Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa: the result in context
Guadalajara Chivas beat Necaxa 1-0 in the Liga MX on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Guadalajara Chivas have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce averages 3.50 cards a game, 1.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Guadalajara Chivas
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Rangel
23D. Aguirre
16L. Rey
3D. Campillo
37R. Ledezma
28R. González
33J. Carrillo
182L. Calderon
25R. Alvarado
10E. Álvarez
17R. Marín
2E. Martínez
5K. Naves
15D. Ochoa
3A. Oliveros
14M. Zaleta
99M. Rodríguez
6D. Leyva
8L. Faravelli
10J. Ruiz
90J. ValenciaGuadalajara Chivas Substitutes
Necaxa Substitutes
Match Stats
Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa Team Comparison
Guadalajara ChivasNecaxaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Guadalajara Chivas- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Guadalajara Chivas7Wins · 70%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
23/04/2026NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas24/09/2025Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa18/01/2025NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas23/10/2024Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa21/02/2024NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas14/07/2023Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa09/04/2023Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa20/08/2022NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas30/04/2022NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas29/08/2021Guadalajara ChivasNecaxaRecent Form
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
AtlasGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Club AmericaGuadalajara Chivas
Club QueretaroClub AmericaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
CF PachucaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
Santos LagunaGuadalajara ChivasNecaxaNecaxaAtlasCF PachucaNecaxaNecaxaClub AmericaAtletico San LuisNecaxaNecaxa
PueblaTigres UANLNecaxaNecaxa
Cruz AzulU.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxaNecaxa
Leon
New York City FCNecaxaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.50 cards a match, 1.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).
Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 34:19 | +15 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | WDLWD |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:18 | +4 | 21 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 34:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 25:26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 13 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 17:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 9:33 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Guadalajara Chivas and Necaxa in the Liga MX table
The table shows a wide gap: Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd in the Liga MX, while Necaxa sit 17th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Guadalajara Chivas 21-12, Necaxa 16-27. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.