.6

Match Stats

LokomotivSpartak Moscow
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots4
16Fouls15
0Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves4
410Total Passes530
332Passes Accurate457
15Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

LokomotivLokomotiv
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1529Elo Rating 1700
1.72Attack 1.85
0.98Defense 2.07
14%Hit Rate 63%
8.4Shots per Game 15.9
3.7Shots on Target 7.2
4.0Corners per Game 4.7
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LokomotivLokomotiv3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow6Wins · 60%
4.4Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
Premier League05/04/2026
Spartak MoscowLokomotiv
21
Cup26/11/2025
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
23
Cup06/11/2025
Spartak MoscowLokomotiv
31
Premier League09/08/2025
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
42
Premier League23/11/2024
Spartak MoscowLokomotiv
52
Premier League28/09/2024
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
31
Premier League28/04/2024
Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow
32
Premier League05/11/2023
Lokomotiv MoscowSpartak Moscow
11
Cup27/02/2023
Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow
42

Recent Form

LokomotivLokomotiv
3W2D5L
29/10/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
L
25/10/2026
FC RostovLokomotiv
20
L
17/10/2026
LokomotivFC Krasnodar
33
D
13/10/2026
LokomotivAkron
1131
L
10/10/2026
FakelLokomotiv
05
W
03/10/2026
LokomotivFC Orenburg
20
W
16/09/2026
LokomotivKrylia Sovetov
11
D
12/09/2026
ZenitLokomotiv
21
L
06/09/2026
BaltikaLokomotiv
01
W
01/09/2026
AkronLokomotiv
5040
L

Referee Profile

Artem Chistyakov115 matches

3.72Cards per match
3.58Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Artem Chistyakov3.72
Other referees4.67

3.72 cards a match, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 72 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv and Spartak Moscow in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Spartak Moscow are 4th in the Premier League, while Lokomotiv sit 14th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv 16-20, Spartak Moscow 25-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.