Paris FC vs Monaco Prediction

Paris FC
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Monaco
Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris·Jeremy Stinat 01/11/2026
Paris FCParis FC
3-1
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Paris FC Rest
7 days
Monaco Rest
7 days

Paris FC vs Monaco: result, form and history

Paris FC beat Monaco 3-1 in the Ligue 1 on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.50
X
29%3.52
2
35%2.77
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
64%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.58
No
42%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.38 = 2.65
Over 1.5
75%1.23
Over 2.5
52%1.78
Over 3.5
31%2.83
Under 1.5
25%4.05
Under 2.5
48%2.08
Under 3.5
69%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.58
Over 9.5
42%2.00
Over 10.5
32%2.57
Under 8.5
47%2.21
Under 9.5
58%1.74
Under 10.5
68%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
67%1.67
Over 4.5
48%2.23
Under 3.5
33%2.10
Under 4.5
52%1.61

Match Events

38'Lassine SinayokoAssist: Maxime López
44'Lassine SinayokoAssist: Moses Simon
45'Samir Chergui INMoustapha Mbow out
45'Edan Diop INChristian Mawissa out
45'Paris Brunner INFolarin Balogun out
55'Denis Zakaria INTakumi Minamino out
64'Flavio Nazinho INMathys Detourbet out
65'Folarin BalogunAssist: Vanderson
68'VandersonFoul
73'Moses Simon INRudy Matondo out
73'Ilan Kebbal INPatrick Zabi out
74'Pablo PagisAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
75'Sadibou Sane INJordan Teze out
79'Lassine Sinayoko INOmar Sissoko out
84'Pablo PagisFoul
85'Hamari TraoreFoul
88'Lamine CamaraArgument
89'Hamari Traore INEmmanuel Mbemba out

Lineups

Paris FC
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Rosenior
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Luís
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.27
K. Trapp6.31K. Trapp
H. Traoré6.314H. Traoré
S. Chergui7.131S. Chergui
D. Coppola7.142D. Coppola
Otávio7.06Otávio
M. Lopez7.720M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou7.033P. Lees-Melou
I. Kebbal6.610I. Kebbal
P. Pagis8.27P. Pagis
M. Simon7.727M. Simon
L. Sinayoko9.69L. Sinayoko
L. Hrádecký7.11L. Hrádecký
Vanderson6.12Vanderson
Sadibou Sané6.372S. Sané
E. Dier6.415E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho5.720F. Nazinho
L. Camara6.48L. Camara
D. Zakaria6.16D. Zakaria
E. Diop5.937E. Diop
A. Golovin6.610A. Golovin
M. Abline5.711M. Abline
Paris Josua  Brunner5.829P. Josua Brunner

Paris FC Substitutes

16O. Nkambadio
5M. Mbow45'for Samir Chergui6.7
28T. De Smet
23R. Matondo73'for Moses Simon6.5
8E. Zabi73'for Ilan Kebbal6.5
4V. Marchetti
18O. Sissoko79'for Lassine Sinayoko6.1
11J. Krasso
3E. Mbemba89'for Hamari Traore6.9

Monaco Substitutes

9F. Balogun45'for Paris Brunner65'7.6
19Pape Cabral
49I. Touré
18T. Minamino55'for Denis Zakaria5.9
28M. Coulibaly
7M. Detourbet64'for Flavio Nazinho6.4
4J. Teze75'for Sadibou Sane6.3
13C. Mawissa Elebi45'for Edan Diop6.2
16P. Köhn

Match Stats

Paris FCMonaco
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls15
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
506Total Passes646
436Passes Accurate570
14Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Paris FCParis FC
MonacoMonaco
1792Elo Rating 1883
1.52Attack 1.57
1.41Defense 2.09
39%Hit Rate 39%
12.4Shots per Game 15.0
4.6Shots on Target 5.4
3.8Corners per Game 4.5
3.2Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Paris FCParis FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Paris FCParis FC2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
MonacoMonaco0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 110/04/2026
Paris FCMonaco
41
Ligue 101/11/2025
MonacoParis FC
01

Referee Profile

Jeremy Stinat148 matches

3.96Cards per match
3.74Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremy Stinat3.96
Other referees3.91

3.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon952215:7+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC952216:10+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
6MonacoMonaco943212:10+215LDLDW
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12StrasbourgStrasbourg931517:19-210WLLLL
13AuxerreAuxerre931513:23-1010LDWLW
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
15AngersAngers92259:17-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes92257:16-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans914411:18-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3LyonLyon915:717
4Paris FCParis FC916:1017
5RennesRennes920:1916
6MonacoMonaco912:1015
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens916:1313
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12StrasbourgStrasbourg917:1910
13AuxerreAuxerre913:2310
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
15AngersAngers99:178
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes97:168
17Le MansLe Mans911:187
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Paris FC vs Monaco forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Paris FC and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

Paris FC and Monaco are close in the Ligue 1 table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Paris FC 16-10, Monaco 12-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Paris FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Monaco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Paris FC and Monaco have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.