Union St. Gilloise vs Genk Prediction

Union St. Gilloise
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Genk
Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels·Bram Van Driessche, Belgium 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Union St. Gilloise Rest
2 days
Genk Rest
8 days

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: the result in context

Union St. Gilloise beat Genk 1-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union St. Gilloise had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Genk.

Union St. Gilloise have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Bram Van Driessche averages 4.73 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.55
X
21%4.32
2
15%5.22
Double Chance
1X
85%1.15
X2
36%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.61
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.2 + 0.96 = 3.16
Over 1.5
82%1.16
Over 2.5
62%1.55
Over 3.5
41%2.38
Under 1.5
18%5.00
Under 2.5
38%2.36
Under 3.5
59%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.9 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.47
Over 9.5
57%1.80
Over 10.5
45%2.27
Under 8.5
32%2.54
Under 9.5
43%1.93
Under 10.5
55%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.8 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.52
Over 4.5
44%2.02
Under 3.5
36%2.45
Under 4.5
56%1.75

Match Events

46'N. Havenaar INN. Chibani out
58'A. Bibout INJ. Erenbjerg out
60'K. Rodriguez INR. Mofokeng out
63'M. SyllaFoul
71'J. Kayembe INY. Medina out
71'K. Amaro INM. Roganovic out
76'R. SykesAssist: B. Zeneli
80'B. Zeneli IND. Olaru out
80'Guilherme Smith IND. De Roeve out
83'C. Ravych INJ. Ito out
84'B. Tahirovic INN. Adedeji-Sternberg out
89'Y. MedinaFoul

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
3-4-2-1
Genk
3-4-1-2
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.75
Hervé Koffi6.612H. Koffi
Ross Sykes7.926R. Sykes
Massire Sylla7.329M. Sylla
Nikki Havenaar6.655N. Havenaar
Louis Patris6.927L. Patris
Kamiel Van de PerreC6.96K. Van de Perre
Adem Zorgane7.38A. Zorgane
Guilherme Smith6.511G. Smith
Raul Florucz6.930R. Florucz
Besfort Zeneli7.223B. Zeneli
Kevin Rodriguez6.313K. Rodriguez
Lucca Brughmans7.028L. Brughmans
Matte Smets7.06M. Smets
Christiaan Ravych6.65C. Ravych
Josue Ndenge Kongolo7.244J. Ndenge Kongolo
Kevin Amaro7.020K. Amaro
Benjamin Tahirović6.34B. Tahirović
Bryan HeynenC6.98B. Heynen
Joris Kayembe7.218J. Kayembe
Daan Heymans6.938D. Heymans
Aaron Bibout6.323A. Bibout
Rafiu Durosinmi7.217R. Durosinmi

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

4Nohim Chibani46'for N. Havenaar7.0
1Vic Chambaere
71Keo Boets
21Denzel De Roeve80'for Guilherme Smith
38Relebohile Mofokeng60'for K. Rodriguez6.7
17Rob Schoofs
14Ivan Pavlić
28Darius Olaru80'for B. Zeneli
10Anouar Ait El Hadj
25Ilan Hurtevent

Genk Substitutes

1Tobe Leysen
25Milan Roganović71'for K. Amaro6.2
19Yaimar Medina71'for J. Kayembe89'6.2
10Junya Ito83'for C. Ravych
11Jeppe Erenbjerg58'for A. Bibout6.5
32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg84'for B. Tahirovic
30Ayumu Yokoyama
21Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
24Nikolas Sattlberger

Match Stats

Union St. GilloiseGenk
54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
23Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box4
13Shots Outside Box6
9Blocked Shots3
8Fouls10
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
538Total Passes456
452Passes Accurate370
84%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
GenkGenk
1905Elo Rating 1689
3.06Attack 1.34
2.11Defense 2.08
100%Hit Rate 59%
18.2Shots per Game 19.5
7.6Shots on Target 5.0
4.8Corners per Game 7.4
1.5Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+216 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
GenkGenk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise7Wins · 70%
Draws00%
GenkGenk3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League07/03/2026
Union St. GilloiseGenk
21
Jupiler Pro League21/09/2025
GenkUnion St. Gilloise
12
Jupiler Pro League03/05/2025
Union St. GilloiseGenk
10
Jupiler Pro League20/04/2025
GenkUnion St. Gilloise
12
Jupiler Pro League15/03/2025
GenkUnion St. Gilloise
21
Jupiler Pro League10/11/2024
Union St. GilloiseGenk
40
Jupiler Pro League26/05/2024
Union St. GilloiseGenk
20
Jupiler Pro League01/04/2024
GenkUnion St. Gilloise
10
Jupiler Pro League03/02/2024
GenkUnion St. Gilloise
01
Jupiler Pro League16/09/2023
Union St. GilloiseGenk
02

Referee Profile

Bram Van Driessche182 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bram Van Driessche4.73
Other referees4.18

4.73 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.18).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
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About the Union St. Gilloise vs Genk forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Union St. Gilloise and Genk in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st and Genk 7th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Union St. Gilloise 30-7, Genk 18-15. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Genk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.