Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen Prediction

Dundee Utd
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Aberdeen
CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Dundee Utd Rest
7 days
Aberdeen Rest
7 days

Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen: the result in context

Dundee Utd beat Aberdeen 3-2 in the Premiership on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.04
X
27%3.60
2
30%3.45
Double Chance
1X
70%1.28
X2
57%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.26 = 2.68
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.73
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
22%4.10
Under 2.5
45%2.09
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.23
Over 9.5
58%1.44
Over 10.5
47%1.73
Under 8.5
31%3.50
Under 9.5
42%2.52
Under 10.5
53%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.42
Over 4.5
52%1.73
Under 3.5
30%2.77
Under 4.5
48%2.00

Match Events

14'Zidane IqbalAssist: Dylan Tait
17'Brad LyonsFoul
25'Nesta Guinness-WalkerAssist: Kevin Nisbet
27'Dylan TaitAssist: Kevin Ciubotaru
45'Afeez Aremu Olalekan INLewis Smith out
56'Connor Patrick RonanAssist: Lewis Smith
62'Goal cancelledZachary Sapsford
65'Daniel Bennie INNeil Farrugia out
65'Ayoub Mouloua INToyosi Olusanya out
72'Zachary SapsfordAssist: Dylan Tait
74'Zachary Sapsford INLachlan Rose out
74'Lyall Cameron INabdoulaye yoro out
76'Stuart Armstrong INHicham Mahou out

Lineups

Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: J. Goodwin
Aberdeen
4-4-2Coach: S. Robinson
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.45
J. Walton6.31J. Walton
J. Rawlins6.223J. Rawlins
B. Esselink6.73B. Esselink
M. Forbes6.118M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru6.419K. Ciubotaru
L. Cameron6.916L. Cameron
D. Tait8.810D. Tait
Zidane Iqbal8.014Z. Iqbal
J. Randall6.321J. Randall
Z. Sapsford7.79Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie6.377D. Bennie
M. Müller5.927M. Müller
C. Cadden6.228C. Cadden
J. Milne6.222J. Milne
G. Molloy6.721G. Molloy
N. Guinness-Walker7.324N. Guinness-Walker
B. Lyons6.48B. Lyons
S. Armstrong6.817S. Armstrong
A. Aremu6.032A. Aremu
C. Ronan7.425C. Ronan
A. Mouloua6.49A. Mouloua
K. Nisbet6.515K. Nisbet

Dundee Utd Substitutes

30J. Amissah
8Panutche Camará
20N. Farrugia65'for Daniel Bennie6.9
6R. Graham
4I. Iovu
93I. Metsoko
22D. Naamo
15L. Rose74'for Zachary Sapsford6.5
26Abdoulaye Yoro74'for Lyall Cameron6.0

Aberdeen Substitutes

10A. Briedl
2N. Devlin
53A. Fasanya
77E. Gyamfi
30D. Klein
14H. Mahou76'for Stuart Armstrong5.9
31M. Ntelo
20T. Olusanya65'for Ayoub Mouloua6.3
11Lewis Smith45'for Afeez Aremu Olalekan6.3

Match Stats

Dundee UtdAberdeen
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots20
6Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box16
3Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots10
6Fouls7
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
403Total Passes490
298Passes Accurate379
7Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
AberdeenAberdeen
1586Elo Rating 1544
2.01Attack 1.18
1.81Defense 1.54
54%Hit Rate 19%
13.5Shots per Game 16.9
6.7Shots on Target 4.5
5.7Corners per Game 7.0
2.3Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)
AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Dundee UtdDundee Utd3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
AberdeenAberdeen4Wins · 40%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership09/05/2026
AberdeenDundee Utd
20
Premiership24/02/2026
Dundee UtdAberdeen
00
Premiership27/12/2025
AberdeenDundee Utd
11
Premiership23/09/2025
Dundee UtdAberdeen
20
Premiership17/05/2025
Dundee UtdAberdeen
21
Premiership02/03/2025
AberdeenDundee Utd
22
Premiership29/12/2024
Dundee UtdAberdeen
10
Premiership26/10/2024
AberdeenDundee Utd
10
Premiership04/03/2023
Dundee UtdAberdeen
13
Premiership12/11/2022
AberdeenDundee Utd
10

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen forecast

As a derby, this Premiership meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundee Utd and Aberdeen in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Dundee Utd are 5th and Aberdeen 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Dundee Utd 16-16, Aberdeen 12-14. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.