Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone Prediction

Kilmarnock
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
ST Johnstone
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseHighGap-2.4%
Kilmarnock Rest
2 days
ST Johnstone Rest
2 days

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: result, form and history

Kilmarnock and ST Johnstone drew 2-2 in the Premiership on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Kilmarnock tend to win more corners, 4.7 a game to 2.5 for ST Johnstone.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.30
X
27%3.60
2
31%2.88
Double Chance
1X
69%1.39
X2
58%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.3 = 2.82
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
34%2.63
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.18
Under 3.5
66%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.9 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.30
Over 9.5
59%1.55
Over 10.5
48%1.91
Under 8.5
30%3.04
Under 9.5
41%2.26
Under 10.5
52%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.62
Over 4.5
36%2.25
Under 3.5
45%2.20
Under 4.5
64%1.60

Match Events

12'Card upgrade confirmedToby Steward
13'Toby StewardHandball
14'Taylor Steven INRoss Sinclair out
14'Cathal McCarthyAssist: Djenairo Daniels
35'Matty ToddFoul
35'Jason HoltFoul
37'Aaron TshibolaFoul
40'Danny schmidtAssist: Enes Alic
41'Djenairo DanielsAssist: Joe Hugill
45'Matty Todd INMatthew Foulds out
45'Josh Fowler INJosh Campbell out
56'Jamie BrandonFoul
58'Erik Ring INNicky Clescenco out
58'Djenairo Daniels INTyreece John-Jules out
63'Jason Holt INLogan Chalmers out
65'Joel Cotterill
67'Božo Mikulić INDaniel Finlayson out
71'Robbie Deas INMichael Schjonning-Larsen out
83'Nicky ClescencoFoul

Lineups

Kilmarnock
3-4-1-2Coach: N. McCann
ST Johnstone
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Valakari
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.24
N. Mantl6.258N. Mantl
C. McCarthy7.44C. McCarthy
R. Deas6.36R. Deas
G. Stanger7.114G. Stanger
J. Brandon6.22J. Brandon
A. Tshibola6.536A. Tshibola
T. Lowery6.618T. Lowery
E. Ring6.08E. Ring
G. Kiltie6.711G. Kiltie
J. Hugill7.09J. Hugill
D. Daniels8.429D. Daniels
T. Steward4.41T. Steward
C. Diabate6.13C. Diabate
B. Mikulić6.26B. Mikulić
E. Alıç6.62E. Alıç
M. Todd5.726M. Todd
R. McAlear6.442R. McAlear
J. Holt6.58J. Holt
J. Cotterill7.330J. Cotterill
T. Steven6.07T. Steven
J. Fowler5.99J. Fowler
D. Schmidt7.822D. Schmidt

Kilmarnock Substitutes

23Roshaun Mathurin
3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
7R. McKenzie
19J. Meier
21M. Schjønning-Larsen71'for Robbie Deas6.0
20N. Cleșcenco58'for Erik Ring83'6.7
27I. Owen
10T. John-Jules58'for Djenairo Daniels7.0
12C. Ferrie

ST Johnstone Substitutes

32J. Campbell45'for Josh Fowler6.0
23L. Chalmers63'for Jason Holt5.9
14M. Foulds45'for Matty Todd6.2
10J. Gullan
99R. Paton
20R. Sinclair14'for Taylor Steven6.3
25M. Tait
52A. Brookfield
19D. Finlayson67'for Božo Mikulić6.5

Match Stats

KilmarnockST Johnstone
63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots6
6Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal1
19Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
12Fouls10
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
542Total Passes339
455Passes Accurate238
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

KilmarnockKilmarnock
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
1486Elo Rating 1576
1.16Attack 1.04
0.48Defense 1.21
19%Hit Rate 17%
12.2Shots per Game 10.2
2.8Shots on Target 3.1
4.7Corners per Game 2.5
1.9Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals

Game State Tendencies

KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KilmarnockKilmarnock4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone5Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
Premiership03/05/2025
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
02
Premiership15/02/2025
KilmarnockST Johnstone
31
Premiership23/11/2024
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
10
Premiership11/08/2024
KilmarnockST Johnstone
03
Premiership13/04/2024
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
02
Premiership23/12/2023
KilmarnockST Johnstone
21
Premiership01/11/2023
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
21
Premiership20/05/2023
KilmarnockST Johnstone
01
Premiership18/03/2023
KilmarnockST Johnstone
11

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
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About the Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kilmarnock and ST Johnstone in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, ST Johnstone are 8th and Kilmarnock 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Kilmarnock 11-26, ST Johnstone 13-17. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.