ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd Prediction

ST Johnstone
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Dundee Utd
McDiarmid Park, Perth 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
ST Johnstone Rest
6 days
Dundee Utd Rest
7 days

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd: result, form and history

ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd drew 1-1 in the Premiership on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches. Dundee Utd tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 2.5 for ST Johnstone.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.62
X
27%3.48
2
38%2.50
Double Chance
1X
62%1.50
X2
65%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.35 = 2.82
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.69
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
22%4.10
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5.3 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.26
Over 9.5
57%1.50
Over 10.5
46%1.85
Under 8.5
32%3.30
Under 9.5
43%2.40
Under 10.5
54%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.62
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
32%2.20
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

21'Josh FowlerAssist: Enes Alic
42'Dylan TaitFoul
45'Josh Fowler INRuari Paton out
45'Daniel Bennie INabdoulaye yoro out
63'Idjessi Metsoko INZachary Sapsford out
63'Dylan Tait INLachlan Rose out
66'Lyall CameronFoul
79'Lyall CameronAssist: Jesse Randall
82'Taylor Steven INKai Fotheringham out
82'Sam Stanton INJamie Gullan out
84'Reece McAlearFoul
90'Zidane IqbalDissent
90+2'Jason HoltFoul

Lineups

ST Johnstone
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Valakari
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: J. Goodwin
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.83
T. Steward7.51T. Steward
L. Smith6.333L. Smith
D. Finlayson7.119D. Finlayson
C. Diabate6.73C. Diabate
E. Alıç7.32E. Alıç
R. McAlear6.642R. McAlear
J. Holt6.28J. Holt
S. Stanton6.511S. Stanton
J. Cotterill6.230J. Cotterill
T. Steven5.87T. Steven
J. Fowler7.79J. Fowler
J. Walton7.01J. Walton
J. Rawlins6.323J. Rawlins
B. Esselink6.73B. Esselink
M. Forbes6.918M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru6.619K. Ciubotaru
D. Tait6.510D. Tait
L. Cameron8.216L. Cameron
Zidane Iqbal7.114Z. Iqbal
J. Randall7.221J. Randall
I. Metsoko6.593I. Metsoko
D. Bennie6.477D. Bennie

ST Johnstone Substitutes

32J. Campbell
23L. Chalmers
18K. Fotheringham82'for Taylor Steven6.5
14M. Foulds
10J. Gullan82'for Sam Stanton6.4
6B. Mikulić
99R. Paton45'for Josh Fowler6.9
20R. Sinclair
26M. Todd

Dundee Utd Substitutes

30J. Amissah
8Panutche Camará
20N. Farrugia
6R. Graham
4I. Iovu
22D. Naamo
15L. Rose63'for Dylan Tait6.4
9Z. Sapsford63'for Idjessi Metsoko6.6
26Abdoulaye Yoro45'for Daniel Bennie7.2

Match Stats

ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls15
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves3
363Total Passes600
271Passes Accurate506
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1576Elo Rating 1586
1.04Attack 2.01
1.21Defense 1.81
17%Hit Rate 54%
10.2Shots per Game 13.5
3.1Shots on Target 6.7
2.5Corners per Game 5.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals

Game State Tendencies

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Dundee UtdDundee Utd5Wins · 50%
1.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership12/04/2025
Dundee UtdST Johnstone
10
Premiership26/12/2024
ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
12
Premiership24/08/2024
Dundee UtdST Johnstone
20
Premiership06/05/2023
ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
10
Premiership18/02/2023
Dundee UtdST Johnstone
12
Premiership02/01/2023
ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
01
Premiership01/10/2022
Dundee UtdST Johnstone
12
Premiership05/02/2022
ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
00
Premiership30/10/2021
Dundee UtdST Johnstone
01
Premiership22/08/2021
ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
01

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Dundee Utd are 5th and ST Johnstone 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: ST Johnstone 13-17, Dundee Utd 16-16. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.