Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Napoli vs AS Roma: the result in context
Napoli and AS Roma drew 3-3 in the Serie A on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Andrea Colombo averages 5.03 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Napoli
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Meret
22G. Di Lorenzo
16R. Marín
5B. Badiashile
17M. Olivera
11K. De Bruyne
99A. Zambo Anguissa
8S. McTominay
21M. Politano
19R. Højlund
70N. Lang
95P. Gollini
23G. Mancini
5E. Ndicka
22Hermoso
2D. Rensch
15M. de Roon
4B. Cristante
61N. Pisilli
43Wesley
18M. Soulé
14D. MalenNapoli Substitutes
AS Roma Substitutes
Match Stats
NapoliAS Roma Team Comparison
NapoliAS RomaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Napoli- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AS Roma- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Napoli4Wins · 40%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
15/02/2026NapoliAS Roma30/11/2025AS RomaNapoli02/02/2025AS RomaNapoli24/11/2024NapoliAS Roma28/04/2024NapoliAS Roma23/12/2023AS RomaNapoli29/01/2023NapoliAS Roma23/10/2022AS RomaNapoli18/04/2022NapoliAS Roma24/10/2021AS RomaNapoliRecent Form
Napoli
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.03 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).
Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 16:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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This match
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About the Napoli vs AS Roma forecast
As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Napoli and AS Roma in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, AS Roma are 3rd and Napoli 7th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Napoli 17-11, AS Roma 23-8. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.