Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Utrecht
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht·Martijn Vos 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Utrecht Rest
5 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
6 days

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: result, form and history

Utrecht and PEC Zwolle drew 1-1 in the Eredivisie on 24 Oct 2026. Utrecht had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for PEC Zwolle.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.65
X
22%4.10
2
18%4.70
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
40%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 0.96 = 2.78
Over 1.5
81%1.16
Over 2.5
60%1.53
Over 3.5
38%2.35
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.40
Under 3.5
62%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 4.1 = 10.7
Over 8.5
72%1.33
Over 9.5
61%1.60
Over 10.5
50%1.99
Under 8.5
28%2.92
Under 9.5
39%2.20
Under 10.5
50%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.9 = 3.2
Over 3.5
40%2.30
Over 4.5
23%3.55
Under 3.5
60%1.57
Under 4.5
77%1.27

Match Events

26'Oualid AgougilFoul
45'Dylan Mbayo INElias Sörensen out
62'Niklas Vesterlund INAdrian Blake out
71'Damian van der Haar INJan Burger out
72'Elias SörensenAssist: Thijs Oosting
74'Yoann Cathline INS. van Duijn out
74'Ángel Alarcón INArtem Stepanov out
76'Gilles Van Der WalFoul
83'Gilles Van Der Wal INKoen Kostons out
83'Siebe Horemans INNordin Amrabat out
83'Oualid Agougil INDavy Van Den Berg out
87'Tobias SommerFoul
89'Joris van OvereemFoul
90+1'S. van Duijn

Lineups

Utrecht
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Correia
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry van der Vegt
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.54
S. Padt7.022S. Padt
S. Horemans6.62S. Horemans
M. Didden7.13M. Didden
N. Panagiotou6.45N. Panagiotou
A. Zagré6.792A. Zagré
J. van Overeem6.38J. van Overeem
O. Agougil6.738O. Agougil
N. Vesterlund5.923N. Vesterlund
Y. Cathline6.310Y. Cathline
Ángel Alarcón6.611Á. Alarcón
D. de Wit6.220D. de Wit
J. Schendelaar6.91J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen6.53O. Aertssen
S. Graves6.928S. Graves
N. Viergever6.324N. Viergever
D. van der Haar6.333D. van der Haar
R. Thomas6.430R. Thomas
T. Sommer6.78T. Sommer
Gilles van der Wal6.137G. van der Wal
T. Oosting7.025T. Oosting
D. Mbayo6.411D. Mbayo
S. van Hooijdonk6.017S. van Hooijdonk

Utrecht Substitutes

39N. Amrabat83'for Siebe Horemans6.5
15A. Blake62'for Niklas Vesterlund7.3
31M. Eppink
33K. Gadellaa
32P. Kloosterboer
18J. Medić
6G. Offerhaus
21N. Ogidi Nwankwo
9Artem Stepanov74'for Ángel Alarcón6.5
34D. van den Berg83'for Oualid Agougil6.0
17S. van Duijn74'for Yoann Cathline90+1'8.2

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

41D. Verduin
4T. Velthuis
9E. Sørensen45'for Dylan Mbayo72'7.5
42Dylan Ruward
20G. Reiziger
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
7Y. Namli
10K. Kostons83'for Gilles Van Der Wal6.6
34N. Fichtinger
16T. de Graaff
6Jan Bürger71'for Damian van der Haar6.2
22I. Cissoko

Match Stats

UtrechtPEC Zwolle
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box2
10Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
513Total Passes355
405Passes Accurate257
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

UtrechtUtrecht
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1703Elo Rating 1581
1.59Attack 1.19
1.34Defense 0.82
56%Hit Rate 23%
17.1Shots per Game 12.0
4.8Shots on Target 5.2
4.9Corners per Game 4.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+122 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

UtrechtUtrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UtrechtUtrecht4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1Wins · 10%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie22/02/2026
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
11
Eredivisie31/08/2025
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
02
Eredivisie01/02/2025
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
33
Eredivisie11/08/2024
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
10
Eredivisie03/04/2024
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
51
Eredivisie27/08/2023
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
10
Eredivisie07/05/2022
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
11
Eredivisie25/09/2021
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
51
Eredivisie30/01/2021
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
33
Eredivisie21/11/2020
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
11

Referee Profile

Martijn Vos156 matches

3.32Cards per match
3.15Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martijn Vos3.32
Other referees3.28

3.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Utrecht and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Utrecht are 11th and PEC Zwolle 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Utrecht 17-27, PEC Zwolle 11-23. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.