Sporting CP vs Maritimo Prediction

Sporting CP
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Maritimo
27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Sporting CP Rest
1 day
Maritimo Rest
4 days

Sporting CP vs Maritimo: the result in context

Sporting CP beat Maritimo 2-1 in the Taça da Liga on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sporting CP have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.30
X
13%5.25
2
9%7.90
Double Chance
1X
91%1.06
X2
22%3.18
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'R. FernandesTripping
44'Pedro LimaAssist: J. Derry
57'E. QuaresmaHolding
59'M. Bassouamina INA. Butzke out
59'M. Boakye INM. Tejon out
71'Pedro Lima
73'M. Zekri INR. Dias out
73'J. Derry INP. Cardoso out
73'R. Andrade INI. Alani out
78'Pedro Lima INM. Couto out
85'F. Ioannidis INR. Nel out
85'J. Simoes INS. Justo out
85'S. Bouzaidi INS. Bamba out
85'Raphael Guzzo INI. Ayuma out
90'A. ButzkeAssist: Igor Juliao

Team Comparison

Sporting CPSporting CP
MaritimoMaritimo
1894Elo Rating 1563
2.05Attack 0.96
1.52Defense 0.45
42%Hit Rate 23%
12.5Shots per Game 9.1
4.0Shots on Target 2.7
4.2Corners per Game 3.8
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+331 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MaritimoMaritimo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Sporting CPSporting CP5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
MaritimoMaritimo2Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga13/05/2023
Sporting CPMaritimo
21
Primeira Liga08/01/2023
MaritimoSporting CP
10
Taça da Liga13/12/2022
Sporting CPMaritimo
50
Primeira Liga26/02/2022
MaritimoSporting CP
11
Primeira Liga24/09/2021
Sporting CPMaritimo
10
Primeira Liga19/05/2021
Sporting CPMaritimo
51
Primeira Liga05/02/2021
MaritimoSporting CP
02
Taça de Portugal11/01/2021
MaritimoSporting CP
20

Bracket

Quarter-finals
SC Braga21
Famalicao23
On penalties
Benfica4
GIL Vicente1
SC Braga21
Famalicao23
On penalties
Benfica4
GIL Vicente1

About the Sporting CP vs Maritimo forecast

As a knockout tie in the Taça da Liga, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Taça da Liga

More Taça da Liga fixtures and forecasts are on the Taça da Liga Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.