Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Lumen Field, Seattle·Lorenzo Hernandez 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Seattle Sounders Rest
4 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
4 days

Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo: result, form and history

Houston Dynamo beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Seattle Sounders had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Houston Dynamo.

Seattle Sounders have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game. Seattle Sounders tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.4 for Houston Dynamo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.71
X
24%3.94
2
22%4.33
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
46%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 1.15 = 3.05
Over 1.5
81%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.62
Over 3.5
38%2.58
Under 1.5
19%4.50
Under 2.5
40%2.25
Under 3.5
62%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.2 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.31
Over 9.5
56%1.57
Over 10.5
45%1.95
Under 8.5
33%3.00
Under 9.5
44%2.23
Under 10.5
55%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.86
Over 4.5
38%2.80
Under 3.5
43%1.83
Under 4.5
62%1.40

Match Events

26'Lucas HalterAssist: Mateusz Bogusz
45'Nouhou Tolo INPaul Arriola out
59'Jesús Ferreira INJordan Morris out
59'Kalani Kossa-Rienzi INPeter Kingston out
59'Hassani Dotson INSnyder Brunell out
65'Peter KingstonFoul
72'Lyle Foster INDuncan McGuire out
83'Diadie Samassekou INAntônio Carlos out
85'Alexander Roldan INCaden Clark out
87'Ibrahim Aliyu INDuane Holmes out
87'Agustin ReschFoul

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Schmetzer
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.74
A. Thomas6.126A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi6.285K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan6.816A. Roldan
J. Ragen6.725J. Ragen
N. Tolo6.65N. Tolo
H. Dotson6.731H. Dotson
C. Roldan7.27C. Roldan
J. Ferreira7.127J. Ferreira
A. Rusnák7.211A. Rusnák
S. Gomez6.390S. Gomez
D. Joveljić6.59D. Joveljić
J. Bond7.731J. Bond
L. Ennali6.511L. Ennali
Lucas Halter7.55L. Halter
A. Resch6.234A. Resch
F. Negri6.521F. Negri
D. Samassékou6.618D. Samassékou
Artur6.76Artur
A. Ibrahim6.324A. Ibrahim
A. Bouzat6.430A. Bouzat
M. Bogusz7.219M. Bogusz
L. Foster6.49L. Foster

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

17P. Arriola45'for Nouhou Tolo6.5
37S. Brunell59'for Hassani Dotson6.9
8C. Clark85'for Alexander Roldan6.3
24S. Frei
39S. Hawkins
20Kim Kee-Hee
45P. Kingston59'for Kalani Kossa-Rienzi65'6.4
13J. Morris59'for Jesús Ferreira6.7
4R. Sailor

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

3Antônio Carlos83'for Diadie Samassekou6.6
22M. Arana
26B. Gillingham
14D. Holmes87'for Ibrahim Aliyu6.9
17N. Markanich
23D. McGuire72'for Lyle Foster6.8
37G. Rivera
38Chibuike Ukaegbu
35Logan Erb

Match Stats

Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
70%Ball Possession30%
10Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots2
5Shots on Goal1
11Shots off Goal1
11Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box0
5Blocked Shots0
14Fouls10
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
735Total Passes315
644Passes Accurate233
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1600Elo Rating 1625
1.08Attack 1.44
1.91Defense 1.83
14%Hit Rate 27%
16.0Shots per Game 8.7
4.9Shots on Target 2.4
6.9Corners per Game 3.4
1.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders6Wins · 60%
Draws440%
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo0Wins · 0%
1.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer05/04/2026
Houston DynamoSeattle Sounders
01
Major League Soccer11/05/2025
Houston DynamoSeattle Sounders
13
Major League Soccer23/03/2025
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
00
Major League Soccer04/11/2024
Houston DynamoSeattle Sounders
6171
Major League Soccer29/10/2024
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
5040
Major League Soccer29/09/2024
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
10
Major League Soccer20/06/2024
Houston DynamoSeattle Sounders
22
Major League Soccer02/07/2023
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
10
Major League Soccer14/05/2023
Houston DynamoSeattle Sounders
01
Major League Soccer05/09/2022
Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo
21

Referee Profile

Lorenzo Hernandez97 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lorenzo Hernandez4.53
Other referees4.31

4.53 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861WWLWD
2FC DallasFC Dallas331510859:50+955DLWDW
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852WDLDD
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City331491058:48+1051LLLLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644WDDWL
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids331271446:47-143LDWDD
9Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3311101242:45-343LLDDL
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake331261551:51042LWWWD
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12San DiegoSan Diego339111357:62-538WLDDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
14AustinAustin338101542:63-2134LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3372:3461
2FC DallasFC Dallas3359:5055
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3356:4852
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3358:4851
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3349:5544
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3346:4743
9Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3342:4543
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3351:5142
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12San DiegoSan Diego3357:6238
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
14AustinAustin3342:6334
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3339:8123
Promotion

About the Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Houston Dynamo are 5th and Seattle Sounders 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Seattle Sounders 42-45, Houston Dynamo 42-39. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.