Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Falkirk
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Kilmarnock
Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Falkirk Rest
7 days
Kilmarnock Rest
7 days

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: result, form and history

Falkirk beat Kilmarnock 3-0 in the Premiership on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Falkirk have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.85
X
25%3.84
2
27%3.84
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
52%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.32 = 3.08
Over 1.5
81%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.65
Over 3.5
38%2.60
Under 1.5
19%4.40
Under 2.5
40%2.23
Under 3.5
62%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.38
Over 9.5
60%1.71
Over 10.5
48%2.13
Under 8.5
29%2.65
Under 9.5
40%2.03
Under 10.5
52%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.62
Over 4.5
41%2.02
Under 3.5
40%2.20
Under 4.5
59%1.75

Match Events

29'Cathal McCarthyOG
38'Jacob MurrellAssist: Ryan Strain
46'George StangerFoul
62'Greg Kiltie INIeuan Gwyn Owen out
67'Jamie BrandonFoul
67'Aaron Tshibola INMark O'Hara out
67'Erik Ring INNicky Clescenco out
68'George StangerOG
76'Joe Hugill INDjenairo Daniels out
76'Cathal McCarthy INMichael-John Kamson-Kamara out
83'Jacob Murrell INBen Parkinson out
83'Ethan Ross INConor McLeod out
84'Owen Eames INCalvin Fodrey out
86'Finley Frank Barbrook INFinn Yeats out
90+1'Deniss Meļņiks INCraig Sibbald out

Lineups

Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. McGlynn
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1Coach: N. McCann
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating5.83
S. Bain6.219S. Bain
R. Strain7.822R. Strain
L. Neilson7.315L. Neilson
L. Henderson6.85L. Henderson
L. McCann6.43L. McCann
B. Spencer6.98B. Spencer
Finley Frank Barbrook6.716F. Frank Barbrook
E. Ross6.723E. Ross
D. Meļņiks6.021D. Meļņiks
Owen Eames7.142O. Eames
J. Murrell8.124J. Murrell
C. Ferrie7.212C. Ferrie
J. Brandon4.82J. Brandon
C. McCarthy4.44C. McCarthy
G. Stanger4.814G. Stanger
M. Schjønning-Larsen5.921M. Schjønning-Larsen
A. Tshibola5.936A. Tshibola
T. Lowery6.218T. Lowery
E. Ring6.18E. Ring
T. John-Jules5.610T. John-Jules
G. Kiltie5.711G. Kiltie
J. Hugill6.59J. Hugill

Falkirk Substitutes

1N. Hogarth
17S. Tanser
27C. McLeod83'for Ethan Ross6.8
14F. Yeats86'for Finley Frank Barbrook6.6
99C. Fodrey84'for Owen Eames7.0
4J. McMillan
10C. Sibbald90+1'for Deniss Meļņiks
7Ben Parkinson83'for Jacob Murrell6.5
9R. MacIver

Kilmarnock Substitutes

29D. Daniels76'for Joe Hugill6.4
5M. O'Hara67'for Aaron Tshibola5.8
7R. McKenzie
20N. Cleșcenco67'for Erik Ring6.3
19J. Meier
6R. Deas
58N. Mantl
3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara76'for Cathal McCarthy5.6
27I. Owen62'for Greg Kiltie6.3

Match Stats

FalkirkKilmarnock
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots10
8Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots6
11Fouls12
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
302Total Passes334
203Passes Accurate228
12Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

FalkirkFalkirk
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1555Elo Rating 1502
1.91Attack 1.19
2.07Defense 0.98
64%Hit Rate 37%
14.4Shots per Game 11.4
5.5Shots on Target 3.3
5.4Corners per Game 4.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FalkirkFalkirk4Wins · 80%
Draws00%
KilmarnockKilmarnock1Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Premiership28/02/2026
FalkirkKilmarnock
51
Premiership20/12/2025
KilmarnockFalkirk
01
Premiership01/11/2025
FalkirkKilmarnock
31
Challenge Cup04/09/2021
KilmarnockFalkirk
31
League Cup06/10/2020
FalkirkKilmarnock
30

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Falkirk and Kilmarnock in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Falkirk are 6th and Kilmarnock 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Falkirk 13-12, Kilmarnock 11-26. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Falkirk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.