São Bernardo vs Athletic Club Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 38
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
São Bernardo Rest
5 days
Athletic Club Rest
4 days
São Bernardo vs Athletic Club: the result in context
São Bernardo and Athletic Club drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 12 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.85
X27%3.40
220%4.18
Double Chance
1X80%1.19
X247%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.85
No48%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.06 = 2.57
Over 1.573%1.31
Over 2.549%2.02
Over 3.529%3.58
Under 1.527%3.21
Under 2.551%1.74
Under 3.571%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.562%1.26
Over 9.550%1.53
Over 10.538%1.87
Under 8.538%3.17
Under 9.550%2.31
Under 10.562%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5-1.62
Over 4.5-2.10
Under 3.5-2.20
Under 4.5-1.67
Match Events
28'Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro MagalhãesFoul
30'Jhonatan INPhilipe Sampaio Azevedo out
32'AugustoFoul
45'Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães INEchapora out
45+2'JemersonFoul
46'Kauan Rodrigues da SilvaAssist: Yarlen Faustino Augusto
50'Breno Ruan Melo Almeida
57'Gustavo SilvaFoul
58'João MiguelFoul
59'Dixon Vera INFelipe Vieira da Silva out
59'Gustavo Silva INLuiz Fernando Souza Santos out
69'Alexsandro de SouzaDissent
70'Card upgrade confirmedJoão Vitor Rodrigues Galdino
72'João Vitor Rodrigues GaldinoSerious foul
75'Fabrício Daniel INFelipe Garcia out
75'Breno Ruan Melo Almeida INEduardo·da Silva Albuquerque out
76'Tony Batista INEduardo Freire de Andrade out
76'Yago Santos de Andrade INJoao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes out
82'Felipe Garcia(Penalty)
83'Daniel Davi Simão Roque INFoguinho out
84'Felipe Vieira da SilvaFoul
85'Gabriel Verutti Brigida Rogerio
87'João Pedro Constancio Dos Santos INPará out
Lineups
São BernardoAthletic Club
4-1-4-1Coach: AlexAvg ratingAvg rating
12J. Oliveira
97Augusto
35Jemerson
90Luizão
21H. Sanches3636J. Vitor Rodrigues Galdino
17Romisson1616J. Pedro Constancio Dos Santos
30Breninho
10F. Daniel
37D. Davi
1Tony
2D. Pelé
3Jhonatan
4L. Belezi66G. Verutti Brigida Rogerio
16J. Miguel
7Yarlen
14Y. Santos
17Kauan
21D. Vera
20G. SilvaSão Bernardo Substitutes
44Caio Belmonte Garcez
42Hyoran
39Hwaskar Fagundes Filho
31Lucas Fernandes
6Pará87'replaced by João Pedro Constancio Dos Santos
9Felipe Garcia75'for Fabrício Daniel82'
22Léo Lang
8Foguinho83'for Daniel Davi Simão Roque
26Eduardo75'for Breno Ruan Melo Almeida
27Echaporã45'for Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães
40Bruno Azevedo Canella
Athletic Club Substitutes
13Philipe Sampaio30'for Jhonatan
15Jota76'for Yago Santos de Andrade
26Glauco
22Erick
12Eduardo Freire de Andrade76'replaced by Tony Batista
19Matheus De Oliveira Pimenta
5Felipe Vieira59'for Dixon Vera84'
18Luiz Fernando59'for Gustavo Silva
8Eduardo Filipe
23Joao Vitor
Match Stats
São BernardoAthletic Club 47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots0
17Fouls17
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
369Total Passes423
314Passes Accurate355
17Free Kicks17
Team Comparison
São BernardoAthletic Club1618Elo Rating 1570
1.70Attack 1.01
1.46Defense 1.89
50%Hit Rate 27%
11.5Shots per Game 15.0
4.2Shots on Target 3.4
6.2Corners per Game 5.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.0
Game State Tendencies
São Bernardo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Athletic Club- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
São Bernardo1Wins · 50%Draws00%
Athletic Club1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
24/07/2026Athletic ClubSão Bernardo21
30/06/2024Athletic ClubSão Bernardo14
Recent Form
São Bernardo5W2D3L
07/11/2026
AvaiSão Bernardo
CuiabaSão BernardoSão Bernardo
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
Criciuma
JuventudeSão Bernardo
Sport RecifeSão BernardoSão Bernardo
CRB
NovorizontinoSão BernardoSão Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
America MineiroSão Bernardo
AvaiSão Bernardo21
L01/11/2026CuiabaSão Bernardo12
W24/10/2026São BernardoVila Nova32
W18/10/2026São BernardoCriciuma01
L11/10/2026JuventudeSão Bernardo22
D07/10/2026Sport RecifeSão Bernardo21
L03/10/2026São BernardoCRB31
W26/09/2026NovorizontinoSão Bernardo00
D19/09/2026São BernardoAtletico Goianiense10
W15/09/2026America MineiroSão Bernardo02
WAthletic Club2W4D4L
08/11/2026Athletic ClubAtletico GoianienseAthletic Club
Ceara
Operario-PRAthletic ClubAvaiAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Londrina
GoiasAthletic ClubAthletic ClubSport Recife
Fortaleza ECAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Botafogo SPJuventudeAthletic Club
Athletic ClubAtletico Goianiense23
L02/11/2026Athletic ClubCeara21
W24/10/2026Operario-PRAthletic Club10
L18/10/2026AvaiAthletic Club00
D14/10/2026Athletic ClubLondrina22
D07/10/2026GoiasAthletic Club21
L02/10/2026Athletic ClubSport Recife12
L27/09/2026Fortaleza ECAthletic Club22
D19/09/2026Athletic ClubBotafogo SP11
D13/09/2026JuventudeAthletic Club02
WReferee Profile
5.32Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.44).
Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 67:32 | +35 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Juventude | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 51:26 | +25 | 71 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | +14 | 66 | LWDLD |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 45:33 | +12 | 65 | WLDDW |
| 5 | Criciuma | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 38:32 | +6 | 62 | LLWLW |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 46:35 | +11 | 61 | WWDLD |
| 7 | CRB | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 58:52 | +6 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 8 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 53:42 | +11 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:50 | +1 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:44 | +10 | 53 | DLWWL |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 45:41 | +4 | 51 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 48 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 34:33 | +1 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 44 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Avai | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 37:47 | -10 | 43 | WWLLD |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47:59 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 27:57 | -30 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21:81 | -60 | 15 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 38 | 67:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Juventude | 38 | 51:26 | 71 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 38 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 38 | 45:33 | 65 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 38 | 38:32 | 62 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 38 | 46:35 | 61 |
| 7 | CRB | 38 | 58:52 | 59 |
| 8 | Goias | 38 | 39:44 | 58 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 38 | 53:42 | 58 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 38 | 51:50 | 57 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 45:41 | 51 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 38 | 34:33 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 41:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 38 | 39:48 | 44 |
| 17 | Avai | 38 | 37:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 47:59 | 35 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 38 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 21:81 | 15 |
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About the São Bernardo vs Athletic Club forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
São Bernardo and Athletic Club in the Serie B table
São Bernardo and Athletic Club are close in the Serie B table, 11th and 13th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: São Bernardo 54-44, Athletic Club 46-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
São Bernardo and Athletic Club have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.