St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 32
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseHighGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseHighGap+5.7%
St. Louis City Rest
3 days
Portland Timbers Rest
3 days
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers: result, form and history
Portland Timbers beat St. Louis City 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.94
X23%3.90
225%3.45
Double Chance
1X75%1.28
X248%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.40
No35%2.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 1.25 = 3.26
Over 1.585%1.13
Over 2.567%1.44
Over 3.547%2.12
Under 1.515%5.84
Under 2.533%2.71
Under 3.553%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.30
Over 9.555%1.62
Over 10.543%1.95
Under 8.534%3.20
Under 9.545%2.19
Under 10.557%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.556%1.67
Over 4.536%2.10
Under 3.544%2.13
Under 4.564%1.67
Match Events
42'Kristoffer VeldeAssist: Cole Bassett
45'Damion Downs INSang-bin Jung out
45+3'David Da CostaAssist: Jímer Fory
48'Kristoffer VeldeAssist: David Da Costa
58'Daniel EdelmanAssist: Carlo Holse
60'Cole Bassett INEric Izoita out
60'Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri INAlexander Aravena out
62'Eric IzoitaFoul
67'Jímer Fory INIan Smith out
71'Kamal MillerFoul
75'Diego Chará INJose Caicedo out
75'Ariel Lassiter INVincent Janssen out
79'Tomas Totland INSimon Becher out
79'Daniel Edelman INFallou Fall out
83'Kristoffer Velde INFinn Surman out
84'Vincent JanssenFoul
88'Ian SmithTime wasting
90+1'Sang-bin JungAssist: Christopher Durkin
90+6'Kamal Miller
Lineups
St. Louis CityPortland Timbers
4-3-3Coach: Martí CifuentesAvg ratingAvg rating
39B. Lundt
5L. MacNaughton
32T. Baumgartl
21D. Polvara
6C. Wallem
8C. Durkin
24D. Edelman
14T. Totland
19C. Holse
42D. Downs
9R. Navarro
41J. Pantemis
12R. Hernández
2J. Waterman
4K. Miller
27J. Fory
80J. Ortiz
21D. Chará
17C. Bassett
7A. Lassiter
10D. Pereira da Costa
99K. VeldeSt. Louis City Substitutes
28M. Perez
18C. Brunet
11S. Becher79'for Tomas Totland
4M. Fall
27F. Fall79'for Daniel Edelman
77Jeong Sang-Bin45'for Damion Downs90+1'
48Riley Lynch
31C. Olivares
99J. Orozco
Portland Timbers Substitutes
22O. Fernandez
73Eric Izoita60'for Cole Bassett62'
14V. Janssen75'for Ariel Lassiter84'
15E. Miller
23Ian Smith67'for Jímer Fory88'
26H. Sulte
20F. Surman83'for Kristoffer Velde
30J. Caicedo75'for Diego Chará
28A. Aravena60'for Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri
Match Stats
St. Louis CityPortland Timbers 61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots2
16Fouls11
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
440Total Passes282
371Passes Accurate213
12Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
St. Louis CityPortland Timbers1731Elo Rating 1548
1.87Attack 0.75
1.98Defense 1.32
31%Hit Rate 0%
12.2Shots per Game 13.1
5.9Shots on Target 4.2
4.8Corners per Game 3.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+183 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.27 goals
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
St. Louis City- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Portland Timbers- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
St. Louis City2Wins · 29%Draws343%
Portland Timbers2Wins · 28%
2Wins · 28%3.4Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7
Previous meetings
10/09/2026Portland TimbersSt. Louis City22
14/07/2025St. Louis CityPortland Timbers21
09/06/2025Portland TimbersSt. Louis City21
25/08/2024Portland TimbersSt. Louis City44
09/06/2024St. Louis CityPortland Timbers00
30/04/2023St. Louis CityPortland Timbers12
12/03/2023Portland TimbersSt. Louis City12
Recent Form
St. Louis City6W2D2L
25/10/2026
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City
Minnesota United FCSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York Red BullsSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Toronto FCSt. Louis CityMinnesota United FCPortland TimbersSt. Louis City
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City30
L22/10/2026
Columbus CrewSt. Louis City
17/10/2026Columbus CrewSt. Louis City3050
WMinnesota United FCSt. Louis City32
L15/10/2026St. Louis CityVancouver Whitecaps00
D12/10/2026St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy62
W01/10/2026New York Red BullsSt. Louis City03
W20/09/2026St. Louis CityToronto FC31
W17/09/2026
Colorado RapidsSt. Louis City
13/09/2026Colorado RapidsSt. Louis City03
WSt. Louis CityMinnesota United FC42
W10/09/2026Portland TimbersSt. Louis City22
DPortland Timbers2W3D5L
25/10/2026Portland Timbers
CharlottePortland TimbersColorado RapidsLos Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers
San Jose EarthquakesPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
Atlanta United FC
FC DallasPortland TimbersPortland TimbersSt. Louis CityPortland TimbersMinnesota United FCPortland Timbers
Austin
Portland TimbersCharlotte32
W18/10/2026Portland TimbersColorado Rapids00
D15/10/2026Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers20
L11/10/2026Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers33
D27/09/2026San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers31
L20/09/2026Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC01
L13/09/2026FC DallasPortland Timbers21
L10/09/2026Portland TimbersSt. Louis City22
D06/09/2026Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC54
W30/08/2026Portland TimbersAustin12
LReferee Profile
4.01Cards per match
3.81Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.01 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.32).
Cards come from 130 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | +31 | 55 | LWDDL |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52:45 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41:39 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42:41 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55:58 | -3 | 35 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 63:32 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 52:45 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 42:41 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 31 | 55:58 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
St. Louis City and Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, St. Louis City are 3rd and Portland Timbers 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: St. Louis City 58-47, Portland Timbers 57-60. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
St. Louis City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.