Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction

Hibernian
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Celtic
Easter Road, Edinburgh 25/10/2026
HibernianHibernian
1-2
Finished
CelticCeltic

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Hibernian Rest
7 days
Celtic Rest
2 days

Hibernian vs Celtic: the result in context

Celtic beat Hibernian 2-1 in the Premiership on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celtic have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Celtic tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.3 for Hibernian.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.88
X
24%4.33
2
57%1.59
Double Chance
1X
43%2.29
X2
80%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.90
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.53
Over 3.5
39%2.31
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.38
Under 3.5
61%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.2 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.20
Over 9.5
52%1.38
Over 10.5
41%1.70
Under 8.5
36%3.60
Under 9.5
48%2.62
Under 10.5
59%2.06
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.83
Over 4.5
39%2.30
Under 3.5
42%1.83
Under 4.5
61%1.57

Match Events

3'Owen EldingAssist: Joe Newell
5'Jason KerrOG
43'Camilo Duran
45+1'Kasper HoghDissent
47'Thibault KlidjéFoul
52'Colby Donovan INAlistair Johnston out
64'Callum Osmand INJota out
64'Kasper Hogh INHaissem Hassan out
68'Jamie McGrath INAnte Suto out
68'Thibault Klidjé INRabbi Matondo out
73'Alistair Johnston INCameron Carter-Vickers out
73'Camilo Duran INShumaira Mheuka out
77'Joe Newell INAzeem Abdulai out
80'Kieran TierneyFoul
82'Miguel Changa Chaiwa INGrant Hanley out
85'Shumaira MheukaFoul
85'Marko IvezicFoul

Lineups

Hibernian
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Reedijk
Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Avg rating6.20
Avg rating6.67
R. Sallinger5.81R. Sallinger
F. Passlack6.625F. Passlack
J. Kerr5.86J. Kerr
M. Ivezić5.75M. Ivezić
A. Mayor5.53A. Mayor
M. Chaiwa6.414M. Chaiwa
J. Newell7.211J. Newell
J. Mulligan6.48J. Mulligan
J. McGrath6.217J. McGrath
T. Klidje5.518T. Klidje
O. Elding7.67O. Elding
S. Johnstone6.626S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan6.851C. Donovan
D. Murray6.747D. Murray
L. Scales7.05L. Scales
K. Tierney6.163K. Tierney
C. McGregor6.642C. McGregor
M. Baur7.222M. Baur
C. Durán7.811C. Durán
B. Nygren6.58B. Nygren
C. Osmand6.519C. Osmand
K. Høgh6.29K. Høgh

Hibernian Substitutes

4G. Hanley82'for Miguel Changa Chaiwa6.1
15J. Iredale
39R. Matondo68'for Thibault Klidjé5.9
19N. Cadden
13J. Smith
22A. Šuto68'for Jamie McGrath6.4
47A. Abdulai77'for Joe Newell6.0
12Alex Williams
34Z. Bruce

Celtic Substitutes

18O. Sørensen
20C. Carter-Vickers73'replaced by Alistair Johnston6.3
49J. Forrest
23H. Hassan64'for Kasper Hogh6.9
2A. Johnston52'for Colby Donovan73'for Cameron Carter-Vickers6.4
7Jota64'for Callum Osmand6.9
29Shumaira Mheuka73'for Camilo Duran85'6.3
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
1V. Sinisalo

Match Stats

HibernianCeltic
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots6
15Fouls15
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
357Total Passes570
270Passes Accurate487
76%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

HibernianHibernian
CelticCeltic
1545Elo Rating 1739
0.83Attack 2.49
1.58Defense 1.11
0%Hit Rate 39%
12.6Shots per Game 17.8
2.3Shots on Target 6.5
4.3Corners per Game 7.1
2.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

HibernianHibernian
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CelticCeltic
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HibernianHibernian2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
CelticCeltic7Wins · 70%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership03/05/2026
HibernianCeltic
12
Premiership22/02/2026
CelticHibernian
12
Premiership30/11/2025
HibernianCeltic
12
Premiership27/09/2025
CelticHibernian
00
Premiership10/05/2025
CelticHibernian
31
FA Cup09/03/2025
CelticHibernian
20
Premiership22/02/2025
HibernianCeltic
21
Premiership07/12/2024
CelticHibernian
30
League Cup18/08/2024
CelticHibernian
31
Premiership11/08/2024
HibernianCeltic
02

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
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About the Hibernian vs Celtic forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hibernian and Celtic in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Celtic are 1st in the Premiership, while Hibernian sit 12th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Hibernian 11-17, Celtic 27-8. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.