Twente vs Utrecht Prediction

Twente
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Utrecht
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede·Allard Lindhout 18/10/2026
TwenteTwente
1-2
Finished
UtrechtUtrecht

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Twente Rest
2 days
Utrecht Rest
7 days

Twente vs Utrecht: the result in context

Utrecht beat Twente 2-1 in the Eredivisie on 18 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Twente had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Utrecht.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.34
X
19%5.40
2
12%7.70
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
31%3.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.9 = 2.87
Over 1.5
84%1.08
Over 2.5
65%1.36
Over 3.5
43%1.92
Under 1.5
16%6.56
Under 2.5
35%3.01
Under 3.5
57%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.28
Over 9.5
50%1.51
Over 10.5
38%1.91
Under 8.5
38%3.00
Under 9.5
50%2.31
Under 10.5
62%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

28'Daouda WeidmannAssist: Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard
45'Daan Rots INMarko Pjaca out
47'Ángel AlarcónAssist: Arthur Zagre
57'Siebe HoremansFoul
62'Robin Propper INThomas Van den Belt out
62'Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson INYounes Taha El Idrissi out
63'Ángel AlarcónAssist: Arthur Zagre
64'Siebe Horemans INDavy Van Den Berg out
64'Oualid Agougil INNordin Amrabat out
66'Davy Van Den BergFoul
72'Ángel Alarcón INS. van Duijn out
72'Yoann Cathline INAdrian Blake out
73'Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard INLucas hesselink of vennegoor out

Lineups

Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: J. van den Brom
Utrecht
3-4-3Coach: A. Correia
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.79
J. Drommel6.116J. Drommel
B. van Rooij6.428B. van Rooij
R. Pröpper6.93R. Pröpper
R. Nijstad6.74R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard6.829A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki7.16R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann8.28D. Weidmann
D. Rots6.211D. Rots
K. Hlynsson6.314K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter6.627S. Ørjasæter
W. Weghorst6.59W. Weghorst
S. Padt7.822S. Padt
S. Horemans6.32S. Horemans
M. Didden6.63M. Didden
N. Panagiotou6.85N. Panagiotou
N. Vesterlund6.323N. Vesterlund
J. van Overeem6.28J. van Overeem
O. Agougil6.438O. Agougil
A. Zagré7.692A. Zagré
Y. Cathline6.110Y. Cathline
D. de Wit6.720D. de Wit
Ángel Alarcón8.911Á. Alarcón

Twente Substitutes

18Jordy Bawuah
31Yannick Gerritsen
24K. Kurowski
39J. Meilink
22R. Pasveer
7M. Pjaca45'for Daan Rots6.5
2M. Rosiak
10Y. Taha62'for Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson6.3
17F. Thorvaldsen
20T. van den Belt62'for Robin Propper6.8
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink73'for Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard6.3

Utrecht Substitutes

17S. van Duijn72'for Ángel Alarcón6.5
47E. C. Owen
31M. Eppink
33K. Gadellaa
32P. Kloosterboer
18J. Medić
6G. Offerhaus
21N. Ogidi Nwankwo
34D. van den Berg64'for Siebe Horemans66'6.0
39N. Amrabat64'for Oualid Agougil6.8
15A. Blake72'for Yoann Cathline6.7

Match Stats

TwenteUtrecht
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal5
13Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box10
10Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots4
11Fouls11
2Goalkeeper Saves4
624Total Passes367
547Passes Accurate287
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

TwenteTwente
UtrechtUtrecht
1815Elo Rating 1703
2.09Attack 1.59
1.82Defense 1.34
61%Hit Rate 56%
21.9Shots per Game 17.1
6.0Shots on Target 4.8
5.9Corners per Game 4.9
1.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+112 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TwenteTwente
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
UtrechtUtrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TwenteTwente3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
UtrechtUtrecht4Wins · 40%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie15/03/2026
TwenteUtrecht
02
KNVB Beker13/01/2026
UtrechtTwente
12
Eredivisie07/12/2025
UtrechtTwente
11
Eredivisie11/05/2025
TwenteUtrecht
20
Eredivisie01/09/2024
UtrechtTwente
21
Eredivisie18/02/2024
TwenteUtrecht
01
Eredivisie05/11/2023
UtrechtTwente
11
Eredivisie16/04/2023
UtrechtTwente
10
Eredivisie22/01/2023
TwenteUtrecht
20
Eredivisie22/12/2021
UtrechtTwente
11

Referee Profile

Allard Lindhout218 matches

3.25Cards per match
3.09Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allard Lindhout3.25
Other referees3.37

3.25 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.37).

Cards come from 209 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Twente vs Utrecht forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Twente and Utrecht in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Twente are 4th and Utrecht 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Twente 19-10, Utrecht 17-27. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.