Monaco vs SC Freiburg Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Monaco Rest
4 days
SC Freiburg Rest
4 days
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: the result in context
Monaco beat SC Freiburg 3-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
SC Freiburg tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.7 for Monaco.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.11
X26%3.61
226%3.23
Double Chance
1X74%1.34
X252%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.57
No43%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.25 = 2.80
Over 1.578%1.21
Over 2.556%1.70
Over 3.534%2.63
Under 1.522%4.33
Under 2.544%2.16
Under 3.566%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.7 = 8.8
Over 8.551%1.71
Over 9.539%2.17
Over 10.530%2.92
Under 8.549%2.01
Under 9.561%1.61
Under 10.570%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.567%1.64
Over 4.548%2.17
Under 3.533%2.19
Under 4.552%1.64
Match Events
15'Y. Engelhardt INP. Osterhage out
37'P. OsterhageHolding
45+2'P. BrunnerAssist: E. Diop
46'Y. Suzuki INL. Holer out
49'A. GolovinFoul
58'M. Coulibaly INA. Soubeir out
58'M. Detourbet INA. Fati out
62'V. Grifo IND. Scherhant out
62'J. Makengo INP. Treu out
69'E. Diop IND. Zakaria out
70'A. SoubeirRoughing
80'A. Golovin INNazinho out
80'P. Brunner INM. Abline out
82'J. Beste INC. Irie out
83'L. Camara
86'A. FatiFoul
90+1'A. FatiAssist: M. Abline
Lineups
MonacoSC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Avg ratingAvg rating
C1L. Hrádecký
2Vanderson
72S. Sané
4J. Teze
13C. Mawissa
8L. Camara
37E. Diop
28M. Coulibaly
10A. Golovin
7M. Detourbet
29P. Brunner
1M. Backhaus
17L. Kübler
28M. Ginter
37M. Rosenfelder
33J. Makengo
C8M. Eggestein
16Y. Engelhardt
19J. Beste
14Y. Suzuki
32V. Grifo
31I. MatanovićMonaco Substitutes
46Anis Soubeir58'for M. Coulibaly70'
31Ansu Fati58'for M. Detourbet86'90+1'
16Philipp Köhn
40Jules Stawiecki
22Mohammed Salisu
20Nazinho80'for A. Golovin
49Ilane Touré
6Denis Zakaria69'for E. Diop
18Takumi Minamino
19Pape Cabral
11Matthis Abline80'for P. Brunner
14Mika Biereth
SC Freiburg Substitutes
6Patrick Osterhage15'for Y. Engelhardt37'
9Lucas Höler46'for Y. Suzuki
29Philipp Treu62'for J. Makengo
7Derry Scherhant62'for V. Grifo
24Jannik Huth
30Christian Günter
5Anthony Jung
22Cyriaque Irié82'for J. Beste
20Rihito Yamamoto
42Keisuke Goto
Match Stats
MonacoSC Freiburg 48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks11
3Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
440Total Passes469
384Passes Accurate392
87%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
MonacoSC Freiburg1889Elo Rating 1850
1.81Attack 1.43
2.10Defense 0.90
61%Hit Rate 36%
12.3Shots per Game 15.0
5.3Shots on Target 4.1
3.7Corners per Game 6.5
2.4Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Monaco- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SC Freiburg- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Recent Form
Monaco7W2D1L
SC Freiburg8W1D1L
18/10/2026
Bayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgSC Freiburg
FK JablonecSC Freiburg
FC Schalke 04
Eintracht FrankfurtSC FreiburgSC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Paderborn 07SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
Werder BremenSC Freiburg
Motherwell
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg21
L15/10/2026SC FreiburgFK Jablonec32
W11/10/2026SC FreiburgFC Schalke 0421
W03/10/2026SC Freiburg
FC Luzern
19/09/2026SC FreiburgFC Luzern42
WEintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg22
D12/09/2026SC FreiburgBorussia Mönchengladbach50
W05/09/2026SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg01
W30/08/2026SC FreiburgWerder Bremen41
W27/08/2026SC FreiburgMotherwell41
W23/08/2026Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg15
WReferee Profile
3.58Cards per match
3.51Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.58 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.85).
Cards come from 201 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Monaco Predictions
- SC Freiburg Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Monaco vs SC Freiburg forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Monaco have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Monaco and SC Freiburg have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.