NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen·Alex Bos 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
NEC Nijmegen Rest
2 days
Fortuna Sittard Rest
8 days

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: result, form and history

NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard drew 2-2 in the Eredivisie on 18 Oct 2026. Fortuna Sittard had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for NEC Nijmegen.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.5 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 2.2 for Fortuna Sittard.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.72
X
24%4.11
2
23%4.36
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
47%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.45
No
38%2.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.15 = 3.02
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
63%1.41
Over 3.5
43%2.10
Under 1.5
17%5.88
Under 2.5
37%2.63
Under 3.5
57%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.58
Over 10.5
42%1.96
Under 8.5
35%2.88
Under 9.5
47%2.18
Under 10.5
58%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%2.12
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
39%1.67
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

18'Anthony DescotteAssist: Rodrigo Guth
28'Kevin KersAssist: Dennis Geiger
38'Shiloh 't ZandFoul
45'Sven Simons INKristoffer Peterson out
48'Anthony DescotteAssist: Shiloh 't Zand
54'Rodrigo GuthFoul
63'Deveron Fonville INMitchel Bakker out
63'Noe Lebreton INKaj Sierhuis out
63'Kevin Kers INAdam Tahaui out
70'Lequincio Zeefuik INDaley Sinkgraven out
81'Shiloh 't Zand INSiebe Wylin out
84'Jamiro Monteiro INPerr Schuurs out
84'Tobias Storm INWillum Thor Willumsson out
86'Syb Van Ottele INNick de Groot out
88'Penalty confirmedKaj Sierhuis
90'Mitchel Bakker(Penalty missed)
90+3'Willum Thor WillumssonAssist: Perr Schuurs

Lineups

NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick Schreuder
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2Coach: D. Buijs
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.55
G. Crettaz6.21G. Crettaz
T. Storm6.321T. Storm
A. Kaplan7.022A. Kaplan
Deveron Fonville6.124D. Fonville
Kevin Kers8.134K. Kers
D. Nejašmić6.96D. Nejašmić
D. Geiger7.718D. Geiger
Jamiro Monteiro6.535J. Monteiro
N. Lebreton6.420N. Lebreton
Clement Bischoff6.699C. Bischoff
B. Linssen6.530B. Linssen
M. Branderhorst6.731M. Branderhorst
Ivo Pinto6.612I. Pinto
S. van Ottele6.46S. van Ottele
Rodrigo Guth6.73R. Guth
P. Brittijn6.523P. Brittijn
Justin Quincy Hubner6.328J. Quincy Hubner
S. Simons5.914S. Simons
É. Michut6.320É. Michut
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand6.622S. Kiesar ’t Zand
A. Descotte9.09A. Descotte
L. Zeefuik6.425L. Zeefuik

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

5M. Bakker63'for Deveron Fonville7.3
11W. Willumsson84'for Tobias Storm90+3'7.5
19Adam Tahaui63'for Kevin Kers6.7
73Gabriel Brás
9T. Chery
38Joep Geneste
8I. Hansen-Aarøen
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
42Y. Moslih
12N. Polster
4P. Schuurs84'for Jamiro Monteiro6.4
14K. Sierhuis63'for Noe Lebreton6.0

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

24D. Sinkgraven70'for Lequincio Zeefuik6.2
7K. Peterson45'for Sven Simons6.5
1L. Koopmans
33K. Reitmaier
38Moussa Gbemou
15N. de Groot86'for Syb Van Ottele6.1
39Ganni Buyukhan
52M. Ihattaren
2S. Wylin81'for Shiloh 't Zand6.1

Match Stats

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
74%Ball Possession26%
13Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots5
7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal1
22Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots1
11Fouls10
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
609Total Passes222
546Passes Accurate158
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
1706Elo Rating 1663
2.04Attack 1.55
1.50Defense 1.12
27%Hit Rate 34%
16.8Shots per Game 10.5
5.7Shots on Target 3.9
6.1Corners per Game 2.2
1.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3Wins · 30%
3.5Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie28/02/2026
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
23
Eredivisie31/08/2025
Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
32
Eredivisie19/01/2025
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
41
Eredivisie31/08/2024
Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
03
Eredivisie02/04/2024
Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
11
Eredivisie15/12/2023
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
41
Eredivisie28/05/2023
Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
11
KNVB Beker19/10/2022
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
32
Eredivisie10/09/2022
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
11
Eredivisie15/05/2022
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
01

Referee Profile

Alex Bos167 matches

3.00Cards per match
2.86Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alex Bos3.00
Other referees3.23

3.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
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About the NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Fortuna Sittard are 6th and NEC Nijmegen 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: NEC Nijmegen 17-18, Fortuna Sittard 17-17. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.