Aberdeen vs Falkirk Prediction

Aberdeen
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Falkirk
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen 28/10/2026
AberdeenAberdeen
0-1
Finished
FalkirkFalkirk

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseHighGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
Aberdeen Rest
4 days
Falkirk Rest
4 days

Aberdeen vs Falkirk: the result in context

Falkirk beat Aberdeen 1-0 in the Premiership on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.99
X
27%3.45
2
25%3.69
Double Chance
1X
75%1.25
X2
52%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.69
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.2 = 3.00
Over 1.5
77%1.25
Over 2.5
55%1.89
Over 3.5
34%3.15
Under 1.5
23%3.60
Under 2.5
45%1.91
Under 3.5
66%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.5 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.26
Over 9.5
60%1.52
Over 10.5
48%1.90
Under 8.5
29%3.15
Under 9.5
40%2.37
Under 10.5
52%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.55
Over 4.5
34%2.10
Under 3.5
46%2.35
Under 4.5
66%1.67

Match Events

17'Daniel HappeFoul
38'Leon McCann INScott Tanser out
50'Christopher Cadden INNicky Devlin out
57'Afeez Aremu Olalekan INFindlay Marshall out
57'Lewis Smith INHicham Mahou out
65'Deniss Meļņiks INBen krauhaus out
66'Daniel Happe INJack Milne out
66'Jacob Murrell INBen Parkinson out
66'Ayoub Mouloua INToyosi Olusanya out
69'Owen EamesFoul
73'Ben krauhausAssist: Ryan Strain
73'Findlay MarshallFoul
79'Owen Eames INConor McLeod out
79'Ethan Ross INCalvin Fodrey out
80'Conor McLeodFoul
83'Ben krauhausFoul
89'Brad SpencerTime wasting

Lineups

Aberdeen
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Robinson
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. McGlynn
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating6.62
M. Müller6.027M. Müller
C. Cadden6.328C. Cadden
G. Molloy6.521G. Molloy
D. Happe6.226D. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker5.924N. Guinness-Walker
B. Lyons6.48B. Lyons
A. Aremu6.532A. Aremu
Lewis Smith5.811L. Smith
K. Nisbet6.815K. Nisbet
S. Armstrong7.217S. Armstrong
A. Mouloua6.19A. Mouloua
S. Bain7.919S. Bain
R. Strain7.222R. Strain
L. Neilson6.715L. Neilson
L. Henderson6.95L. Henderson
L. McCann6.63L. McCann
D. Meļņiks6.321D. Meļņiks
B. Spencer6.18B. Spencer
E. Ross6.523E. Ross
Finley Frank Barbrook6.716F. Frank Barbrook
Owen Eames6.542O. Eames
J. Murrell5.924J. Murrell

Aberdeen Substitutes

10A. Briedl
2N. Devlin50'for Christopher Cadden6.3
30D. Klein
14H. Mahou57'for Lewis Smith6.6
40F. Marshall57'for Afeez Aremu Olalekan73'6.0
22J. Milne66'for Daniel Happe6.4
31M. Ntelo
20T. Olusanya66'for Ayoub Mouloua6.3
4K. Tobers

Falkirk Substitutes

17S. Tanser38'for Leon McCann6.3
7Ben Parkinson66'for Jacob Murrell6.0
27C. McLeod79'for Owen Eames80'6.4
10C. Sibbald
9R. MacIver
28B. Krauhaus65'for Deniss Meļņiks73'83'7.5
1N. Hogarth
99C. Fodrey79'for Ethan Ross6.4
14F. Yeats

Match Stats

AberdeenFalkirk
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
379Total Passes465
269Passes Accurate350
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

AberdeenAberdeen
FalkirkFalkirk
1544Elo Rating 1573
1.18Attack 1.65
1.54Defense 2.33
19%Hit Rate 69%
16.9Shots per Game 14.2
4.5Shots on Target 5.3
7.0Corners per Game 5.3
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

AberdeenAberdeen0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
FalkirkFalkirk2Wins · 67%
1.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Premiership14/03/2026
AberdeenFalkirk
11
Premiership03/01/2026
FalkirkAberdeen
10
Premiership31/08/2025
AberdeenFalkirk
01

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
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About the Aberdeen vs Falkirk forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aberdeen and Falkirk in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Falkirk are 6th and Aberdeen 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Aberdeen 12-14, Falkirk 13-12. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Falkirk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.