Necaxa vs FC Juarez Prediction

Necaxa
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes·Martin Molina Astorga 24/10/2026
NecaxaNecaxa
1-1
Finished
FC JuarezFC Juarez

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Necaxa Rest
3 days
FC Juarez Rest
3 days

Necaxa vs FC Juarez: result, form and history

Necaxa and FC Juarez drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.71
X
24%3.79
2
24%4.42
Double Chance
1X
76%1.19
X2
48%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.19 = 2.97
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.71
Over 3.5
35%2.70
Under 1.5
21%4.00
Under 2.5
44%2.08
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.35
Over 9.5
59%1.67
Over 10.5
47%2.03
Under 8.5
30%2.86
Under 9.5
41%2.14
Under 10.5
53%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.5
73%1.44
Over 4.5
56%1.83
Under 3.5
27%2.65
Under 4.5
44%1.83

Match Events

26'Owen González
45'Matias Espindola INMiguel Rodriguez out
45'Carlos Vargas INMauro Zaleta out
45'Jesus Murillo INDenzell Garcia out
45+2'Javier Ruiz INDanny Leyva out
45+7'Julián Carranza(Penalty missed)
64'Guilherme Castilho INLuca Dupuy out
66'Lorenzo Faravelli INFrancisco Méndez out
71'Julián Carranza INMiguel Pedroza out
76'Miguel PedrozaTime wasting
78'José Luis Rodríguez INRicardo Oliveira out
81'Mauro ZaletaArgument
81'Madson de Souza SilvaArgument
82'Luca DupuyAssist: Daniel Piña
86'Oscar EstupiñanArgument

Lineups

Necaxa
4-1-4-1Coach: Juan Reynoso
FC Juarez
4-2-3-1Coach: T. Campos
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.86
181181J. Orantes
R. Martínez7.233R. Martínez
Kaiky Naves7.25K. Naves
A. Oliveros6.93A. Oliveros
C. Vargas6.788C. Vargas
210210J. Alejandro Palacios Pulido
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda7.913O. de Jesús González Ojeda
L. Faravelli6.38L. Faravelli
M. Espíndola6.421M. Espíndola
J. Ruiz6.910J. Ruiz
J. Carranza6.49J. Carranza
S. Jurado8.81S. Jurado
F. Nevárez6.533F. Nevárez
J. Murillo6.43J. Murillo
G. Sepúlveda6.82G. Sepúlveda
D. Piña6.926D. Piña
L. Silva7.2183L. Silva
Rodrigo Dourado6.813R. Dourado
Madson6.49Madson
Guilherme Castilho6.38G. Castilho
J. Rodríguez6.511J. Rodríguez
Ó. Estupiñán6.319Ó. Estupiñán

Necaxa Substitutes

14M. Zaleta45'for Carlos Vargas81'7.4
6D. Leyva45+2'for Javier Ruiz6.5
208Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos
1C. Andrade
2E. Martínez
20F. Méndez66'for Lorenzo Faravelli6.7
16P. Pedraza
27M. Pedroza71'for Julián Carranza76'6.3
99M. Rodríguez45'for Matias Espindola6.6
188Israel Tello Robles

FC Juarez Substitutes

23H. Ortega
21Ricardinho78'for José Luis Rodríguez6.3
250B. Molina
4A. Mayorga
17L. Martínez Dupuy64'for Guilherme Castilho82'8.2
14E. López
5D. García45'for Jesus Murillo6.6
201J. Carmona
27Guillermo Ruiz
16J. Sigala

Match Stats

NecaxaFC Juarez
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots24
7Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal14
13Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box13
4Blocked Shots5
9Fouls7
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves6
415Total Passes434
317Passes Accurate365
6Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

NecaxaNecaxa
FC JuarezFC Juarez
1482Elo Rating 1483
1.05Attack 0.58
1.05Defense 1.08
0%Hit Rate 0%
15.5Shots per Game 12.5
5.7Shots on Target 3.5
5.9Corners per Game 6.8
2.0Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC JuarezFC Juarez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NecaxaNecaxa4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
FC JuarezFC Juarez1Wins · 10%
2.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX15/02/2026
FC JuarezNecaxa
12
Liga MX13/09/2025
NecaxaFC Juarez
11
Liga MX16/04/2025
FC JuarezNecaxa
22
Liga MX25/08/2024
NecaxaFC Juarez
30
Liga MX05/02/2024
FC JuarezNecaxa
22
Liga MX17/09/2023
NecaxaFC Juarez
11
Liga MX13/03/2023
FC JuarezNecaxa
11
Liga MX23/07/2022
NecaxaFC Juarez
10
Liga MX08/01/2022
FC JuarezNecaxa
21
Liga MX23/08/2021
NecaxaFC Juarez
10

Referee Profile

Martin Molina Astorga98 matches

4.18Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Molina Astorga4.18
Other referees4.66

4.18 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Necaxa vs FC Juarez forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Necaxa and FC Juarez in the Liga MX table

Necaxa and FC Juarez are close in the Liga MX table, 17th and 18th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Necaxa 16-27, FC Juarez 9-33. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.