Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction
Scotland · Regular Season - 10
Fir Park, Motherwell 25/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Motherwell Rest
8 days
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
2 days
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: result, form and history
Heart Of Midlothian beat Motherwell 2-0 in the Premiership on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
129%3.23
X27%3.70
244%2.10
Double Chance
1X56%1.71
X271%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.53
No40%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.51 = 2.69
Over 1.579%1.20
Over 2.557%1.62
Over 3.535%2.60
Under 1.521%4.40
Under 2.543%2.21
Under 3.565%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.44
Over 9.554%1.79
Over 10.543%2.21
Under 8.534%2.56
Under 9.546%1.96
Under 10.557%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.551%1.67
Over 4.532%2.10
Under 3.549%2.10
Under 4.568%1.67
Match Events
24'Malachi WalcottFoul
29'Claudio Rafael Soares BragaAssist: Sabah Kerjota
41'Tom SparrowFoul
57'Sabah KerjotaDissent
59'Jamie McCartFoul
61'Martin Moormann INJamie·Knight Lebel out
64'Tomas Bent Magnusson INLaurent mendy out
65'Sabah Kerjota INCalvin Miller out
65'Jordan McGhee INJardell Kanga out
65'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden INEythor Bjørgolfsson out
77'Rogers MatoFoul
79'Ibrahim SaidArgument
81'Tawanda MaswanhiseFoul
82'Tom Sparrow INStephen O'Donnell out
86'Calvin Miller
87'James wilson INYan Dhanda out
88'Claudio Rafael Soares Braga INJerome Williams out
90+1'Josh Mcpake INSeverin Sabri Guendouz out
90+3'Yan DhandaTime wasting
Lineups
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
4-4-2Coach: W. VranckenAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Paulsen
7T. Sparrow
3J. Girdwood-Reich
5M. Moormann
45M. Emmanuel
6J. McGhee
63D. Levitt
18T. Jethro Maswanhise
19I. Said
71J. Hodge
47S. Palmer-Houlden
1B. Reus
74R. Mato
64M. Fagan-Walcott
5J. McCart
3S. Kingsley
29S. Kerjota
22T. Magnússon
23J. Altena
15J. McPake
21J. Wilson
10C. BragaMotherwell Substitutes
15E. Björgólfsson65'for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
27M. Booth
13J. Kanga65'for Jordan McGhee
4Jamie Knight-Lebel61'for Martin Moormann
21M. Connelly
2S. O'Donnell82'for Tom Sparrow
77W. Vogt
23E. Wilson
Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes
9J. Williams88'for Claudio Rafael Soares Braga
7C. Miller65'for Sabah Kerjota86'
78L. Mendy64'for Tomas Bent Magnusson
11P. Kabore
19S. Guendouz90+1'for Josh Mcpake
30R. Fulton
31Y. Dhanda87'for James wilson90+3'
77A. Ba-Sy
27A. Benjaminsen
Match Stats
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian 53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards5
17Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots6
15Fouls10
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
481Total Passes412
403Passes Accurate321
10Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian1540Elo Rating 1682
1.07Attack 1.30
0.81Defense 0.77
0%Hit Rate 23%
15.2Shots per Game 15.9
5.8Shots on Target 4.8
5.7Corners per Game 3.8
1.5Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Motherwell- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Heart Of Midlothian- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Motherwell1Wins · 10%Draws440%
Heart Of Midlothian5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
09/05/2026MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian11
11/04/2026Heart Of MidlothianMotherwell31
29/11/2025MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian00
23/08/2025Heart Of MidlothianMotherwell33
10/05/2025Heart Of MidlothianMotherwell30
12/04/2025MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian00
02/01/2025Heart Of MidlothianMotherwell10
25/08/2024MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian31
17/02/2024Heart Of MidlothianMotherwell20
11/11/2023MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian12
Recent Form
Motherwell1W1D8L
17/10/2026
KilmarnockMotherwellMotherwell
Celtic
DundeeMotherwellMotherwell
AberdeenMotherwell
Dundee Utd
ST MirrenMotherwell
SC FreiburgMotherwellMotherwellSC Freiburg
KilmarnockMotherwell32
L11/10/2026MotherwellCeltic02
L19/09/2026DundeeMotherwell21
L15/09/2026MotherwellAberdeen04
L05/09/2026
RangersMotherwell
02/09/2026RangersMotherwell10
LMotherwellDundee Utd30
W30/08/2026ST MirrenMotherwell33
D27/08/2026SC FreiburgMotherwell41
L20/08/2026MotherwellSC Freiburg13
L16/08/2026
StenhousemuirMotherwell
StenhousemuirMotherwell1000
LHeart Of Midlothian5W2D3L
22/10/2026
TrabzonsporHeart Of MidlothianCelticHeart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
FC NordsjaellandHeart Of MidlothianST MirrenKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
FalkirkHeart Of MidlothianHeart Of MidlothianDundee
HibernianHeart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone
TrabzonsporHeart Of Midlothian20
L18/10/2026CelticHeart Of Midlothian71
L15/10/2026Heart Of MidlothianFC Nordsjaelland11
D10/10/2026Heart Of MidlothianST Mirren50
W19/09/2026KilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian11
D15/09/2026FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian21
L11/09/2026StenhousemuirHeart Of Midlothian
06/09/2026StenhousemuirHeart Of Midlothian03
WHeart Of MidlothianDundee21
W03/09/2026HibernianHeart Of Midlothian13
W29/08/2026Heart Of MidlothianST Johnstone21
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27:10 | +17 | 28 | LDWWW |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 24 | DWDWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:17 | +7 | 20 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | +3 | 18 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWDWW |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | DDLDW |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 | LDWLL |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 | WDLLL |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:28 | -15 | 9 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 8 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 11:17 | 8 |
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About the Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership table
The table shows a wide gap: Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd in the Premiership, while Motherwell sit 9th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Motherwell 14-20, Heart Of Midlothian 24-17. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.