PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Prediction

PSV Eindhoven
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Feyenoord
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven·Serdar Gozubuyuk 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
PSV Eindhoven Rest
4 days
Feyenoord Rest
3 days

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: the result in context

PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord drew 1-1 in the Eredivisie on 25 Oct 2026. Feyenoord had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for PSV Eindhoven.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk averages 3.99 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.10
X
24%4.03
2
29%2.98
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
53%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.29
No
31%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.28 = 3.05
Over 1.5
87%1.07
Over 2.5
70%1.30
Over 3.5
50%1.76
Under 1.5
13%7.54
Under 2.5
30%3.40
Under 3.5
50%2.04
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.28
Over 9.5
54%1.53
Over 10.5
42%1.89
Under 8.5
34%3.10
Under 9.5
46%2.30
Under 10.5
58%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.57
Over 4.5
53%2.12
Under 3.5
29%2.30
Under 4.5
47%1.67

Match Events

18'Charles VanhoutteFoul
21'Guus TilAssist: Lutsharel Geertruida
26'Mauro JúniorFoul
40'Filip KostićFoul
42'Anis Hadj MoussaFoul
45'Jeremiah St. Juste INJavi López out
52'Kodai SanoFoul
54'Anis Hadj MoussaAssist: Luciano Valente
66'Tsuyoshi WatanabeHandball
76'Ruben van Bommel INMikkel Bro Hansen out
76'Kodai Sano INShuryjano Cornecion out
78'Guus TilFoul
83'Esmir Bajraktarević INDennis Man out
89'Charles Vanhoutte INJakub Moder out
89'Nacho Ferri INTobias van den Elshout out
89'Tsuyoshi Watanabe INThijs Kraaijeveld out

Lineups

PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Bosz
Feyenoord
4-3-3Coach: G. van Bronckhorst
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.73
M. Kovář7.632M. Kovář
S. Dest7.38S. Dest
L. Geertruida7.52L. Geertruida
A. Obispo6.54A. Obispo
F. Kostić5.918F. Kostić
K. Sano6.224K. Sano
Mauro Júnior7.017M. Júnior
E. Bajraktarevic6.319E. Bajraktarevic
G. Til7.220G. Til
I. Perišić6.95I. Perišić
R. van Bommel6.47R. van Bommel
T. Ernst7.71T. Ernst
G. Read7.026G. Read
T. Watanabe6.54T. Watanabe
J. St. Juste6.96J. St. Juste
Mika Màrmol6.535M. Màrmol
G. Zechiël6.08G. Zechiël
C. Vanhoutte6.434C. Vanhoutte
O. Targhalline7.028O. Targhalline
A. Hadj-Moussa8.223A. Hadj-Moussa
Nacho Ferri6.319N. Ferri
L. Valente7.410L. Valente

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

23M. Hansen76'for Ruben van Bommel6.5
42S. Cornecion76'for Kodai Sano6.4
31N. Fernandez
6R. Flamingo
37A. Bouhamdi
3Yarek Gasiorowski
27D. Man83'for Esmir Bajraktarević6.6
1N. Olij
35A. Santos
25K. Sildillia
51T. Smolenaars

Feyenoord Substitutes

20M. Deijl
50Theodoros Delianidis
27G. Diarra
33F. Kastenmeier
24T. Kraaijeveld89'for Tsuyoshi Watanabe6.3
16Javi López45'for Jeremiah St. Juste6.4
7J. Moder89'for Charles Vanhoutte6.2
57J. Schaken
14S. Steijn
22T. van den Elshout89'for Nacho Ferri6.2
11Gonçalo Borges
39L. Bossin

Match Stats

PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal9
9Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
11Fouls10
1Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves6
457Total Passes443
370Passes Accurate361
81%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
FeyenoordFeyenoord
1903Elo Rating 1850
1.11Attack 2.54
1.92Defense 1.65
44%Hit Rate 73%
14.6Shots per Game 16.3
3.6Shots on Target 6.4
5.0Corners per Game 5.9
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FeyenoordFeyenoord
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
FeyenoordFeyenoord1Wins · 10%
3.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie01/02/2026
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
30
Eredivisie26/10/2025
FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
23
Eredivisie11/05/2025
FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
23
KNVB Beker05/02/2025
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
20
Eredivisie22/12/2024
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
30
Eredivisie03/03/2024
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
22
KNVB Beker24/01/2024
FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
10
Eredivisie03/12/2023
FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie05/02/2023
FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
22
Eredivisie18/09/2022
PSV EindhovenFeyenoord
43

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk265 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Serdar Gozubuyuk3.99
Other referees3.49

3.99 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 257 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
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About the PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord forecast

As a derby, this Eredivisie meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord in the Eredivisie table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Feyenoord are 1st in the Eredivisie, 4 points ahead of PSV Eindhoven in 3rd. League goal record so far: PSV Eindhoven 28-13, Feyenoord 32-11. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Feyenoord have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.