Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction

Tigres UANL
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Leon
Estadio Universitario, Monterey·Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava 21/10/2026
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
0-2
Finished
LeonLeon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Tigres UANL Rest
3 days
Leon Rest
3 days

Tigres UANL vs Leon: result, form and history

Leon beat Tigres UANL 2-0 in the Liga MX on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Tigres UANL tend to win more corners, 8.8 a game to 4.2 for Leon.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.02
X
26%3.44
2
27%3.54
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
53%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.66
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.19 = 2.93
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.81
Over 3.5
32%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.65
Under 2.5
47%1.95
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.68
Over 10.5
39%2.07
Under 8.5
38%2.70
Under 9.5
50%2.07
Under 10.5
61%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.29
Over 4.5
47%1.67
Under 3.5
34%3.40
Under 4.5
53%2.10

Match Events

19'Ismael Díaz
46'Sebastián VegasPersistent infringement
58'Jonathan Herrera INRodrigo Aguirre out
58'Henrique Simeone INDiego Sánchez out
64'Ivan Moreno INBryan Colula out
64'Fernando Beltran INJose Rodriguez out
73'Sebastián Vegas INDiber Cambindo out
73'Jose Alvarado INChristopher Mora out
81'Emiliano Gómez INRicardo Monreal out
81'Fernando Gorriarán INCesar Araujo out
84'Edgar Guerra INPaul Bellón out
86'Jesús Garza INjaidyn contreras out
89'Diber CambindoAssist: Rodrigo Echeverría

Lineups

Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Vucetich
Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Gandolfi
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating7.12
N. Guzmán6.51N. Guzmán
J. Garza6.514J. Garza
A. Franco7.015A. Franco
R. Guerrero6.433R. Guerrero
M. Laínez6.919M. Laínez
F. Gorriarán7.28F. Gorriarán
Simeone7.234Simeone
D. Lainez6.816D. Lainez
E. Gómez6.69E. Gómez
O. Herrera6.077O. Herrera
G. Martínez6.322G. Martínez
Ó. García8.023Ó. García
I. Moreno7.47I. Moreno
J. Romaña7.114J. Romaña
Juan José Guevara Possu6.93J. José Guevara Possu
S. Vegas7.15S. Vegas
R. Echeverría7.720R. Echeverría
E. Guerra6.618E. Guerra
F. Beltrán6.76F. Beltrán
D. Arcila6.613D. Arcila
I. Díaz8.211I. Díaz
J. Alvarado6.319J. Alvarado

Tigres UANL Substitutes

29J. Contreras86'for Jesús Garza6.4
5C. Araújo81'for Fernando Gorriarán5.8
17R. Aguirre58'for Jonathan Herrera6.2
184I. Aceves
32V. Loroña
21R. Monreal81'for Emiliano Gómez6.2
25F. Rodríguez
30D. Sánchez58'for Henrique Simeone6.7
6J. Vigón
192E. J. Villavicencio Avila

Leon Substitutes

25P. Bellón84'for Edgar Guerra7.0
27D. Cambindo73'for Sebastián Vegas89'7.4
4B. Colula64'for Ivan Moreno7.2
247I. Espinosa
203J. Lara
21S. Londoño
181Irving Martínez
185C. Mora73'for Jose Alvarado6.9
26S. Reyes
29J. Rodríguez64'for Fernando Beltran6.9

Match Stats

Tigres UANLLeon
70%Ball Possession30%
16Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots4
5Fouls18
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
636Total Passes279
563Passes Accurate205
18Free Kicks4

Team Comparison

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
LeonLeon
1634Elo Rating 1663
0.98Attack 1.89
1.56Defense 1.35
36%Hit Rate 44%
14.7Shots per Game 11.5
5.9Shots on Target 5.0
8.8Corners per Game 4.2
0.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tigres UANLTigres UANL4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
LeonLeon4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX01/02/2026
LeonTigres UANL
12
Liga MX14/09/2025
Tigres UANLLeon
00
Liga MX23/02/2025
LeonTigres UANL
10
Liga MX28/09/2024
Tigres UANLLeon
22
Liga MX18/01/2024
LeonTigres UANL
12
Liga MX16/07/2023
Tigres UANLLeon
10
CONCACAF Champions League04/05/2023
LeonTigres UANL
31
Liga MX01/05/2023
LeonTigres UANL
30
CONCACAF Champions League26/04/2023
Tigres UANLLeon
21
Liga MX11/09/2022
Tigres UANLLeon
01

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava204 matches

4.70Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava4.70
Other referees4.57

4.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 192 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Tigres UANL vs Leon forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

More Liga MX fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga MX Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.