Goias vs Athletic Club Prediction

Goias
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Athletic Club
Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania·Flavio Rodrigues De Souza 07/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Goias Rest
4 days
Athletic Club Rest
5 days

Goias vs Athletic Club: the result in context

Goias beat Athletic Club 2-1 in the Serie B on 7 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.85
X
28%3.30
2
24%4.33
Double Chance
1X
76%1.19
X2
52%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.10
No
51%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.26 = 2.63
Over 1.5
68%1.42
Over 2.5
43%2.33
Over 3.5
25%4.50
Under 1.5
32%2.62
Under 2.5
57%1.57
Under 3.5
75%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
68%1.46
Over 9.5
57%1.80
Over 10.5
46%2.28
Under 8.5
32%2.51
Under 9.5
43%1.95
Under 10.5
54%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%1.67
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%2.10

Match Events

25'Lucas LimaFoul
28'Diogo·Batista de SouzaFoul
43'Luiz FelipeFoul
45'Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino INLuiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida out
58'Luiz Felipe Clemente de AlmeidaAssist: Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
61'Jhonatan INWilinton Aponza Carabali out
61'Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes INOtavio Bruno Dos Santos out
63'João MiguelAssist: Kauan Rodrigues da Silva
68'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes INFelipe Negrucci Berdague out
69'Jean Carlos INHalerrandrio dos Santos Feitosa out
69'Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro INWellington Rato out
69'Filipe Machado INLucas Rodrigues out
74'Maswel Ananias Silva INYago Santos de Andrade out
74'Diogo·Batista de Souza INDouglas da Silva Santos out
74'Luiz Felipe INRamon Menezes out
89'Djalma SilvaFoul
90+1'Lucas RodriguesAssist: Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida

Lineups

Goias
4-2-3-1Coach: Mozart
Athletic Club
3-5-1-1Coach: Alex
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.41
Tadeu7.623Tadeu
Rodrigo Soares7.02R. Soares
Luiz Felipe6.33L. Felipe
Lucas Ribeiro6.814L. Ribeiro
Djalma Silva6.354D. Silva
Lourenço6.897Lourenço
Filipe Machado6.75F. Machado
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira6.421J. Carlos Alves Ferreira
Lucas Lima7.110L. Lima
Kadu6.040Kadu
Cadu7.018Cadu
Luan Polli6.91L. Polli
Jhonatan6.33Jhonatan
Lucas Belezi6.34L. Belezi
J. Torres6.619J. Torres
Diogo Batista5.522D. Batista
João Miguel7.916J. Miguel
Jota6.215Jota
Kauan Lindes6.310K. Lindes
Enzo5.923Enzo
Kauan7.217Kauan
Max6.511Max

Goias Substitutes

8Juninho
25Luis Fellipe
6Nicolas
55Guilherme Baldória
35Luquinhas69'for Filipe Machado90+1'7.7
66Danilo Cunha
4Ramon Menezes74'for Luiz Felipe6.4
28Gegê
77Halerrandrio69'for Jean Carlos6.5
1Thiago Rodrigues
27Wellington Rato69'for Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro6.5
11Felipe Clemente45'for Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino58'8.0

Athletic Club Substitutes

14Yago Santos74'for Maswel Ananias Silva6.1
21D. Vera
18Pedro Oliveira
2Douglas Pelé74'for Diogo·Batista de Souza5.9
20W. Aponza61'for Jhonatan6.4
7Bruninho61'for Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes6.4
13Felipe Vieira
12Tony
5Felipe Negrucci68'for Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes6.1

Match Stats

GoiasAthletic Club
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots6
14Fouls10
3Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
568Total Passes347
501Passes Accurate284
10Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

GoiasGoias
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1642Elo Rating 1559
1.26Attack 0.70
2.41Defense 1.73
63%Hit Rate 0%
17.8Shots per Game 15.2
6.1Shots on Target 3.5
6.4Corners per Game 6.5
1.4Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

GoiasGoias0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B14/06/2026
Athletic ClubGoias
11
Serie B11/10/2025
Athletic ClubGoias
11
Serie B24/06/2025
GoiasAthletic Club
12

Referee Profile

Flavio Rodrigues De Souza229 matches

4.96Cards per match
4.74Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Flavio Rodrigues De Souza4.96
Other referees5.08

4.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).

Cards come from 215 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Goias vs Athletic Club forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Goias and Athletic Club in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Goias are 9th and Athletic Club 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Goias 36-40, Athletic Club 40-40. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.