Atlas vs Club America Prediction

Atlas
2-5
Finished
HT 0-2
Club America
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara·Cesar Arturo Ramos 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Atlas Rest
5 days
Club America Rest
4 days

Atlas vs Club America: the result in context

Club America beat Atlas 5-2 in the Liga MX on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.35
X
25%3.65
2
50%2.00
Double Chance
1X
50%1.74
X2
75%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.53
No
39%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.76 = 2.99
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.61
Over 3.5
40%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.50
Under 2.5
39%2.27
Under 3.5
60%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.33
Over 9.5
52%1.58
Over 10.5
40%1.99
Under 8.5
36%2.89
Under 9.5
48%2.18
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.42
Over 4.5
52%1.67
Under 3.5
30%2.75
Under 4.5
48%2.10

Match Events

22'Franco RossanoFoul
26'Miguel BorjaAssist: Brian Rodríguez
28'Erick SánchezAssist: Carlos Álvarez
45'Carlos Álvarez INIsaias Violante out
58'Brian RodríguezAssist: Álex Zendejas
63'Álex Zendejas
68'Miguel Borja INHenry Martin out
68'Álex Zendejas INOscar Andres Perea Abonce out
68'Paulo Ramirez INSergio Hernández out
68'Arturo González INEdgar Zaldívar out
68'Florián Monzón INJosé Martín out
70'Penalty confirmedEdgar Zaldívar
73'Luís André Leite Esteves(Penalty)
77'Franco Rossano INEmilio Lara out
77'Israel Reyes INAlan Cervantes out
78'Ryan MmaeeAssist: Sergio Hernández
78'Milton Valenzuela INJorge Rodríguez out
79'Kevin Alvarez
85'Juan SánchezFoul
85'Elías Montiel INVíctor Ríos out
90+4'Sergio HernándezDissent

Lineups

Atlas
4-2-2-2Coach: H. Crespo
Club America
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Almada
Avg rating6.21
Avg rating7.00
C. Vargas5.512C. Vargas
J. Sánchez6.53J. Sánchez
A. Frías5.919A. Frías
J. Purata5.444J. Purata
M. Valenzuela5.416M. Valenzuela
E. Montiel6.418E. Montiel
Paulo Ramírez6.315P. Ramírez
A. González5.958A. González
Luís Esteves7.510L. Esteves
F. Monzón6.59F. Monzón
R. Mmaee8.28R. Mmaee
L. Malagón6.61L. Malagón
K. Álvarez7.35K. Álvarez
S. Bueno5.814S. Bueno
S. Ramos6.515S. Ramos
F. Rossano6.224F. Rossano
I. Reyes6.53I. Reyes
É. Sánchez7.528É. Sánchez
A. Zendejas8.910A. Zendejas
Carlos Álvarez6.88C. Álvarez
B. Rodríguez8.87B. Rodríguez
M. Borja7.993M. Borja

Atlas Substitutes

6É. Zaldívar68'for Arturo González6.6
27V. Ríos85'for Elías Montiel5.8
22A. Sánchez
23S. Hernández68'for Paulo Ramirez90+4'5.8
28M. Capasso
13G. Aguirre
17J. Lozano
203J. Martín68'for Florián Monzón6.2
26A. Rocha
5J. Rodríguez78'for Milton Valenzuela5.5

Club America Substitutes

13A. Cervantes77'for Israel Reyes6.2
30R. Cota
20A. Gutiérrez
2E. Lara77'for Franco Rossano6.4
9H. Martín68'for Miguel Borja6.6
22Ó. Perea68'for Álex Zendejas7.2
12I. Violante45'for Carlos Álvarez6.7
32M. Vázquez
217Icaro
6E. Cerrillo

Match Stats

AtlasClub America
56%Ball Possession44%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal6
12Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box12
12Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots6
8Fouls14
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
458Total Passes359
383Passes Accurate279
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
Club AmericaClub America
1614Elo Rating 1744
2.51Attack 2.44
0.60Defense 1.24
61%Hit Rate 36%
16.6Shots per Game 19.5
5.3Shots on Target 7.9
7.8Corners per Game 6.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Club AmericaClub America
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtlasAtlas2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Club AmericaClub America5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX26/04/2026
Club AmericaAtlas
01
Liga MX25/08/2025
AtlasClub America
24
Liga MX16/03/2025
AtlasClub America
13
Liga MX18/09/2024
Club AmericaAtlas
30
Liga MX03/03/2024
AtlasClub America
15
Liga MX21/08/2023
Club AmericaAtlas
11
Liga MX26/02/2023
AtlasClub America
22
Liga MX03/07/2022
Club AmericaAtlas
00
Liga MX23/01/2022
Club AmericaAtlas
02
Liga MX16/08/2021
AtlasClub America
01

Referee Profile

Cesar Arturo Ramos4 matches analysed

4.37Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 36% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1592434:24+1029WWWWD
4AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1564522:20+222LDWLD
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1534:2429
4AtlasAtlas1526:2627
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1522:2022
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
Promotion

About the Atlas vs Club America forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlas and Club America in the Liga MX table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Club America are 1st in the Liga MX, 2 points ahead of Atlas in 4th. League goal record so far: Atlas 26-26, Club America 36-21. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.